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News announcements, market activity and volatility in the Euro/Dollar foreign exchange market

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  • BAUWENS, Luc
  • BEN OMRANE, Walid
  • GIOT, Pierre

Abstract

This paper deals with the impact of nine categories of scheduled and unscheduled news announcements on the Euro/Dollar return volatility. We highlight and analyze the pre-announcement, contemporaneous and postannouncement reactions. Using high-frequency intraday data and within the framework of ARCH-type and realized volatility models, we show that volatility increases in the pre-announcement periods, particularly before scheduled events. Market activity also significantly impacts return volatility as expected by the theoretical literature on order flow.

Suggested Citation

  • BAUWENS, Luc & BEN OMRANE, Walid & GIOT, Pierre, 2003. "News announcements, market activity and volatility in the Euro/Dollar foreign exchange market," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2003029, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvco:2003029
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign exchange market; volatility; news announcements; high frequency data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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