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US monetary policy, oil and gold prices: Which has a greater impact on BRICS stock markets?

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  • Ansari, Md Gyasuddin
  • Sensarma, Rudra

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of US monetary policy, oil price and gold price on stock indices of BRICS countries. Vector Auto Regression model is applied to study the stock indices of all BRICS countries as a group over the period 1996–2018. We find that the Bombay Sensex responds positively to the Federal Funds Rate. The stock index of South Africa – FTSE JSE of Johannesburg – responds negatively to shocks in oil price while stock indices of Russia and Brazil – RTSI of Moscow and BVSP of Sao Paulo respectively – respond positively to gold price changes. We provide managerial and policy implications of these results.

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  • Ansari, Md Gyasuddin & Sensarma, Rudra, 2019. "US monetary policy, oil and gold prices: Which has a greater impact on BRICS stock markets?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 130-151.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:64:y:2019:i:c:p:130-151
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2019.08.003
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    3. José Antonio Núñez-Mora & Eduardo Sánchez-Ruenes, 2020. "Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution and Portfolio Efficiency in Energy and Stock Markets of BRIC Countries," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-14, October.
    4. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on intraday volatility spillover between oil, gold, and stock markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 702-715.
    5. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Wali, Muammer & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2020. "Islamic stocks, conventional stocks, and crude oil: Directional volatility spillover analysis in BRICS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lawal, Adedoyin, 2021. "Hedging oil price risk with gold during COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Shaikh, Imlak & Vallabh, Priyanka, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and gold price in India: Evidence from Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) review," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Stock indices; Gold price; Brent crude; Federal fund rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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