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Volatility and dynamic conditional correlations of worldwide emerging and frontier markets

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  • Baumöhl, Eduard
  • Lyócsa, Štefan

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between time-varying correlations and conditional volatility among 32 worldwide emerging and frontier stock markets and the MSCI World stock market index from January 2000 to December 2012. Correlations are estimated in the standard and asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model frameworks. The results can be summarized by three main findings: (1) asymmetry in volatility is not a common phenomenon in emerging and frontier markets; (2) asymmetry in correlations is found only with respect to the Hungarian stock market; and (3) the relationship between volatility and correlations is positive and significant in most countries. Thus, diversification benefits decrease during periods of higher volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Baumöhl, Eduard & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2014. "Volatility and dynamic conditional correlations of worldwide emerging and frontier markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 175-183.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:38:y:2014:i:c:p:175-183
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.12.022
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    Cited by:

    1. Mensah, Jones Odei & Alagidede, Paul, 2017. "How are Africa's emerging stock markets related to advanced markets? Evidence from copulas," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-10.
    2. Yang, Lu & Cai, Xiao Jing & Li, Mengling & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2015. "Modeling dependence structures among international stock markets: Evidence from hierarchical Archimedean copulas," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 308-314.
    3. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel & Hilu, Khalil Al, 2015. "Dynamic transmissions between the U.S. and equity markets in the MENA countries: New evidence from pre- and post-global financial crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 123-138.
    4. Mimouni, Karim & Charfeddine, Lanouar & Al-Azzam, Moh'd, 2016. "Do oil producing countries offer international diversification benefits? Evidence from GCC countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 263-280.
    5. Škrinjarić Tihana, 2015. "Measuring Dynamics of Risk and Performance of Sector Indices on Zagreb Stock Exchange," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, De Gruyter Open, vol. 1(1-2), pages 27-41, December.
    6. Eduard Baumöhl & Štefan Lyócsa, 2014. "Risk-Return Convergence in CEE Stock Markets: Structural Breaks and Market Volatility," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 64(5), pages 352-373, November.
    7. repec:eee:mulfin:v:42-43:y:2017:i::p:116-131 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Lyócsa, Štefan & Baumöhl, Eduard, 2015. "Similarity of emerging market returns under changing market conditions: Markets in the ASEAN-4, Latin America, Middle East, and BRICs," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 253-268.
    9. Sriananthakumar, Sivagowry & Narayan, Seema, 2015. "Are prolonged conflict and tension deterrents for stock market integration? The case of Sri Lanka," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 504-520.
    10. Stefan Lyocsa & Tomas Vyrost & Eduard Baumohl, 2015. "Return spillovers around the globe: A network approach," Papers 1507.06242, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2015.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conditional volatility; Time-varying correlations; Emerging and frontier markets;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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