IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0301628.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Do positive and negative shocks of tourism development affect income inequality in a developed country?

Author

Listed:
  • Ngoc Bui Hoang

Abstract

Income inequality is an essential cause of violence, stagnant development, and political instability. This study will examine the positive and negative shocks in tourism development, and the distribution of the interaction between tourism development, economic growth, human capital, globalization, and income inequality will be discussed in Singapore, a developed and top-visited country. By adopting autoregressive distributed lag and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag approaches for panel data from 1978 to 2022, the results indicate an asymmetric cointegration among variables, and positive and negative changes in tourism development lead to decreased income inequality. More specifically, the asymmetric effect of tourism is found both in the short- and long-term, and positive shock has a greater impact than negative shock. At the same time, the findings also reveal that economic growth and globalization enhance, while human capital negatively affects income inequality in Singapore. These findings strengthen the belief of Singapore policy-makers and recommend several significant lessons for developing countries to promote tourism, sustainable development, and reduce income inequality.

Suggested Citation

  • Ngoc Bui Hoang, 2024. "Do positive and negative shocks of tourism development affect income inequality in a developed country?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(4), pages 1-19, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0301628
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0301628
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0301628
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0301628&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0301628?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Natalia Porto & Natalia Espinola, 2019. "Labor income inequalities and tourism development in Argentina: A regional approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(8), pages 1265-1285, December.
    2. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    3. Adem Y. Elveren & Gökçer Özgür, 2016. "The Effect of Informal Economy on Income Inequality: Evidence from Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 293-312, June.
    4. Facundo Alvaredo & Thomas Piketty & Emmanuel Saez & Lucas Chancel & Gabriel Zucman, 2018. "World Inequality Report 2018," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01885458, HAL.
    5. Nathalie Scholl & Stephan Klasen, 2019. "Re-estimating the relationship between inequality and growth," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(4), pages 824-847.
    6. Jong-Wha Lee & Hanol Lee, 2018. "Human capital and income inequality," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 554-583, October.
    7. Robert Breunig & Omer Majeed, 2020. "Inequality, poverty and economic growth," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 83-99.
    8. Michael R.M. Abrigo & Sang-Hyop Lee & Donghyun Park, 2018. "Human Capital Spending, Inequality, and Growth in Middle-Income Asia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(6), pages 1285-1303, May.
    9. Hu, Zhining, 2021. "The effect of income inequality on human capital inequality: Evidence from China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 471-489.
    10. Katrakilidis, Constantinos & Trachanas, Emmanouil, 2012. "What drives housing price dynamics in Greece: New evidence from asymmetric ARDL cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1064-1069.
    11. Li, Hengyun & Chen, Jason Li & Li, Gang & Goh, Carey, 2016. "Tourism and regional income inequality: Evidence from China," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 81-99.
    12. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping & Xing, Wenwu, 2022. "Do national cultures matter for tourism development? Some international evidence," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 666-686.
    13. Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y., 1995. "An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9514, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    14. repec:eme:jbsed0:jbsed-07-2021-0102 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Kazeem B. Ajide & Olorunfemi Y. Alimi, 2021. "Income inequality, human capital and terrorism in Africa: Beyond exploratory analytics," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 218-240.
    16. Junsoo Lee & Mark C. Strazicich, 2003. "Minimum Lagrange Multiplier Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1082-1089, November.
    17. Renuka Mahadevan & Sandy Suardi & Chenyu Ji & Zhang Hanyu, 2021. "Is urbanization the link in the tourism–poverty nexus? Case study of China," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(23), pages 3357-3371, December.
    18. Adem Y. Elveren & Gökçer Özgür, 2016. "The Effect of Informal Economy on Income Inequality: Evidence from Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 293-312.
    19. Carrascal Incera, André & Fernández, Melchor Fernández, 2015. "Tourism and income distribution: Evidence from a developed regional economy," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 11-20.
    20. Matías Braun & Francisco Parro & Patricio Valenzuela, 2019. "Does Finance Alter The Relation Between Inequality And Growth?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 410-428, January.
    21. Gary S. Becker, 1962. "Investment in Human Capital: A Theoretical Analysis," NBER Chapters, in: Investment in Human Beings, pages 9-49, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Alam, Md. Samsul & Paramati, Sudharshan Reddy, 2016. "The impact of tourism on income inequality in developing economies: Does Kuznets curve hypothesis exist?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 111-126.
