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“Dollarization vs. bitcoinization in Türkiye: Which is more dangerous for the financial market?”

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  • Jabbour, George M.
  • Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal

Abstract

While bitcoinization and dollarization share similar theoretical economic definitions, their effects on the financial market differ. We employ a vector autoregressive model and Granger causality test to examine the causal relationships between Bitcoin demand, the dollarization rate, and the financial market in Türkiye. The results indicate that neither bitcoinization nor dollarization directly causes a financial crisis in Türkiye. However, when breaking down the financial market into its three components —the banking sector, the stock market, and the foreign exchange market — we find a bidirectional causality between bitcoinization and the banking sector, and between dollarization and the exchange market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jabbour, George M. & Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal, 2025. "“Dollarization vs. bitcoinization in Türkiye: Which is more dangerous for the financial market?”," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:100:y:2025:i:c:s104244312500006x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102116
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Türkiye (Turkey); Dollarization; Bitcoin; VAR; Causality Tests; Financial Market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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