IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v12y2024i6p135-d1405367.html

The Timing and Strength of Inequality Concerns in the UK Public Debate: Google Trends, Elections and the Macroeconomy

Author

Listed:
  • Knut Lehre Seip

    (Faculty of Technology, Art and Design, Oslo Metropolitan University, P.O. Box 4, St. Olavs Plass, Pilestredet Park 33, 0176 Oslo, Norway)

  • Frode Eika Sandnes

    (Department of Computer Science, Oslo Metropolitan University, 0167 Oslo, Norway)

Abstract

Inequality among people has several unwanted effects, in humanistic, social and economic contexts. Several studies address distributional preferences among groups, but little is known about when inequality issues are focused and when and why inequality abatement measures are brought on the political agenda. We show that during the period 2004 to 2023, inequality issues were focused during elections to the EU and UK parliament and with greatest strength during the elections to the EU parliament in May 2004 and to the UK parliament in May 2015. Periods with high unemployment and inflation cause the discussion on inequality to be followed by discussions on inequality measures. However, when the discussion of inequality is followed very closely by the discussions of abatement measures, inequality aversion becomes more strongly associated with the macroeconomic variables inflation and GDP (recessions) than with unemployment and more strongly associated with the concerns for fairness than concerns with war and crime. The results were obtained examining Google Trends and scholarly studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Knut Lehre Seip & Frode Eika Sandnes, 2024. "The Timing and Strength of Inequality Concerns in the UK Public Debate: Google Trends, Elections and the Macroeconomy," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-17, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:6:p:135-:d:1405367
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/6/135/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/6/135/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Adolfo Maza, 2022. "Regional Differences in Okun’s Law and Explanatory Factors: Some Insights From Europe," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 45(5), pages 555-580, September.
    2. Xavier Jaravel, 2021. "Inflation Inequality: Measurement, Causes, and Policy Implications," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 599-629, August.
    3. Wayne Nafziger, E. & Auvinen, Juha, 2002. "Economic Development, Inequality, War, and State Violence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 153-163, February.
    4. Seip, Knut Lehre & McNown, Robert, 2007. "The timing and accuracy of leading and lagging business cycle indicators: A new approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 277-287.
    5. Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu & Tamara Maria Nae & Margareta-Stela Florescu, 2024. "From Policy to Impact: Advancing Economic Development and Tackling Social Inequities in Central and Eastern Europe," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-25, January.
    6. Barth, Erling & Finseraas, Henning & Kjelsrud, Anders & Moene, Kalle, 2023. "Openness and the welfare state: risk and income effects in protection without protectionism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Manwar Hossein Malla & Pairote Pathranarakul, 2022. "Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality: The Critical Role of Institutional Capacity," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
    8. Lambert, Peter J. & Millimet, Daniel L. & Slottje, Daniel, 2003. "Inequality aversion and the natural rate of subjective inequality," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(5-6), pages 1061-1090, May.
    9. Jesper Rözer & Bram Lancee & Beate Volker, 2022. "Keeping Up or Giving Up? Income Inequality and Materialism in Europe and the United States," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 647-666, January.
    10. Antonio Filippin & Luca Nunziata, 2019. "Monetary effects of inequality: lessons from the euro experiment," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 17(2), pages 99-124, June.
    11. Timoneda, Joan C. & Wibbels, Erik, 2022. "Spikes and Variance: Using Google Trends to Detect and Forecast Protests," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 1-18, January.
    12. Mohamed Ali Chroufa & Nouri Chtourou, 2022. "Inequality and Growth in Tunisia: New Evidence from Threshold Regression," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 901-924, September.
    13. Edmond Berisha & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2021. "Time-varying influence of household debt on inequality in United Kingdom," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1917-1933, October.
    14. Arthur F. Burns & Wesley C. Mitchell, 1946. "Measuring Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number burn46-1, October.
    15. Knut Lehre Seip & Yunus Yilmaz & Michael Schröder, 2019. "Comparing Sentiment- and Behavioral-Based Leading Indexes for Industrial Production: When Does Each Fail?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-18, October.
    16. Leo Azzollini & Richard Breen & Brian Nolan, 2023. "Demographic behaviour and earnings inequality across OECD countries," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 21(2), pages 441-461, June.
    17. Nikolay Angelov & Daniel Waldenström, 2023. "COVID-19 and income inequality: evidence from monthly population registers," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 21(2), pages 351-379, June.
    18. Anton Michálek & Ján Výbošťok, 2019. "Economic Growth, Inequality and Poverty in the EU," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(2), pages 611-630, January.
    19. Evelyn Nwamaka Osaretin Ogbeide & David Onyinyechi Agu, 2015. "Poverty and Income Inequality in Nigeria: Any Causality?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(3), pages 439-452, March.
    20. Murat Cetin & Harun Demir & Selin Saygin, 2021. "Financial Development, Technological Innovation and Income Inequality: Time Series Evidence from Turkey," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 47-69, July.
    21. Rajaguru, Gulasekaran & Srivastava, Sadhana & Sen, Rahul & Mukhopadhaya, Pundarik, 2023. "Does globalization drive long-run inequality within OECD countries? A guide to policy making," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 469-493.
