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Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Konstantinos Gkillas

    () (Department of Business Administration, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece)

  • Dimitrios Vortelinos

    () (Lincoln Business School, University of Lincoln, Lincoln LN5 7AT, UK)

  • Christos Floros

    () (Department of Accounting and Finance, School of Management and Economic Sciences, Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71004 Heraklion, Greece)

  • Athanasios Tsagkanos

    () (Department of Business Administration, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece)

Abstract

We examine the impact of economic news releases on returns, volatility and jumps of the stock and foreign exchange markets of South Africa. We also assess the impact of macroeconomic determinants. The dataset range is fifteen years covering the period from January, 2000 to December, 2014. Results are robust to different sub-periods before and after the global financial crisis of 2008. Volatility is estimated with the use of the median realized variance estimator. Jumps are also detected. The impact of the announcements is assessed building using regression techniques. Returns, volatility and jumps of both stock and foreign exchange markets are significantly explained nationally by macroeconomic fundamentals and economic news releases.

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2019. "Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(4), pages 1-13, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:7:y:2019:i:4:p:112-:d:285205
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bauwens, Luc & Ben Omrane, Walid & Giot, Pierre, 2005. "News announcements, market activity and volatility in the euro/dollar foreign exchange market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(7), pages 1108-1125, November.
    2. repec:jda:journl:vol.51:year:2017:issue4:pp:17-31 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Eli M. Remolona & Michael J. Fleming, 1997. "What moves the bond market?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue dec, pages 31-50.
    4. Andersen, Torben G. & Dobrev, Dobrislav & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2012. "Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 75-93.
    5. Boudoukh, Jacob & Richardson, Matthew & Shen, YuQing (Jeff) & Whitelaw, Robert F., 2007. "Do asset prices reflect fundamentals? Freshly squeezed evidence from the OJ market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 397-412, February.
    6. Cakan Esin & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Does the US. macroeconomic news make the South African stock market riskier?," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(4), pages 17-27, October-D.
    7. Walid Bahloul & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Impact of macroeconomic news surprises and uncertainty for major economies on returns and volatility of oil futures," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 156, pages 247-253.
    8. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
    9. Baum, Christopher F. & Kurov, Alexander & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2015. "What do Chinese macro announcements tell us about the world economy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 100-122.
    10. Stavros Degiannakis & Christos Floros, 2010. "Hedge Ratios in South African Stock Index Futures," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 9(3), pages 285-304, December.
    11. Michael J. Fleming & Eli M. Remolona, 1999. "Price Formation and Liquidity in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Response to Public Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1901-1915, October.
    12. McQueen, Grant & Roley, V Vance, 1993. "Stock Prices, News, and Business Conditions," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 683-707.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    South Africa; economic news; macro fundamentals;

    JEL classification:

    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
    • F - International Economics
    • I - Health, Education, and Welfare
    • J - Labor and Demographic Economics
    • O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth
    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics

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