    23. Yogeeswari Subramaniam & Tajul Ariffin Masron & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2022. "Tourism and income inequality," Journal of Business and Socio-economic Development, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 2(2), pages 181-194, August.
    24. Murat Cetin & Harun Demir & Selin Saygin, 2021. "Financial Development, Technological Innovation and Income Inequality: Time Series Evidence from Turkey," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 47-69, July.
    25. Agiomirgianakis, George & Serenis, Dimitrios & Tsounis, Nicholas, 2017. "Effective timing of tourism policy: The case of Singapore," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 29-38.
    26. Abel Kinyondo & Riccardo Pelizzo, 2015. "Tourism, Development and Inequality: The Case of Tanzania," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(1), pages 64-79, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Natalia Porto & Natalia Espinola & Laura Carella, 2020. "Income inequality, tourism and resources endowment in Uruguay: a spatial and distributional approach," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4393, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    2. Kholeka Mdingi & Sin-Yu Ho, 2023. "Income inequality and economic growth: An empirical investigation in South Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 2230027-223, June.
    3. Mo Xu & Shifeng Chen & Jian Chen & Taiming Zhang, 2023. "Non-linear links between human capital, educational inequality and income inequality, evidence from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(8), pages 1-18, August.
    4. Manea, Roxana Elena & Piraino, Patrizio & Viarengo, Martina, 2023. "Crime, inequality and subsidized housing: Evidence from South Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Christl, Michael & De Poli, Silvia & Köppl-Turyna, Monika, 2025. "Does redistribution hurt growth? An empirical assessment of the redistribution–growth relationship in the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    6. Mohamed Ali Labidi & Anis Ochi & Yosra Saidi, 2024. "Extreme Poverty, Economic Growth, and Income Inequality Trilogy in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia: A GMM Panel VAR Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 10592-10612, September.
    7. Marcelo Santos & Marta Simões & Sílvia Sousa, 2024. "Health human capital formation in the OECD: Exploring the role of welfare state composition," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 580-610, March.
    8. Rowland Tochukwu Obiakor & Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Nnamdi Chinwendu Nwaeze, 2022. "Accounting for the symmetric and asymmetric effects of FDI-growth nexus amidst financial crises, economic crises and COVID-19 pandemic: application of hidden co-integration," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, December.
    9. Coronel Vicente J. & Díaz-Roldán Carmen, 2024. "Government Expenditure, Education, and Productivity in the European Union: Effects on Economic Growth," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-24.
    10. Faten Derouez & Adel Ifa & Abdullah Al Shammre, 2024. "Energy Transition and Poverty Alleviation in Light of Environmental and Economic Challenges: A Comparative Study in China and the European Union Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-25, May.
    11. Andrew Adewale Alola & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2023. "Are green resource productivity and environmental technologies the face of environmental sustainability in the Nordic region?," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(2), pages 760-772, April.
    12. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Thanh, Su Dinh, 2020. "Domestic tourism spending and economic vulnerability," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    13. Yassine Jaber & Ismail Kabouri & Mohamed Bouzahzah & Ibourk Aomar & Mohamed Karim, 2022. "Economic growth and education in Morocco: Cointegration and Toda Yamamoto Granger Causality," Post-Print hal-03694377, HAL.
    14. Oumarou, Mohamadou & Sali, Oumarou & Hamadou, Alioum, 2024. "Re-examining the Link Between Economic Growth and Income Inequality in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Do Natural Resource Endowments Matter?," OSF Preprints 5sczh, Center for Open Science.
    15. Anis Ochi & Mohamed Ali Labidi & Yosra Saidi, 2024. "The Nexus Between Pro-poor Growth, Inequality, Institutions and Poverty: Evidence from Low and Middle Income Developing Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 172(2), pages 703-739, March.
    16. Feng Wang & Shaoxin Shen, 2024. "Does the digital economy development improve or exacerbate income inequality? International evidence," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(6), pages 4012-4038, September.
    17. S. Gokhool & V. Tandrayen-Ragoobur & H. Kasseeah, 2024. "The employment, growth and income inequality link: the economic significance of natural resources for Sub-Saharan Africa," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(4), pages 877-896, December.
    18. Onur Özdemir, 2023. "The determinants of income distribution: the role of progress in human capital," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 4193-4227, October.
    19. ETUDAIYE-MUHTAR Oyebola Fatima, 2024. "Financial Inclusion And Income Inequality In Nigeria," Management of Sustainable Development, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 16(1), pages 75-87, June.
    20. Ma, Dan & Chen, Hongfan & Fu, Lifu, 2024. "The impact of financial inclusion on human capital investment: Evidence from China Family Panel Studies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1438-1451.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0301628. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.