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Systemic risk contagion of green and Islamic markets with conventional markets

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Abubakr Naeem

    (United Arab Emirates University)

  • Sitara Karim

    (Sunway University)

  • Larisa Yarovaya

    (Southampton Business School)

  • Brian M. Lucey

    (Trinity College Dublin
    University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City
    Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics
    Abu Dhabi University)

Abstract

Financial markets are exposed to extreme uncertain circumstances escalating their tail risk. Sustainable, religious, and conventional markets represent three different markets with various characteristics. Motivated with this, the current study measures the tail connectedness between sustainable, religious, and conventional investments by employing a neural network quantile regression approach from December 1, 2008 to May 10, 2021. The neural network recognized religious and conventional investments with maximum exposure to tail risk following the crisis periods reflecting strong diversification benefits of sustainable assets. The Systematic Network Risk Index spots Global Financial Crisis, European Debt Crisis, and COVID-19 pandemic as intensive events yielding high tail risk. The Systematic Fragility Index ranks the stock market in the pre-COVID period and Islamic stocks during the COVID sample as the most susceptible markets. Conversely, the Systematic Hazard Index nominates Islamic stocks as the chief risk contributor in the system. Given these, we portray various implications for policymakers, regulatory bodies, investors, financial market participants, and portfolio managers to diversify their risk using sustainable/green investments.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Sitara Karim & Larisa Yarovaya & Brian M. Lucey, 2025. "Systemic risk contagion of green and Islamic markets with conventional markets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 347(1), pages 265-287, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:347:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-023-05330-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-023-05330-5
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