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Co-movements and contagion between international stock index futures markets

Author

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  • Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu

    (UPT - Universității Politehnica Timișoara [România] = Polytechnic University of Timişoara [Romania] = Université polytechnique de Timișoara [Roumanie])

  • Daniel Goyeau

    (CRIEF [Poitiers] - Centre de recherche sur l'intégration économique et financière - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers, Axe 2 (2011-2016) : « Marchés, Cultures de consommation, Autonomie et Migrations » (MSHS Poitiers) - MSHS de Poitiers - Maison des sciences de l'homme et de la société de Poitiers - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CPER INSECT - CPER "INnovation Sociale, Economique et Culturelle dans des Territoires en mutation" (MSHS Poitiers) - MSHS de Poitiers - Maison des sciences de l'homme et de la société de Poitiers [UAR 3565] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwaric

    (Faculty of Management - IBS Hyderabad - IFHE University)

Abstract

In this paper, we explore the co-movements and contagion between six international stock index futures markets. In contrast to the empirical studies which dominate the literature and focus on the case of spot markets, relatively little is known about the returns and the volatility dynamics of the futures markets. To address this deficiency, we employ a time–frequency approach and discover that the co-movements between the international markets manifest especially in the long run. Nevertheless, the contagion phenomenon associated with the very short-run horizon is present in particular in the case of the European markets, due to their higher level of integration. The rolling wavelet correlation increases after severe turbulence episodes, but fluctuates over time and across frequencies. Our findings can guide the international investors in stock index futures markets to accurately diversify their portfolio in crisis periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Daniel Goyeau & Aviral Kumar Tiwaric, 2016. "Co-movements and contagion between international stock index futures markets," Post-Print halshs-01388618, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01388618
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1113-5
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-movements; Contagion; Rolling wavelet correlation; Portfolio; diversification; Continuous Wavelet Transform; Stock index futures; Portefeuilles; Co-mouvements; Contagion financière; Indice boursier; Diversification financière;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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