IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolet/v247y2025ics0165176524006165.html

Portfolio hedging through a novel equity index based on the verified emissions of EU ETS-regulated firms

Author

Listed:
  • Chiappari, Mattia
  • Scotti, Francesco
  • Flori, Andrea

Abstract

We build an equity index based on EU ETS-regulated listed firms. The weights of our index reflect the cross-sectional heterogeneity in the firms’ environmental performances measured in terms of verified rather than estimated or self-reported emissions. By using a DCC-GARCH model, we estimate optimal weights and assess the hedge effectiveness of the EU ETS index across multiple asset classes. The index provides robust hedging benefits, particularly during Phases III and IV of the EU ETS, aligning with stricter environmental policies. Portfolio optimization techniques show that incorporating the EU ETS index enhances risk-adjusted performance. Our findings offer actionable insights for investors seeking to minimize financial risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Chiappari, Mattia & Scotti, Francesco & Flori, Andrea, 2025. "Portfolio hedging through a novel equity index based on the verified emissions of EU ETS-regulated firms," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:247:y:2025:i:c:s0165176524006165
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.112132
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176524006165
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econlet.2024.112132?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kroner, Kenneth F & Ng, Victor K, 1998. "Modeling Asymmetric Comovements of Asset Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 817-844.
    2. Campiglio, Emanuele, 2016. "Beyond carbon pricing: The role of banking and monetary policy in financing the transition to a low-carbon economy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 220-230.
    3. Nicola Borri & Yukun Liu & Aleh Tsyvinski & Xi Wu, 2024. "Inefficiencies of Carbon Trading Markets," Papers 2408.06497, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    4. Monasterolo, Irene & de Angelis, Luca, 2020. "Blind to carbon risk? An analysis of stock market reaction to the Paris Agreement," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    5. Benchora, Inessa & Galanti, Sébastien, 2024. "Verified carbon emissions and stock returns in the EU Emissions Trading System," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    6. Cepni, Oguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Rognone, Lavinia, 2022. "Hedging climate risks with green assets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    7. Rajna Gibson Brandon & Philipp Krueger & Peter Steffen Schmidt, 2021. "ESG Rating Disagreement and Stock Returns," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 77(4), pages 104-127, October.
    8. Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between oil prices and the stock prices of clean energy and technology companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 248-255.
    9. David Ardia & Keven Bluteau & Kris Boudt & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2023. "Climate Change Concerns and the Performance of Green vs. Brown Stocks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7607-7632, December.
    10. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Rothovius, Timo & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2023. "Climate risk and green investments: New evidence," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    11. Basher, Syed Abul & Sadorsky, Perry, 2016. "Hedging emerging market stock prices with oil, gold, VIX, and bonds: A comparison between DCC, ADCC and GO-GARCH," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 235-247.
    12. Yu, Ellen Pei-yi & Luu, Bac Van & Chen, Catherine Huirong, 2020. "Greenwashing in environmental, social and governance disclosures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Po‐Hsuan Hsu & Kai Li & Chi‐Yang Tsou, 2023. "The Pollution Premium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1343-1392, June.
    14. Aswani, Jitendra & Raghunandan, Aneesh & Rajgopal, Shiva, 2024. "Are carbon emissions associated with StockReturns? - Reply," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121632, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Monica Billio & Michele Costola & Iva Hristova & Carmelo Latino & Loriana Pelizzon, 2021. "Inside the ESG ratings: (Dis)agreement and performance," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(5), pages 1426-1445, September.
    16. Aswani, Jitendra & Raghunandan, Aneesh & Rajgopal, Shivaram, 2024. "Are carbon emissions associated with stock returns?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118364, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Karl V. Lins & Henri Servaes & Ane Tamayo, 2017. "Social Capital, Trust, and Firm Performance: The Value of Corporate Social Responsibility during the Financial Crisis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(4), pages 1785-1824, August.
    18. Cretí, Anna & Joëts, Marc, 2017. "Multiple bubbles in the European Union Emission Trading Scheme," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 119-130.
    19. Jitendra Aswani & Aneesh Raghunandan & Shiva Rajgopal, 2024. "Are Carbon Emissions Associated with Stock Returns?—Reply," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 111-115.
    20. Ahmad, Wasim & Sadorsky, Perry & Sharma, Amit, 2018. "Optimal hedge ratios for clean energy equities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 278-295.
    21. Bolton, Patrick & Kacperczyk, Marcin, 2021. "Do investors care about carbon risk?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 517-549.
    22. Jitendra Aswani & Aneesh Raghunandan & Shiva Rajgopal, 2024. "Are Carbon Emissions Associated with Stock Returns?," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 75-106.
