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Growth-Effects of Inflation Targeting: The Role of Financial Sector Development

  • Rangan Gupta


    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

The paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium monetary endogenous growth model. The closed economy model is inhabited by consumers, firms, a Cournotian monopolistically compet- itive banking system, besides, an inflation-targeting monetary authority, and, in turn, analyzes the effect of a tight monetary (disinflationary) policy on growth. We show that the effect of a lower inflation target on growth is ambiguous, with the ultimate effect depending on the initial levels of growth and the individual bank size, besides, a whole host of structural parameters defining the preferences and the production structure of the economy.

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Paper provided by University of Pretoria, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 200610.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:200610
Contact details of provider: Postal: PRETORIA, 0002
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  1. Miguel A. LeÛn-Ledesma & A. P. Thirlwall, 2002. "The endogeneity of the natural rate of growth," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 26(4), pages 441-459, July.
  2. Bencivenga, V.R. & Smith, B.D., 1988. "Financial Intermediation And Endogenous Growth," RCER Working Papers 124, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
  3. Varella Mollick, Andre & Torres, Rene Cabral & Carneiro, Francisco G., 2008. "Does Inflation Targeting Matter for Output Growth? Evidence from Industrial and Emerging Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4791, The World Bank.
  4. Marco Vega & Diego Winkelried, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Behavior: A Successful Story?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(3), December.
  5. Barro, Robert J., 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogeneous Growth," Scholarly Articles 3451296, Harvard University Department of Economics.
  6. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller & ChunShen Lee, 2009. "Inflation Targeting Evaluation: Short-run Costs and Long-run Irrelevance," Working Papers 0920, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  7. Arminio Fraga & Ilan Goldfajn & Andre Minella, 2003. "Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market Economies," NBER Working Papers 10019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Rangan Gupta & Josine Uwilingiye, 2010. "Evaluating the Welfare Cost of Inflation in a Monetary Endogenous Growth General Equilibrium Model: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  9. repec:chk:cuhked:_094 is not listed on IDEAS
  10. Marc Lavoie, 2006. "A Post-Keynesian Amendment To The New Consensus On Monetary Policy," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), pages 165-192, 05.
  11. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2010. "The Lag in Effect of Inflation Targeting and Policy Evaluation," Working papers 2010-01, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  12. Paul M Romer, 1999. "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2232, David K. Levine.
  13. Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller & Alexandros Panethimitakis & Athanassios Vamvakidis, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Evidence from Aggregate European Data," Working papers 2005-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  14. Marco A. Espinosa & Chong K. Yip, 1995. "Fiscal and monetary policy interactions in an endogenous growth model with financial intermediaries," FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 95-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  15. V.V. Chari & Larry E. Jones & Rodolfo E. Manuelli, 1995. "The growth effects of monetary policy," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall, pages 18-32.
  16. Gilberto Libanio, 2005. ""Good governance" in monetary policy and the negative real effects of inflation targeting in developing economies," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td277, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
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