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The effect of central bank transparency on exchange rate volatility

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  • Weber, Christoph S.

Abstract

The increase in central bank transparency has been one of the main developments in central banking in the past two decades. This leads to the question of the effect of central bank transparency on the volatility of exchange rates. According to theoretical considerations, more information could lead to either more precise forecasts or more noise trading. This raises the need for an empirical estimation of the relationship. The present study shows that the effect of central bank transparency on exchange rate volatility depends on a country’s development. While there is no effect of central bank transparency in the full sample and for developing countries, transparency increases exchange rate fluctuations in developed countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Weber, Christoph S., 2019. "The effect of central bank transparency on exchange rate volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 165-181.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:95:y:2019:i:c:p:165-181
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.04.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Kwabi, Frank O. & Boateng, Agyenim & Du, Min, 2020. "Impact of central bank independence and transparency on international equity portfolio allocation: A cross-country analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    2. Abdullah Mamoon & Frank Kwabi & Ernest Ezeani & Wansu Hu, 2025. "The impact of central bank independence and transparency on banks' non-performing loans and economic stability," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(1), pages 25-40, March.
    3. Christoph S. Weber, 2020. "The unemployment effect of central bank transparency," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2947-2975, December.
    4. Zhang, Xiaoming & Liang, Qian & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "How does central bank transparency affect systemic risk? Evidence from developed and developing countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 101-115.
    5. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    6. Yahya, Farzan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Pei-Fen, 2025. "Is central bank resilience vulnerable to climate risks? The role of exchange rate stability and green policies," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Candian, Giacomo, 2021. "Central bank transparency, exchange rates, and demand imbalances," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 90-107.
    8. Wen, Tiange & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2020. "Volatility connectedness in global foreign exchange markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Tetiana Yukhymenko & Oleh Sorochan, 2024. "Impact of the Central Bank's Communication on Macrofinancial Outcomes," Working Papers 01/2024, National Bank of Ukraine.
    10. Zheng‐Hao Lai & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2023. "Monetary policy transparency and real exchange rate adjustment," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 1173-1198, August.
    11. Tetiana Yukhymenko & Oleh Sorochan, 2024. "Impact of the central bank's communication on macro financial outcomes," IHEID Working Papers 01-2024, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    12. Han, Chenyu & Wang, Yiming & Ning, Ye, 2019. "Comparative analysis of the multifractality and efficiency of exchange markets: Evidence from exchange rates dynamics of major world currencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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