IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/apa/ijbaas/2016p81-88.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Combined Grey Relational Analysis and Weighted Synthesis for Housing Price Prediction

Author

Listed:
  • WEIPENG TAN

    (Chaoyang University of Technology, Taiwan)

  • TSUNG-NAN CHOU

    (Chaoyang University of Technology, Taiwan)

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to evaluate the performance of the grey relational analysis in the forecast of housing price for the real estate market of Taiwan. An instance-based approach which used k-nearest neighbor classifier was also applied for performance comparison. The grey relational analysis was modified to calculate the weighted synthesis of the top ten matching instances through various weighting strategies. The experimental results in this paper concluded that the grey relational analysis outperformed the instance-based approach in terms of the mean absolute error and root mean square error. In addition, the synthesis strategy with descending weights performed better than the averaging weights during the integration process of matching instances. The result also suggested that the performance was slightly decreased if the top ten matching instances were reduced to five instances. The grey relational analysis integrated with the weighted synthesis model can assist both buyers and owners in identifying opportunities and estimating the potential risks in a worsening real estate market.

Suggested Citation

  • Weipeng Tan & Tsung-Nan Chou, 2016. "Combined Grey Relational Analysis and Weighted Synthesis for Housing Price Prediction," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 2(3), pages 81-88.
  • Handle: RePEc:apa:ijbaas:2016:p:81-88
    DOI: 10.20469/ijbas.2.10005-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://kkgpublications.com/business-volume-2-issue-3-article5/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://kkgpublications.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/IJABS-2.10005-3.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.20469/ijbas.2.10005-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chao Jiang & Zijiang Yang, 2015. "Internet Advertisements Prediction," Springer Books, in: Zhenji Zhang & Zuojun Max Shen & Juliang Zhang & Runtong Zhang (ed.), Liss 2014, edition 127, pages 409-414, Springer.
    2. Rangan Gupta & Stephen Miller, 2012. "The Time-Series Properties of House Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 339-361, April.
    3. Jo-Hui Chen & Ting-Tzu Chang & Chao-Rung Ho & John Francis Diaz, 2014. "Grey Relational Analysis and Neural Network Forecasting of REIT returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 2033-2044, November.
    4. Xin J. Ge & G. Runeson, 2004. "Modeling Property Prices Using Neural Network Model for Hong Kong," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 7(1), pages 121-138.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain & Miller, Stephen M., 2011. "Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 2013-2021, July.
    2. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2010. "Unit Roots and Structural Change: An Application to US House-Price Indices," Working papers 2010-04, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2010.
    3. Montagnoli, Alberto & Nagayasu, Jun, 2015. "UK house price convergence clubs and spillovers," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 50-58.
    4. Prodosh Simlai, 2018. "Spatial Dependence, Idiosyncratic Risk, and the Valuation of Disaggregated Housing Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 192-230, August.
    5. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Using Large Data Sets to Forecast Housing Prices: A Case Study of Twenty US States," Working Papers 200912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Forecasting House Prices for the Four Census Regions and the Aggregate US Economy: The Role of a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 201214, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Payne, James E., 2012. "The Long-Run Relationship among Regional Housing Prices: An Empirical Analysis of the U.S," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 42(1), pages 1-8.
    8. Natalia Bailey & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "A Two‐Stage Approach to Spatio‐Temporal Analysis with Strong and Weak Cross‐Sectional Dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 249-280, January.
    9. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Floros, Christos, 2015. "Dynamic Connectedness of UK Regional Property Prices," MPRA Paper 68421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Sanjay Mohapatra, 2021. "Human and computer interaction in information system design for managing business," Information Systems and e-Business Management, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 1-11, March.
    11. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Miller, Stephen M., 2024. "Estimating U.S. housing price network connectedness: Evidence from dynamic Elastic Net, Lasso, and ridge vector autoregressive models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 349-362.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Christophe André & Luis Gil-Alana, 2015. "Comovement in Euro area housing prices: A fractional cointegration approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(16), pages 3123-3143, December.
    13. Nicholas Apergis & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Convergence In Provincial-Level South African House Prices: Evidence From The Club Convergence And Clustering Procedure," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 2-17, March.
    14. Barros, Carlos Pestana & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Payne, James E., 2012. "Comovements among U.S. state housing prices: Evidence from fractional cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 936-942.
    15. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Juncal Cunado & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Testing the white noise hypothesis in high-frequency housing returns of the United States," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 178-188.
    16. I-Chun Tsai, 2015. "Spillover Effect between the Regional and the National Housing Markets in the UK," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1957-1976, December.
    17. Vijay Kumar Vishwakarma, 2021. "Long-run drivers and integration in interprovincial Canadian housing price relations," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 22-40, November.
    18. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Is the Housing Market in the United States Really Weakly-Efficient?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(14), pages 1124-1134, July.
    19. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Christos Floros & David Gabauer, 2018. "The dynamic connectedness of UK regional property returns," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(14), pages 3110-3134, November.
    20. Marcelo M. de Oliveira & Alexandre C. L. Almeida, 2014. "Testing for rational speculative bubbles in the Brazilian residential real-estate market," Papers 1401.7615, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:apa:ijbaas:2016:p:81-88. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://kkgpublications.com/business/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.