IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v347y2025i1d10.1007_s10479-023-05330-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Systemic risk contagion of green and Islamic markets with conventional markets

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Abubakr Naeem

    (United Arab Emirates University)

  • Sitara Karim

    (Sunway University)

  • Larisa Yarovaya

    (Southampton Business School)

  • Brian M. Lucey

    (Trinity College Dublin
    University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City
    Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics
    Abu Dhabi University)

Abstract

Financial markets are exposed to extreme uncertain circumstances escalating their tail risk. Sustainable, religious, and conventional markets represent three different markets with various characteristics. Motivated with this, the current study measures the tail connectedness between sustainable, religious, and conventional investments by employing a neural network quantile regression approach from December 1, 2008 to May 10, 2021. The neural network recognized religious and conventional investments with maximum exposure to tail risk following the crisis periods reflecting strong diversification benefits of sustainable assets. The Systematic Network Risk Index spots Global Financial Crisis, European Debt Crisis, and COVID-19 pandemic as intensive events yielding high tail risk. The Systematic Fragility Index ranks the stock market in the pre-COVID period and Islamic stocks during the COVID sample as the most susceptible markets. Conversely, the Systematic Hazard Index nominates Islamic stocks as the chief risk contributor in the system. Given these, we portray various implications for policymakers, regulatory bodies, investors, financial market participants, and portfolio managers to diversify their risk using sustainable/green investments.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Sitara Karim & Larisa Yarovaya & Brian M. Lucey, 2025. "Systemic risk contagion of green and Islamic markets with conventional markets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 347(1), pages 265-287, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:347:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-023-05330-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-023-05330-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-023-05330-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-023-05330-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Dongyang & Mohsin, Muhammad & Rasheed, Abdul Khaliq & Chang, Youngho & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "Public spending and green economic growth in BRI region: Mediating role of green finance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yılmaz, Kamil, 2014. "On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 119-134.
    3. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Ferrer, Román & Ballester, Laura & Umar, Zaghum, 2017. "Risk transmission between Islamic and conventional stock markets: A return and volatility spillover analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 9-26.
    4. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    5. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas & Sensoy, Ahmet & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2017. "Dynamic risk spillovers between gold, oil prices and conventional, sustainability and Islamic equity aggregates and sectors with portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 454-475.
    6. Benlagha, Noureddine & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2022. "Risk connectedness between energy and stock markets: Evidence from oil importing and exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    7. Saeed, Tareq & Bouri, Elie & Alsulami, Hamed, 2021. "Extreme return connectedness and its determinants between clean/green and dirty energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    8. Chen, Jinyu & Liang, Zhipeng & Ding, Qian & Liu, Zhenhua, 2022. "Quantile connectedness between energy, metal, and carbon markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Anwer, Zaheer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hassan, M. Kabir & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Asymmetric connectedness across Asia-Pacific currencies: Evidence from time-frequency domain analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    10. El Hedi Arouri, Mohamed & Jouini, Jamel & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Volatility spillovers between oil prices and stock sector returns: Implications for portfolio management," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1387-1405.
    11. Sitara Karim & Shabeer Khan & Nawazish Mirza & Suha M. Alawi & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2022. "Climate Finance In The Wake Of Covid-19: Connectedness Of Clean Energy With Conventional Energy And Regional Stock Markets," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 1-25, August.
    12. Sitara Karim & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, 2022. "Do global factors drive the interconnectedness among green, Islamic and conventional financial markets?," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(4), pages 639-660, February.
    13. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Comparative efficiency of green and conventional bonds pre- and during COVID-19: An asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    14. Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Alawi, Suha M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2021. "COVID-19 and time-frequency connectedness between green and conventional financial markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    15. Yanan Li & David E. Giles, 2015. "Modelling Volatility Spillover Effects Between Developed Stock Markets and Asian Emerging Stock Markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 155-177, March.
    16. Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 2004. "CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 367-381, October.
    17. Umar, Muhammad & Farid, Saqib & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness among clean-energy stocks and fossil fuel markets: Comparison between financial, oil and pandemic crisis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    18. Yousaf, Imran & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Static and dynamic connectedness between NFTs, Defi and other assets: Portfolio implication," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    19. Azad, A.S.M.S. & Azmat, Saad & Chazi, Abdelaziz & Ahsan, Amirul, 2018. "Sailing with the non-conventional stocks when there is no place to hide," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1-16.
    20. Kang, Sang Hoon & Lee, Jang Woo, 2019. "The network connectedness of volatility spillovers across global futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    21. Gang-Jin Wang & Chi Xie & Kaijian He & H. Eugene Stanley, 2017. "Extreme risk spillover network: application to financial institutions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 1417-1433, September.
    22. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Junttila, Juha, 2022. "Small fish in big ponds: Connections of green finance assets to commodity and sectoral stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    23. Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "Examining the interrelatedness of NFTs, DeFi tokens and cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    24. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining & Yu, Lining, 2016. "TENET: Tail-Event driven NETwork risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 499-513.
    25. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Ladislav Kristoufek & Tareq Saeed, 2021. "Impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the US equity sectors: Evidence from quantile return spillovers," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-23, December.
    26. Abubakr Naeem, Muhammad & Iqbal, Najaf & Lucey, Brian M. & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Good versus bad information transmission in the cryptocurrency market: Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    27. Adrian Blundell-Wignall, 2012. "Solving the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe," OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2011(2), pages 201-224.
    28. Sharma, Gagan Deep & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Talan, Gaurav & Jain, Mansi, 2021. "Revisiting the sustainable versus conventional investment dilemma in COVID-19 times," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    29. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Chaker Aloui & Rania Jammazi & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2019. "Are Islamic bonds a good safe haven for stocks? Implications for portfolio management in a time-varying regime-switching copula framework," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 219-238, January.
