IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v482y2017icp127-146.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Outward foreign direct investments and home country’s economic growth

Author

Listed:
  • Ciesielska, Dorota
  • Kołtuniak, Marcin

Abstract

The study examines the time stability of the causality direction and cross-correlations between the home country’s economic growth and pace of growth of its outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) stocks within the complex system of the Polish national economy. The research has been performed in order to verify, using both the time and frequency domains time series analyses, if economic agents’ long term decisions on outward foreign direct investments, leading to cross-border value chains and production fragmentation processes, are of adaptive or predictive character. Consequently, the aim was to check if the home country’s economic growth leads the internationalization processes of domestic enterprises, which stays in line with Dunning’s Investment Development Path (IDP) paradigm, or if these complex processes, thanks to entrepreneurs’ ability to formulate relevant rational expectations, precede the home country’s economic growth, which would be supported with the introduction of the policy on reinforcing the internationalization processes of domestic enterprises. The presence of the unidirectional economic growth-led internationalization, consistent with the IDP concept’s base assumptions, has been ascertained by the results of the short term Granger causality tests. Nevertheless, the results of the wavelet analyses, supported with the results of the econometric block exogeneity long term causality Wald tests, have revealed that in the long term the OFDI stocks’ growth permanently precedes the home country’s economic growth, which stays in the unequivocal contrast with the IDP paradigm’s premises, as well as with the indicated above short term Granger causality tests’ outcomes and indicates that economic agents’ choices are not strictly of adaptive but also of predictive character, which influences the current state of knowledge on economic complex systems’ characteristics. Such a result is of a great importance in the light of the existence of the significant and still unexploited internationalization potential of Polish enterprises.

