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Natural gas and the utility sector nexus in the U.S.: Quantile connectedness and portfolio implications

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  • Pham, Son Duy
  • Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh
  • Do, Hung Xuan

Abstract

Given that natural gas is a vital input for the U.S. utility sector, this study empirically investigates the return connectedness between the natural gas and utility stocks in the U.S. market. Using the quantile connectedness approach, we show that the nexus between natural gas and utility stocks is more pronounced at the tails compared to the central of the conditional distribution. The return connectedness indices are time-varying with a net receiver role of natural gas and driven by various macro-variables. Finally, our portfolio implication analyses with alternative tail risk measures suggest that it can be more beneficial for risk-adverse investors to allocate substantial weights into the electricity utility stocks in normal market conditions. However, during the COVID-19- induced recession, it is critical to shift more fund to the natural gas futures to reduce tail risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2023. "Natural gas and the utility sector nexus in the U.S.: Quantile connectedness and portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:120:y:2023:i:c:s0140988323001305
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106632
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural gas; Utility stocks; Quantile connectedness; Portfolio allocation; Hedging benefit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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