    30. Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Lucey, Brian M., 2022. "Do ethics outpace sins?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    31. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Addo, Emmanuel & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Re-examination of international bond market dependence: Evidence from a pair copula approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    32. Liu, Zhenhua & Shi, Xunpeng & Zhai, Pengxiang & Wu, Shan & Ding, Zhihua & Zhou, Yuqin, 2021. "Tail risk connectedness in the oil-stock nexus: Evidence from a novel quantile spillover approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    33. Yoon, Seong-Min & Al Mamun, Md & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Network connectedness and net spillover between financial and commodity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 801-818.
    34. Yousaf, Imran & Pham, Linh & Goodell, John W., 2023. "The connectedness between meme tokens, meme stocks, and other asset classes: Evidence from a quantile connectedness approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    35. Pham, Linh & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Long, Cheng, 2022. "A tale of two tails among carbon prices, green and non-green cryptocurrencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    36. Zhou Xuefeng & Asif Razzaq & Korhan K. Gokmenoglu & Faheem Ur Rehman, 2022. "Time varying interdependency between COVID-19, tourism market, oil prices, and sustainable climate in United States: evidence from advance wavelet coherence approach," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 3337-3359, December.
    37. Yousaf, Imran & Nekhili, Ramzi & Gubareva, Mariya, 2022. "Linkages between DeFi assets and conventional currencies: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    38. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    39. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Nasreen, Samia & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2020. "Time-varying co-movements between energy market and global financial markets: Implication for portfolio diversification and hedging strategies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    40. Sitara Karim & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, 2022. "Do global factors drive the interconnectedness among green, Islamic and conventional financial markets?," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(4), pages 639-660, February.
    41. Balli, Faruk & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & de Bruin, Anne, 2019. "Spillover network of commodity uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 914-927.
    42. Farid, Saqib & Kayani, Ghulam Mujtaba & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Intraday volatility transmission among precious metals, energy and stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    43. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara, 2021. "Tail dependence between bitcoin and green financial assets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    44. Tiantian Liu & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Spillovers to Renewable Energy Stocks in the US and Europe: Are They Different?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-28, June.
    45. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mishra, Bibhuti Ranjan & Solarin, Sakiru Adebola, 2021. "Analysing the spillovers between crude oil prices, stock prices and metal prices: The importance of frequency domain in USA," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xin Jin & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Chaosheng Han & Mohammed Ahmar Uddin, 2025. "The tail connectedness among conventional, religious, and sustainable investments: An empirical evidence from neural network quantile regression approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1124-1142, April.
    2. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Quantifying systemic risk in US industries using neural network quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    3. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Boubaker, Sabri & Mirza, Nawazish & Karim, Sitara, 2023. "Interdependence of clean energy and green markets with cryptocurrencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    4. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Sitara Karim & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2023. "Risk Connectedness Between Green and Conventional Assets with Portfolio Implications," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 609-637, August.
    5. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Sadorsky, Perry & Karim, Sitara, 2023. "Sailing across climate-friendly bonds and clean energy stocks: An asymmetric analysis with the Gulf Cooperation Council Stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Siddique, Md Abubakar & Nobanee, Haitham & Karim, Sitara & Naz, Farah, 2022. "Investigating the role of metal and commodity classes in overcoming resource destabilization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Junttila, Juha, 2022. "Small fish in big ponds: Connections of green finance assets to commodity and sectoral stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Mohammad Rahim & Karim, Sitara & Assaf, Rima, 2023. "Tail risk transmission in technology-driven markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Yousaf, Imran & Karim, Sitara & Yarovaya, Larisa & Ali, Shoaib, 2023. "Tail-event driven NETwork dependence in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    10. Abubakr Naeem, Muhammad & Iqbal, Najaf & Lucey, Brian M. & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Good versus bad information transmission in the cryptocurrency market: Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Boubaker, Sabri & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Sharma, Gagan Deep, 2023. "Financial markets, energy shocks, and extreme volatility spillovers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    12. Billah, Mabruk & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vigne, Samuel A., 2022. "Return and volatility spillovers between energy and BRIC markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    13. Zaheer Anwer & Ashraf Khan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2025. "Modelling systemic risk of energy and non-energy commodity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 1193-1227, February.
    14. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Sitara Karim & Tooraj Jamasb & Rabindra Nepal, 2022. "Risk Transmission Between Green Markets and Commodities," CAMA Working Papers 2022-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    15. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Fiza Qureshi & Saqib Farid & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mohamed Elheddad, 2024. "Time-frequency information transmission among financial markets: evidence from implied volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 701-729, March.
    16. Mbarki, Imen & Khan, Muhammad Arif & Karim, Sitara & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "Unveiling commodities-financial markets intersections from a bibliometric perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Farid, Saqib & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad A. & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2023. "Co-movement between dirty and clean energy: A time-frequency perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    18. Shi, Huai-Long & Chen, Huayi, 2025. "Quantile return connectedness of theme factors and portfolio implications: Evidence from the US and China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    19. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hamouda, Foued & Karim, Sitara & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Return and volatility spillovers among global assets: Comparing health crisis with geopolitical crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 557-575.
    20. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Arfaoui, Nadia & Cheong, Calvin W.H., 2023. "Exploring the time-varying asymmetric effects of environmental regulation policies and human capital on sustainable development efficiency: A province level evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:347:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-023-05330-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.