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Contagion, volatility persistence and volatility spill-overs: The case of energy markets during the European financial crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Kostas Andriosopoulos

    (ESCP Europe - Ecole Supérieure de Commerce de Paris)

  • Emilios Galariotis

    (Audencia Business School)

  • Spyros Spyrou

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate if and to what extent events in financially troubled EU markets (Greece, Ireland and Portugal) affected energy prices during the EU financial crisis. More specifically, (i) we test for contagion effects of bond prices on energy/commodity prices, (ii) we examine whether the nature of energy price volatility is affected and (iii) we investigate whether bond volatility from the financially distressed EU markets spills over to energy/commodity return volatility. Our results indicate the existence of significant contagion effects; notable changes in the nature of energy/commodity volatility during the EU financial crisis; and spill-over effects. The results are robust to the use of short-term yields instead of long-term bond price changes, and to the inclusion of Spain and Italy in the sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Kostas Andriosopoulos & Emilios Galariotis & Spyros Spyrou, 2017. "Contagion, volatility persistence and volatility spill-overs: The case of energy markets during the European financial crisis," Post-Print hal-01578056, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01578056
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.06.023
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    Cited by:

    1. Xie, Qichang & Bi, Yanhao & Xi, Yiyu & Xu, Xin, 2025. "The impact of geopolitical risk on higher-order moment risk spillovers in global energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    2. Mehdi Mili & Jean‐Michel Sahut & Frédéric Teulon, 2020. "Shift‐contagion in energy markets and global crisis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 725-736, August.
    3. Wu, Fei & Xiao, Xuanqi & Zhou, Xinyu & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Complex risk contagions among large international energy firms: A multi-layer network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    4. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Ming, Tee Chwee & Nguyen, Van Ky Long, 2021. "An assessment of how COVID-19 changed the global equity market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 480-491.
    5. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chen, Hsing Hung, 2018. "The contagious effects on economic development after resuming construction policy for nuclear power plants in Coastal China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 291-302.
    6. Tripathi, Abhinava & Jha, Ravi Raushan & Vadhava, Charu, 2025. "A critique of the inappropriate interpretation of the quantile connectedness approach by Ando et al. (2022)," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Dony Abdul Chalid & Rangga Handika, 2022. "Comovement and contagion in commodity markets," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2064079-206, December.
    8. Awasthi, Kritika & Ahmad, Wasim & Rahman, Abdul & Phani, B.V., 2020. "When US sneezes, clichés spread: How do the commodity index funds react then?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Umar, Muhammad & Farid, Saqib & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness among clean-energy stocks and fossil fuel markets: Comparison between financial, oil and pandemic crisis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    10. Aloui, Riadh & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Mefteh-Wali, Salma, 2022. "Tail-risk spillovers from China to G7 stock market returns during the COVID-19 outbreak: A market and sectoral analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    11. Alaba, Oluwayemisi O. & Ojo, Oluwadare O. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Abu, Nurudeen & Ajobo, Saheed A., 2021. "Comparative Analysis of Market Efficiency and Volatility of Energy Prices Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic Periods," MPRA Paper 109825, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Gong, Xiao-Li & Li, Ye & Xiong, Xiong, 2025. "Tail risk interconnectedness between cryptocurrency and clean energy markets under geopolitical conflicts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 668(C).
    13. Carlson, Ewa Lazarczyk & Pickford, Kit & Nyga-Łukaszewska, Honorata, 2023. "Green hydrogen and an evolving concept of energy security: Challenges and comparisons," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
    14. Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2018. "The Lead–Lag Relationship between Oil Futures and Spot Prices—A Literature Review," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-22, October.
    15. Karanasos, Menelaos & Menla Ali, Faek & Margaronis, Zannis & Nath, Rajat, 2018. "Modelling time varying volatility spillovers and conditional correlations across commodity metal futures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 246-256.
    16. Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Ullah, Alishba Rahman & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2025. "Exploring the dynamic connectedness between uranium stocks and metals: Implications for portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    17. Najaf Iqbal & Elie Bouri & Oksana Grebinevych & David Roubaud, 2023. "Modelling extreme risk spillovers in the commodity markets around crisis periods including COVID19," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 330(1), pages 305-334, November.
    18. Yue-Jun Zhang & Shu-Hui Li, 2019. "The impact of investor sentiment on crude oil market risks: evidence from the wavelet approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(8), pages 1357-1371, August.

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    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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