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Dynamic Comovements between Housing and Oil Markets in the US over 1859 to 2013: A Note

Author

Listed:
  • Nikolaos Antonakakis

    () (University of Portsmouth, Webster Vienna Private University and Johannes Kepler University)

  • Rangan Gupta

    () (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

  • John W. Muteba Mwamba

    () (Department of Economics and Econometrics, University of Johannesburg, Auckland Park, 2006, South Africa)

Abstract

In this study we examine the dynamic comovements between housing and oil market returns in the US over the period 1859-2013, while controlling for real GDP growth, in flation and interest rate that are known to affect both these markets. As such, we provide a bird's-eye view on the interdependencies between these two markets from a historical perspective. The results of our empirical analysis reveal that comovements between housing and oil market returns are consistently negative over time, apart from several US recessions the US economy experienced in the 19th century, wherein correlations are positive.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba, 2015. "Dynamic Comovements between Housing and Oil Markets in the US over 1859 to 2013: A Note," Working Papers 201579, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:201579
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nyakabawo, Wendy & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Das, Sonali & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Temporal causality between house prices and output in the US: A bootstrap rolling-window approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 55-73.
    2. Michael Dueker, 2005. "Dynamic Forecasts of Qualitative Variables: A Qual VAR Model of U.S. Recessions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 96-104, January.
    3. Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June.
    4. Breitenfellner, Andreas & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Mayer, Philipp, 2015. "Energy inflation and house price corrections," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 109-116.
    5. Kaufmann, Robert K. & Gonzalez, Nancy & Nickerson, Thomas A. & Nesbit, Tyler S., 2011. "Do household energy expenditures affect mortgage delinquency rates?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 188-194, March.
    6. Aviral K. Tiwari & Claudiu T. Albulescu & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Time-frequency relationship between US output with commodity and asset prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 227-242, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:jebusi:v:93:y:2017:i:c:p:15-28 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Killins, Robert N. & Egly, Peter V. & Escobari, Diego, 2017. "The impact of oil shocks on the housing market: Evidence from Canada and U.S," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 15-28.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing market; oil market; dynamic comovements;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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