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Market efficiency and international diversification: Evidence from India

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  • Dicle, Mehmet F.
  • Beyhan, Aydin
  • Yao, Lee J.

Abstract

This study evaluates one of the most important emerging markets, India (Bombay Stock Exchange and Indian National Exchange), for its efficiency and for its potential to offer diversification benefits to international investors. Market-wide tests include; 1) contemporaneous relationship, 2) Granger type causality and 3) day-of-the-week effect. Tests on individual Indian stocks include: 1) panel estimation of Granger causality, 2) stock-by-stock estimation of Granger causality and 3) runs test. In sum, Indian markets are well integrated with the international equity markets, a characteristic that lowers the international diversification benefits. While day-of-the-week effect is an international spillover, it may be possible to predict individual Indian stocks' returns through causality with international equity markets and through momentum trading techniques.

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  • Dicle, Mehmet F. & Beyhan, Aydin & Yao, Lee J., 2010. "Market efficiency and international diversification: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 313-339, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:19:y:2010:i:2:p:313-339
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    3. Han-Ching Huang & Yong-Chern Su & Chun-Chi Shih, 2013. "Speed of Convergence to Market Efficiency: Example of Top loser Stocks," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 591-601.
    4. José A. Roldán-Casas & Mª B. García-Moreno García, 2022. "A procedure for testing the hypothesis of weak efficiency in financial markets: a Monte Carlo simulation," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(5), pages 1289-1327, December.
    5. Shariq Ahmad Bhat, 2018. "Informational efficiency of sovereign bond markets of India and China: evidence from Toda and Yamamoto Granger causality (1995)," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 45(4), pages 313-323, December.
    6. Juan Benjamín Duarte Duarte & Juan Manuel Mascare?nas Pérez-Iñigo, 2014. "Comprobación de la eficiencia débil en los principales mercados financieros latinoamericanos," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, November.
    7. Radeef Chundakkadan & Subash Sasidharan, 2021. "Central bank's money market operations and daily stock returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 136-152, January.
    8. Sanjay Rajagopal & Patrick Hays, 2012. "Return Persistence in the Indian Real Estate Market," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 15(3), pages 283-305.
    9. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Ahmed, Huson Ali & Sharma, Susan Sunila & K.P., Prabheesh, 2014. "How profitable is the Indian stock market?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 44-61.
    10. Yang, Ann Shawing & Pangastuti, Airin, 2016. "Stock market efficiency and liquidity: The Indonesia Stock Exchange merger," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 28-40.
    11. Malvika Saraf & Parthajit Kayal, 2022. "How Much Does Volatility Influence Stock Market Returns? – Empirical Evidence from India," Working Papers 2022-215, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    12. Aumeboonsuke, Vesarach & Dryver, Arthur L., 2014. "The importance of using a test of weak-form market efficiency that does not require investigating the data first," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 350-357.
    13. Bley, Jorg, 2011. "Are GCC stock markets predictable?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 217-237, September.
    14. Manos, Ronny & Murinde, Victor & Green, Christopher J., 2012. "Dividend policy and business groups: Evidence from Indian firms," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 42-56.
    15. Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla & Jayanth R. Varma & Vineet Virmani, 2021. "Rational repricing of risk during COVID‐19: Evidence from Indian single stock options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1498-1519, October.
    16. Khan, Walayet & Vieito, João Paulo, 2012. "Stock exchange mergers and weak form of market efficiency: The case of Euronext Lisbon," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 173-189.
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