Suggested Citation

  • Ciesielska, Dorota & Kołtuniak, Marcin, 2017. "Outward foreign direct investments and home country’s economic growth," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 127-146.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:482:y:2017:i:c:p:127-146
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.04.057
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437117303527
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2017.04.057?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jan Johanson & Jan-Erik Vahlne, 2009. "The Uppsala internationalization process model revisited: From liability of foreignness to liability of outsidership," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 40(9), pages 1411-1431, December.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Marcin Forczek & Stanis{l}aw Jadach & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n, 2013. "Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis Consistently Extended to Multifractality," Papers 1308.6148, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2014.
    4. Rajneesh NARULA & José GUIMÓN, 2010. "The investment development path in a globalised world: implications for Eastern Europe," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 1, pages 5-19, December.
    5. Mariusz-Jan Radlo & Magdolna Sass, 2012. "Outward Foreign Direct Investments and Emerging Multinational Companies from Central and Eastern Europe," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 5-21, March.
    6. Gorynia, Marian & Nowak, Jan & Trapczynski, Piotr & Wolniak, Radoslaw, 2015. "Outward FDI of Polish firms: The role of motives, entry modes and location factors," Journal of East European Management Studies, Rainer Hampp Verlag, vol. 20(3), pages 328-359.
    7. Gallegati, Marco, 2008. "Wavelet analysis of stock returns and aggregate economic activity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 3061-3074, February.
    8. John H. Dunning & Sarianna M. Lundan, 2008. "Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy, Second Edition," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 3215.
    9. Koi Nyen Wong, 2010. "Outward FDI and home country economic growth: a Malaysian case," Monash Economics Working Papers 56-10, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    10. Youngki Lee & Luis A. N. Amaral & David Canning & Martin Meyer & H. Eugene Stanley, 1998. "Universal features in the growth dynamics of complex organizations," Papers cond-mat/9804100, arXiv.org.
    11. B. Podobnik & D. Horvatic & A. M. Petersen & M. Njavro & H. E. Stanley, 2010. "Common scaling behavior in finance and macroeconomics," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 76(4), pages 487-490, August.
    12. Tolentino, Paz Estrella, 2010. "Home country macroeconomic factors and outward FDI of China and India," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 102-120, June.
    13. Dierk Herzer, 2011. "The Long-run Relationship between Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence for Developing Countries," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 767-785.
    14. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    15. Chew Ging LEE, 2010. "The Nexus of Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Income: Evidence from Singapore," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1).
    16. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Azevedo, Nuno & Soares, Maria Joana, 2008. "Using wavelets to decompose the time–frequency effects of monetary policy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2863-2878.
    17. Marian Gorynia & Jan Nowak & Piotr Trapczynski & Radoslaw Wolniak, 2015. "Establishment Mode Choices of Emerging Multinationals: Evidence from Poland," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 13(2 (Summer), pages 101-124.
    18. Breitung, Jorg & Candelon, Bertrand, 2006. "Testing for short- and long-run causality: A frequency-domain approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 363-378, June.
    19. Dierk Herzer, 2010. "Outward FDI and economic growth," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(5), pages 476-494, September.
    20. John H. Dunning, 2002. "Theories and Paradigms of International Business Activity," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2423.
    21. Lee, Jaeho & Slater, Jim, 2007. "Dynamic capabilities, entrepreneurial rent-seeking and the investment development path: The case of Samsung," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 241-257, September.
    22. Dierk Herzer, 2010. "The Long-Run Relationship between Outward FDI and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence for Developing Countries," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 199, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    23. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Maria Joana Soares, 2014. "The Continuous Wavelet Transform: Moving Beyond Uni- And Bivariate Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 344-375, April.
    24. John Dunning, 1981. "Explaining the international direct investment position of countries: Towards a dynamic or developmental approach," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 117(1), pages 30-64, March.
    25. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    26. Zebende, G.F., 2011. "DCCA cross-correlation coefficient: Quantifying level of cross-correlation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(4), pages 614-618.
    27. Marian Gorynia & Jan Nowak & Radoslaw Wolniak, 2007. "Poland and Its Investment Development Path," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 52-74, April.
    28. Chew Ging Lee, 2010. "Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence from Japan," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 317-326.
    29. Xi-Yuan Qian & Ya-Min Liu & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Boris Podobnik & Wei-Xing Zhou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2015. "Detrended partial cross-correlation analysis of two nonstationary time series influenced by common external forces," Papers 1504.02435, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2015.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ghahroudi Mehdi Rasouli & Chong Li Choy, 2020. "The Macroeconomic Determinants and the Impact of Sanctions on FDI in Iran," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 15-34, February.
    2. Ipsmiller, Edith & Dikova, Desislava, 2021. "Internationalization from Central and Eastern Europe: A systematic literature review," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 27(4).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bekiros Stelios & Muzaffar Ahmed T. & Uddin Gazi S. & Vidal-García Javier, 2017. "Money supply and inflation dynamics in the Asia-Pacific economies: a time-frequency approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 1-12, June.
    2. Lu, Xinsheng & Sun, Xinxin & Ge, Jintian, 2017. "Dynamic relationship between Japanese Yen exchange rates and market anxiety: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 474(C), pages 144-161.
    3. Pejman Bahramian & Andisheh Saliminezhad, 2021. "Does Capacity Utilization Predict Inflation? A Wavelet Based Evidence from United States," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 1103-1125, December.
    4. Gorynia, Marian & Nowak, Jan & Trąpczyński, Piotr & Wolniak, Radosław, 2019. "Friend or Foe? On the role of institutional reforms in the investment development path of Central and East European economies," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 575-587.
    5. Bekiros, Stelios & Boubaker, Sabri & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2017. "Black swan events and safe havens: The role of gold in globally integrated emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 317-334.
    6. Swamy, Vighneswara, 2020. "Macroeconomic transmission of Eurozone shocks to India—A mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 126-150.
    7. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid, 2016. "Asymmetric causality using frequency domain and time-frequency domain (wavelet) approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 66-78.
    8. Yang Ruilin & Bathelt Harald, 2023. "How outward FDIs affect income: experiences from Chinese city-regions," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 67(1), pages 47-64, May.
    9. Hong, Yanran & Ma, Feng & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao, 2022. "How does the COVID-19 outbreak affect the causality between gold and the stock market? New evidence from the extreme Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    10. Sosa Andrés, Maximiliano & Nunnenkamp, Peter & Busse, Matthias, 2013. "What drives FDI from non-traditional sources? A comparative analysis of the determinants of bilateral FDI flows," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-53.
    11. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2015. "The nexus between oil price and Russia's real exchange rate: Better paths via unconditional vs conditional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 54-66.
    12. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "An empirical investigation of causality between producers' price and consumers' price indices in Australia in frequency domain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1571-1578.
    13. Bekiros, Stelios & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2013. "The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 282-305.
    14. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-441 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2015. "The nexus between oil price and Russia's real exchange rate: Better paths via unconditional vs conditional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 54-66.
    16. Yanfeng Liu & Xue Li & Xiaonan Zhu & Min-Kyu Lee & Po-Lin Lai, 2023. "The theoretical systems of OFDI location determinants in global north and global south economies," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, December.
    17. Li, Shuping & Li, Jianfeng & Lu, Xinsheng & Sun, Yihong, 2022. "Exploring the dynamic nonlinear relationship between crude oil price and implied volatility indices: A new perspective from MMV-MFDFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    18. Qabhobho, Thobekile & Moyo, Clement & Tsaurai, Kunofiwa, 2023. "Complementarity or Substitutability between Outward FDI and Exporting in Influencing Economic Growth: The BRICS Countries Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 76(2), pages 275-296.
    19. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2018. "Effect of multilateral trade liberalization on foreign direct investment outflows amid structural economic vulnerability in developing countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 15-29.
    20. Liu, Ting & Li, Xizhuo, 2022. "How Do MNCs Conduct Local Technological Innovation in a Host Country? An Examination From Subsidiaries' Perspective," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(3).
    21. Ruan, Qingsong & Zhang, Manqian & Lv, Dayong & Yang, Haiquan, 2018. "SAD and stock returns revisited: Nonlinear analysis based on MF-DCCA and Granger test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 1009-1022.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:482:y:2017:i:c:p:127-146. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.