    23. Haohua Li & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Libing Fang, 2023. "Return Volatility, Correlation, and Hedging of Green and Brown Stocks: Is there a Role for Climate Risk Factors?," Working Papers 202301, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara, 2021. "Tail dependence between bitcoin and green financial assets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    25. Timo Busch & Matthew Johnson & Thomas Pioch, 2022. "Corporate carbon performance data: Quo vadis?," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(1), pages 350-363, February.
    26. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2016. "Dissecting Anomalies with a Five-Factor Model," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(1), pages 69-103.
    27. David C. Broadstock & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2022. "Minimum Connectedness Portfolios and the Market for Green Bonds: Advocating Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) Activity," Springer Books, in: Christos Floros & Ioannis Chatziantoniou (ed.), Applications in Energy Finance, chapter 0, pages 217-253, Springer.
    28. Rui Albuquerque & Yrjö Koskinen & Chendi Zhang, 2019. "Corporate Social Responsibility and Firm Risk: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(10), pages 4451-4469, October.
    29. Regina A. Betz & Tobias S. Schmidt, 2016. "Transfer patterns in Phase I of the EU Emissions Trading System: a first reality check based on cluster analysis," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 474-495, May.
    30. Ederington, Louis H, 1979. "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 157-170, March.
    31. Mats Andersson & Patrick Bolton & Frédéric Samama, 2016. "Hedging Climate Risk," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 72(3), pages 13-32, May.
    32. Erik Haites & Paolo Bertoldi & Michael König & Christopher Bataille & Felix Creutzig & Dipak Dasgupta & Stéphane de la rue du Can & Smail Khennas & Yong-Gun Kim & Lars J. Nilsson & Joyashree Roy & Agu, 2024. "Contribution of carbon pricing to meeting a mid-century net zero target," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 1-12, January.
    33. De Beule, Filip & Schoubben, Frederiek & Struyfs, Kristof, 2022. "The pollution haven effect and investment leakage: The case of the EU-ETS," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chiappari, Mattia & Scotti, Francesco & Flori, Andrea, 2025. "Hedging financial risks with a climate index based on EU ETS firms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chiappari, Mattia & Scotti, Francesco & Flori, Andrea, 2025. "Hedging financial risks with a climate index based on EU ETS firms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
    2. Fliegel, Philip, 2025. "“Brown” Risk or “Green” Opportunity? The dynamic pricing of climate transition risk on global financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    3. Wong, Jin Boon & Zhang, Qin, 2025. "The impact of political risks on carbon emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Horn, Matthias & Oehler, Andreas & Dabbous, Amal & Croutzet, Alexandre, 2025. "The relation between environmental awareness and stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    5. Yan, Ying & Lin, Tao & Ma, Heng, 2025. "The impact of corporate climate risk on carbon intensity: Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    6. Boermans, Martijn Adriaan & Galema, Rients, 2025. "Carbon home bias of European investors," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    7. Zhou, Peng & Li, Xiang & Shi, Xing & Jiang, Kun, 2025. "Spillover of the carbon risk along the supply chain: Evidence from the U.S. corporate bond market," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    8. Dutta, Sunil & Hwang, Jinsung & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2025. "Fundamentals of carbon emissions scaling: Implications for sector peer comparisons and carbon efficient indexing," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    9. Ahn, Byung Hyun & Dutta, Sunil & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2025. "Corporate carbon overhang: Valuing corporate exposure to future carbon costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    10. Chang, Hao-Wen & Chi, Pei-Yu & Lin, Chin-Ho, 2025. "Superiority of ESG-oriented portfolios in Taiwan stock market: Quantile-on-quantile with GARCH approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Nguyen, Justin Hung & Truong, Cameron & Zhang, Bohui, 2025. "The price of carbon risk: Evidence from the Kyoto Protocol ratification," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    12. Eleonora Salzmann, 2025. "Disaggregated ESG Risk in European Asset Pricing Based on ESG Leaders Data," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 19(2), pages 204-233.
    13. Bauer, Michael D. & Offner, Eric A. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2025. "Green stocks and monetary policy shocks: Evidence from Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    14. Tang, Iengchuo & Dias, Roshanthi & Mo, Di & Tian, Xiao, 2025. "When green turns brown: Green premium revisited," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    15. Hambel, Christoph & van der Ploeg, Frederick, 2025. "Policy transition risk, carbon premiums, and asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    16. Allahdadi, Mohammad R. & Fretheim, Torun & Vindedal, Kjetil, 2024. "Value of climate change news: A textual analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    17. Zhenyu Zhu & Yixiang Tian & Xiaoying Zhao & Huiling Huang, 2025. "Green Washing, Green Bond Issuance, and the Pricing of Carbon Risk: Evidence from A-Share Listed Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-23, May.
    18. Wilberg, Sindre & Kjellevoll, Vibeke & Holz, Franziska & Neumann, Anne, 2025. "Impact of ESG performance on the cost of capital in the energy, utilities, and basic materials sectors," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    19. Alves, Rómulo & Krüger, Philipp & van Dijk, Mathijs, 2025. "Drawing up the bill: Are ESG ratings related to stock returns around the world?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    20. Hambel, Christoph & van der Sanden, Floor, 2025. "Reevaluating the carbon premium: Evidence of green outperformance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:247:y:2025:i:c:s0165176524006165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.