    22. Christopher Hoy & Russell Toth & Nurina Merdikawati, 2024. "A false divide? Providing information about inequality aligns preferences for redistribution between right- and left-wing voters," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 22(3), pages 669-707, September.
    23. Fisman, Raymond & Jakiela, Pamela & Kariv, Shachar, 2017. "Distributional preferences and political behavior," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 1-10.
    24. Díaz, Guillermo Arenas & Barge-Gil, Andrés & Heijs, Joost, 2020. "The effect of innovation on skilled and unskilled workers during bad times," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 141-158.
    25. Isabella M. Webe & Evan Wasner, 2023. "Sellers’ inflation, profits and conflict: why can large firms hike prices in an emergency?," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 11(2), pages 183-213, April.
    26. Evelyn Nwamaka Osaretin Ogbeide & David Onyinyechi Agu, 2015. "Poverty and Income Inequality in Nigeria: Any Causality?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(3), pages 439-452.
    27. Roe, Mark J. & Siegel, Jordan I., 2011. "Political instability: Effects on financial development, roots in the severity of economic inequality," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 279-309, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. John Michael Riveros-Gavilanes & Jeisson Andres Riveros-Gavilanes & Sherif M. Hassan & Oluwaseun Samuel Oduniyi, 2026. "What Do We See from Inequality and Violence? Evidence from a Global RDD Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 182(1), pages 1-34, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kashif Islam & Ahmad Raza Bilal & Syed Anees Haider Zaidi, 2022. "Symmetric and asymmetric nexus between economic freedom and stock market development in Pakistan," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2391-2421, November.
    2. Soh, Ann-Ni, 2020. "A Review on the Leading Indicator Approach towards Economic Forecasting," MPRA Paper 103854, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Tolulope Temilola Osinubi, 2020. "The Role Of Income Inequality In The Globalisation-Poverty Nexus: Empirical Evidence From Mint Countries," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 7(2), pages 67-89.
    4. Ademola Obafemi Young, 2019. "Growth Impacts of Income Inequality: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(3), pages 226-262, December.
    5. Nwanakwere, Justine & Ogwumike, Fidelis, 2019. "Non-Food Poverty Differential Across Urban/Rural and Geo-political Zones in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 101457, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 29 Jun 2020.
    6. Knut Lehre Seip & Dan Zhang, 2024. "Scoring Six Detrending Methods on Timing, Lead-Lag Relations, and Cycle Periods: An Empirical Study of US and UK Recessions 1977–2020," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(5), pages 3087-3116, November.
    7. Musa Jeremiah Adu'a & Dr. Oluwatosin Olushola & Dr. Chris AC-Ogbonna, 2025. "The Effect of Poverty, Income and Gender Inequality on Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 9(1), pages 508-521, January.
    8. Mbazia, Nadia, 2017. "Inequality and Growth in Tunisia: Empirical evidence on the role of macroeconomic factors," MPRA Paper 81127, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Kohnert, Dirk, 2022. "Les Africains, sont-ils heureux ? « Retour au rire » en temps de guerre, de famine et de misère," EconStor Preprints 301064, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Dian Wahyuningsih & Ani Yunaningsih & Muhammad Sidik Priadana & Dio Caisar Darma & Purwadi Purwadi, 2020. "Why are Unemployment and Poverty Still Happening in Borneo Island, Indonesia?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 235-241.
    11. Usman, Zainab A. & Ritter, Krisztian & Vinogradov, Sergey A., 2016. "The Dynamics of Income Inequality in Rural Areas of Nigeria," Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, vol. 11(4).
    12. Sánchez García, Javier & Galdeano Gómez, Emilio & Cruz Rambaud, Salvador, 2024. "Drivers of inflationary shocks and spillovers between Europe and the United States," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Rasaki Stephen Dauda & Olusola Joel Oyeleke, 2021. "Poverty And Inequality: The Challenges To Sustainable Development In Nigeria," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 8(2), pages 1-16.
    14. Kohnert, Dirk, 2022. "Are Africans happy? 'Return to laughter' in times of war, famine and misery," EconStor Preprints 301063, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    15. Dr. FASHANU Felix Adeniyi & Dr. KASALI Taofeek Aremu & Dr. OLOWE Olukemi Olumuyiwa, 2022. "Relative Contributions of Disaggregated Government Social Expenditure to Income Poverty Reduction in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 6(3), pages 419-426, March.
    16. Julian Augusto Casas Herrera, 2020. "Develando el vínculo entre la desigualdad y la pobreza," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 39(69), pages 39-68.
    17. Kohnert, Dirk, 2025. "The Inequality Trap: Why Sub-Saharan Africa Struggles to Escape Poverty," MPRA Paper 125930, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Abdul Rehman & Laura Mariana Cismas & Ioana Anda Milin, 2022. "“The Three Evils”: Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment’s Shadow on Economic Progress—A Novel Exploration from the Asymmetric Technique," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-16, July.
    19. repec:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:5:p:1704-1719 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Ekpeyong, Paul, 2023. "Econometric Analysis of the impact of inflation, unemployment, and economic growth on poverty reduction: A novel application of Asymmetric technique," MPRA Paper 117762, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Semieniuk, Gregor & Weber, Isabella M. & Weaver, Iain S. & Wasner, Evan & Braun, Benjamin & Holden, Philip B. & Salas, Pablo & Mercure, Jean-Francois & Edwards, Neil R., 2025. "Best of times, worst of times: record fossil-fuel profits, inflation and inequality," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 129170, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:6:p:135-:d:1405367. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.