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On Stock Market Returns and Monetary Policy

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  • Willem Thorbecke

    (The Jerome Levy Economics Institute)

Abstract

Boudoukh, Richardson, and Whitelaw (BRW) presented theoretical and empirical evidence explaining the expected inflation/stock return correlation. In concluding they stated that whether monetary policy has real effects is an open question. This paper addresses this question by examining how BRW's industry stock return data respond to monetary policy shocks. Monetary policy is measured by innovations in the federal funds rate and nonborrowed reserves, by narrative indicators, and by an event study of Federal Reserve policy changes. In every case the evidence indicates that expansionary policy increases ex-post stock returns. Results from estimating a multi-factor model also indicate that exposure to monetary policy increases an asset's ex-ante return.

Suggested Citation

  • Willem Thorbecke, 1998. "On Stock Market Returns and Monetary Policy," Macroeconomics 9812009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:9812009
    Note: Type of Document - Acrobat PDF; prepared on IBM PC; to print on PostScript; pages: 35; figures: included
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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