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Quantile dependence between developed and emerging stock markets aftermath of the global financial crisis

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  • Labidi, Chiaz
  • Rahman, Md Lutfur
  • Hedström, Axel
  • Uddin, Gazi Salah
  • Bekiros, Stelios

Abstract

This paper examines the cross-quantile dependence between developed and emerging market stock returns and investigates its time-varying characteristics, using recursive sample estimations. The results based on cross-quantilogram approach reveal a heterogeneous quantile relation for the USA, UK, German, and Japanese stock returns to those of the emerging markets. Systematic risk generally does not explain the cross-country dependence structure, since it remains essentially unchanged when controlling for financial, geopolitical, and economic uncertainties. Moreover, the cross-quantile correlation changes over time, especially in the low and high quantiles, indicating that it is prone to jumps and discontinuities, even in a seemingly stable dependence structure. These results are important for institutional investors and market observers.

Suggested Citation

  • Labidi, Chiaz & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Quantile dependence between developed and emerging stock markets aftermath of the global financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 179-211.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:59:y:2018:i:c:p:179-211
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2018.08.005
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cross-quantilogram; Directional predictability; Developed market; Emerging market; Uncertainty;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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