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Cointegration relationship and time varying co-movements among Indian and Asian developed stock markets

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  • Guidi, Francesco

Abstract

This paper aims to explore links between the Indian stock market and three developed Asian markets (i.e. Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore). The index prices are non-stationary so we used cointegration methodologies in order to explore interdependencies. Johansen methodologies reject the hypothesis of long-run relationships among all stock markets, while the Gregory-Hansen test rejects the hypothesis of no cointegration with structural breaks. Our results suggest that in the long-term the benefits for investing in India are limited. We further estimated the time-varying conditional correlation relationships among these markets We find that correlations rise dramatically during periods of crisis, while they return to their initial levels after those periods.

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  • Guidi, Francesco, 2010. "Cointegration relationship and time varying co-movements among Indian and Asian developed stock markets," MPRA Paper 19853, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19853
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    Cited by:

    1. Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric & Rault, Christophe, 2013. "Equity risk premium and regional integration," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 79-85.
    2. repec:eee:finlet:v:23:y:2017:i:c:p:223-232 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Kefei You, 2017. "Global and Regional Financial Integration in Emerging Asia: Evidence from Stock Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1668, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    4. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Kefei You, 2017. "Stock Market Integration in Asia: Global or Regional? Evidence from Industry Level Panel Convergence Tests," CESifo Working Paper Series 6494, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Chen, Mei-Ping & Chen, Pei-Fen & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2014. "Frontier stock market integration and the global financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 84-103.
    6. Sei-Wan Kim & Moon Jung Choi, 2016. "Does Intra-Regional Trade Matter in Regional Stock Markets?: New Evidence from Asia-Pacific Region," Working Papers 2016-11, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    7. Monica Billio & Michael Donadelli & Antonio Paradiso & Max Riedel, 2015. "Measuring Financial Integration: Lessons from the Correlation," Working Papers 2015:23, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    8. Neto, David, 2014. "The FMLS-based CUSUM statistic for testing the null of smooth time-varying cointegration in the presence of a structural break," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 208-211.
    9. repec:eee:reveco:v:49:y:2017:i:c:p:484-498 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Billio, M. & Donadelli, M. & Paradiso, A. & Riedel, M., 2017. "Which market integration measure?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 150-174.
    11. Sudharshan Reddy Paramati & Rakesh Gupta & An Hui, 2016. "Trade and Investment Linkages and Stock Market Long-Run Relationship," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 149-169, June.
    12. Zhong, Ming & Chang,Tsangyao & Tzeng, Han-Wen, 2014. "International Equity Diversification Between the United States and Brics Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 123-138, March.
    13. Switzer, Lorne N. & Tahaoglu, Cagdas, 2015. "The benefits of international diversification: market development, corporate governance, market cap, and structural change effects," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 76-97.
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    15. Izunna Anyikwa & Micheal Brookes & Pierre Le Roux, 2018. "African stock markets integration: an analysis of the relationship between major stock markets in Africa," Working Papers 1812, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Mar 2018.
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    21. Mohammed S. Khaled & Stephen P. Keef, 2014. "On the dynamics of international stock market efficiency," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11, December.
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    Keywords

    Stock markets; cointegration; time-varying correlations.;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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