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Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination

Author

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  • Pierre-Richard Agénor

    (University of Manchester)

  • Luiz A. Pereira da Silva

    (Bank for International Settlements)

Abstract

This paper discusses the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination in a financially integrated world economy. It begins with a review of the transmission channels associated with, and the empirical evidence on, financial spillovers and spillbacks. Limitations of the existing literature are also identified. The potential gains associated with cross-border macroprudential coordination, dwelling on both recent analytical contributions and quantitative studies based on multi-country models with financial frictions, are then evaluated. The issue of whether coordination of macroprudential policies simultaneously requires some degree of monetary policy coordination is also discussed. The analysis focuses on the potential for policy coordination between major advanced economies and a group identified as systemically-important middle-income countries (SMICs). Next, practical ways to promote international macroprudential policy coordination are considered. Following a discussion of Basel III’s Principle of reciprocity and ways to improve it, the paper advocates a further strengthening of the current statistical, empirical and analytical work conducted by international financial institutions to evaluate, and raise awareness of, the gains from international coordination of macroprudential policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:19:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10368-021-00522-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-021-00522-5
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    2. Chari, Anusha & Dilts-Stedman, Karlye & Forbes, Kristin, 2022. "Spillovers at the extremes: The macroprudential stance and vulnerability to the global financial cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2023. "Capital requirements and growth in an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    4. Prabheesh, K.P. & Anglingkusumo, Reza & Juhro, Solikin M., 2021. "The dynamics of global financial cycle and domestic economic cycles: Evidence from India and Indonesia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 831-842.
    5. Katharina Bergant & Kristin Forbes, 2023. "Macroprudential Policy during COVID-19: The Role of Policy Space," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Claudio Borio & Edward S Robinson & Hyun Song Shin (ed.), MACRO-FINANCIAL STABILITY POLICY IN A GLOBALISED WORLD: LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE Selected Papers from the Asian Monetary Policy Forum 202, chapter 8, pages 130-174, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Johnson, Christopher P., 2021. "International shadow banking and prudential capital controls," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    7. Munir Khamis & Dalal Aassouli, 2023. "The Eligibility of Green Bonds as Safe Haven Assets: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-27, April.
    8. Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti & Haonan Zhou, 2018. "Cross-border Banking and the Circumvention of Macroprudential and Capital Control Measures," IMF Working Papers 2018/217, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Sophie Brana & Dalila Chenaf-Nicet & Delphine Lahet, 2023. "Drivers of cross-border bank claims: The role of foreign-owned banks in emerging countries," Working Papers 2023.06, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    10. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy P. & Pereira da Silva, Luiz A., 2024. "Cross-border regulatory spillovers and macroprudential policy coordination," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    11. Gong, Yuting & He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "EPU spillovers and stock return predictability: A cross-country study," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    12. David de Villiers & Hylton Hollander & Dawie van Lill, 2023. "The effectiveness of macroprudential policies in managing extreme capital flow episodes," Working Papers 06/2023, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    13. Wang, Xunxiao, 2020. "Frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers among crude oil and international stock markets: The role of the interest rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    14. Pierre‐Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2023. "Global banking, financial spillovers and macroprudential policy coordination," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(359), pages 1003-1040, July.
    15. Michael Abendschein & Harry Gölz, 2021. "International cooperation on financial market regulation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 787-824, October.
    16. Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Shi, Yukun & Zhao, Yang, 2021. "Financial spillovers and spillbacks: New evidence from China and G7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 184-200.
    17. Bruni, Franco & Siaba Serrate, José & Villafranca, Antonio, 2019. "The quest for global monetary policy coordination," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 13, pages 1-16.
    18. Kooths, Stefan & Felbermayr, Gabriel, 2020. "Stabilitätspolitik in der Corona-Krise," Kiel Policy Brief 138, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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