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Bitcoin return: Impacts from the introduction of new altcoins

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  • Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong
  • Nguyen, Binh Thanh
  • Nguyen, Thanh Cong
  • Nguyen, Quang Quoc

Abstract

The model predicting Bitcoin price formation remains a mystery to academia and investors. Newly invented cryptocurrencies (alternative coins – altcoins) with enhanced features may become close substitutes to Bitcoin in terms of risk diversification. Employing Autoregressive-Distributed-Lag (ARDL) estimations, we document the evidence that the introduction of a new altcoin tends to lower Bitcoin return by 0.7% which is substantial given that the average and median daily returns of Bitcoin are 0.63% and 0.27%, respectively. Our study suggests that the negative impact of an Initial Public Offering on existing stock prices can also be observed in the cryptocurrency market: altcoin introductions reduce Bitcoin return.

Suggested Citation

  • Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Nguyen, Binh Thanh & Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Nguyen, Quang Quoc, 2019. "Bitcoin return: Impacts from the introduction of new altcoins," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 420-425.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:48:y:2019:i:c:p:420-425
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.02.001
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    2. María de la O González & Francisco Jareño & Frank S. Skinner, 2020. "Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach: An Application on the Connectedness between Bitcoin Returns and the Other Ten Most Relevant Cryptocurrency Returns," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-22, May.
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    6. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah, 2024. "Gauging Demand for Cryptocurrency over the Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55, July.
    7. José Campino & Ana Brochado & Álvaro Rosa, 2021. "Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs): the importance of human capital," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 91(8), pages 1225-1262, October.
    8. Yousaf, Imran & Jareño, Francisco & Tolentino, Marta, 2023. "Connectedness between Defi assets and equity markets during COVID-19: A sector analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    9. Fang, Tong & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Economic fundamentals or investor perceptions? The role of uncertainty in predicting long-term cryptocurrency volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    10. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19-related media coverage on the return and volatility connectedness of cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    11. Jiménez, Inés & Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Perote, Javier, 2022. "Semi-nonparametric risk assessment with cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    12. Kao, Yu-Sheng & Zhao, Kai & Chuang, Hwei-Lin & Ku, Yu-Cheng, 2024. "The asymmetric relationships between the Bitcoin futures’ return, volatility, and trading volume," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 524-542.
    13. Dulani Jayasuriya Daluwathumullagamage & Alexandra Sims, 2021. "Fantastic Beasts: Blockchain Based Banking," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-43, April.
    14. Khaki, Audil & Prasad, Mason & Al-Mohamad, Somar & Bakry, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Re-evaluating portfolio diversification and design using cryptocurrencies: Are decentralized cryptocurrencies enough?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    15. Riccardo Blasis & Luca Galati & Alexander Webb & Robert I. Webb, 2023. "Intelligent design: stablecoins (in)stability and collateral during market turbulence," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
    16. Binh Nguyen Thanh & Thai Nguyen Vu Hong & Huy Pham & Thanh Nguyen Cong & Thu Pham Thi Anh, 2023. "Are the stabilities of stablecoins connected?," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 50(3), pages 515-525, September.
    17. Galati, Luca & Capalbo, Francesco, 2024. "Silicon Valley Bank bankruptcy and Stablecoins stability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    19. BRIK, Hatem & El OUAKDI, Jihene & FTITI, Zied, 2022. "Roles of stable versus nonstable cryptocurrencies in Bitcoin market dynamics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    20. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O. & López, Raquel & Ramos, Ana Rosa, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and oil price shocks: A NARDL analysis in the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    21. Bouraoui, Taoufik, 2020. "The drivers of Bitcoin trading volume in selected emerging countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 218-229.

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