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Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis

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  • Li, Sufang
  • Xu, Qiufan
  • Lv, Yixue
  • Yuan, Di

Abstract

This paper uses time-frequency analysis, including wavelet analysis and time-frequency domain causality, to evaluate the relationship between public attention to the COVID-19 pandemic, crude oil, and gold markets in the G7 countries over time and frequency. Empirical findings show that WTI oil lead gold returns during the COVID-19 outbreak, and vice versa when Omicron spread. The relationship between public attention to the COVID-19 and WTI oil/gold markets appears to be heterogeneous for G7 countries. European public attention caused by the COVID-19 outbreak has a strong impact on gold returns at the 32–64 day frequency, while public attention generated by Omicron has a significant effect on WTI oil returns at 4–128 day frequency. The public in the US and Canada is more concerned about the global stock and WTI oil markets slump than the COVID-19 pandemic. The Italian public seems to be the most sensitive to the EU's economic support plan. The heterogeneity of the public attention-oil/gold nexus in the G7 implies that portfolio diversification across markets and investment horizons may be extremely beneficial.

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  • Li, Sufang & Xu, Qiufan & Lv, Yixue & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:78:y:2022:i:c:s0301420722003142
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102868
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    Keywords

    Public attention; Oil markets; Gold markets; Multivariate wavelet; Time-frequency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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