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Bank/sovereign Risk Spillovers in the European Debt Crisis

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  • De Bruyckere, V.
  • Gerhardt, M.
  • Schepens, G.

Abstract

This paper investigates contagion between bank risk and sovereign risk in Europe over the period 2006-2011. We define contagion as excess correlation, i.e. correlation between banks and sovereigns over and above what is explained by common factors, using CDS spreads at the bank and at the sovereign level. Moreover, we investigate the determinants of contagion by analyzing bank-specific as well as country-specific variables and their interaction. We provide empirical evidence that various contagion channels are at work, including a strong home bias in bank bond portfolios, using the EBA’s disclosure of sovereign exposures of banks. We find that banks with a weak capital and/or funding position are particularly vulnerable to risk spillovers. At the country level, the debt ratio is the most important driver of contagion.
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  • De Bruyckere, V. & Gerhardt, M. & Schepens, G., 2012. "Bank/sovereign Risk Spillovers in the European Debt Crisis," Other publications TiSEM 71b16c7d-81a7-4572-afcb-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:71b16c7d-81a7-4572-afcb-b4a3c81e1b00
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    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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