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The Impact of Financial Crisis on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of North China

Author

Listed:
  • Huiru Zhao

    () (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Haoran Zhao

    () (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Sen Guo

    () (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Fuqiang Li

    () (North China Grid Company Limited, No. 482 Canton Avenue, Beijing Xuanwu District, Beijing 100053, China)

  • Yuou Hu

    () (North China Grid Company Limited, No. 482 Canton Avenue, Beijing Xuanwu District, Beijing 100053, China)

Abstract

The electricity consumption and economic growth are highly correlated. The financial crisis in 2008 brought a negative effect on China’s economic growth, which also influenced the electricity consumption. The electricity demand of North China region was also greatly influenced by this financial crisis, the whole social electricity consumption growth rate of which decreased by 14.31% in 2008 compared to that in 2007. In order to analyze the random impulse effect of the financial crisis on the demand of electricity in North China, the monthly data is decomposed into deterministic trend, stochastic impact effect, and periodic trend using the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition method. After comparatively analyzing the impulse effect of the financial crisis on electricity consumption of six provinces in North China, we can draw the conclusions: (1) the electricity consumption of the whole society and the secondary industry are under larger negative impacts, and the random impulse effect of the secondary industry is more intense; and (2) the impact of the financial crisis on the tertiary industry, which is mainly influenced by seasonal changes, is smaller. Finally, some policy implications are proposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Huiru Zhao & Haoran Zhao & Sen Guo & Fuqiang Li & Yuou Hu, 2016. "The Impact of Financial Crisis on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of North China," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(4), pages 1-13, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:9:y:2016:i:4:p:250-:d:66824
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Energy consumption, financial development and economic growth in India: New evidence from a nonlinear and asymmetric analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 199-212.
    2. Ouyang, Yaofu & Li, Peng, 2018. "On the nexus of financial development, economic growth, and energy consumption in China: New perspective from a GMM panel VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 238-252.
    3. Yanan Liu & Yixuan Gao & Yu Hao & Hua Liao, 2016. "The Relationship between Residential Electricity Consumption and Income: A Piecewise Linear Model with Panel Data," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(10), pages 1-11, October.
    4. Ye Fan & Zhicheng Zhang & Xiaoli Zhao & Haitao Yin, 2018. "Interaction between Industrial Policy and Stock Price Volatility: Evidence from China’s Power Market Reform," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(6), pages 1-19, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    electricity consumption; financial crisis; Beveridge-Nelson decomposition method; stochastic impact effect; North China;

    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics
    • Q0 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q49 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Other

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