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Dynamic factor multivariate GARCH model

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  • Santos, André A.P.
  • Moura, Guilherme V.

Abstract

A novel multivariate factor GARCH specification is used to obtain conditional covariance matrices of minimum variance portfolios containing a very large number of assets. The approach allows for time varying factor loads, and achieves great flexibility by allowing alternative specifications for the covariance among factors and for the variance of the asset-specific part of return. Minimum variance portfolios based on the proposed conditional covariance matrix specification are shown to deliver less risky portfolios in comparison to benchmark models, including existing factor approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Santos, André A.P. & Moura, Guilherme V., 2014. "Dynamic factor multivariate GARCH model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 606-617.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:76:y:2014:i:c:p:606-617
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.09.010
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    Cited by:

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    2. João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2017. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts: An Economic-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 15(2), pages 247-285.
    3. Caldeira, João F & Moura, Guilherme Valle & Santos, André Alves Portela, 2013. "Seleção de carteiras utilizando o modelo Fama-French-Carhart," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    4. Francq, Christian & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2017. "An equation-by-equation estimator of a multivariate log-GARCH-X model of financial returns," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 16-32.
    5. Ruili Sun & Tiefeng Ma & Shuangzhe Liu & Milind Sathye, 2019. "Improved Covariance Matrix Estimation for Portfolio Risk Measurement: A Review," Journal of Risk and Financial Management, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(1), pages 1-34, March.
    6. João Caldeira & Guilherme Moura & André Santos, 2015. "Measuring Risk in Fixed Income Portfolios using Yield Curve Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 65-82, June.
    7. Gijsbert Suren & Guilherme Moura, 2012. "Heteroskedastic Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Study," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 2884-2898.
    8. Ruili Sun & Tiefeng Ma & Shuangzhe Liu, 2020. "Portfolio selection: shrinking the time-varying inverse conditional covariance matrix," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2583-2604, December.
    9. Trucíos Maza, Carlos César & Mazzeu, João H. G. & Hallin, Marc & Hotta, Luiz Koodi & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Zevallos, Mauricio, 2019. "Forecasting conditional covariance matrices in high-dimensional time series: a general dynamic factor approach," Textos para discussão 505, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    10. Audrino, Francesco, 2014. "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: The short-run component, the long-run component, and structural breaks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 43-60.
    11. Trucíos, Carlos & Hotta, Luiz K. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L., 2019. "On the robustness of the principal volatility components," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 201-219.
    12. Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2018. "Leverage, asymmetry and heavy tails in the high-dimensional factor stochastic volatility model," Working Paper Series 49, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    13. Abdul Aziz, Nor Syahilla & Vrontos, Spyridon & M. Hasim, Haslifah, 2019. "Evaluation of multivariate GARCH models in an optimal asset allocation framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 568-596.
    14. Serdar Neslihanoglu & Stelios Bekiros & John McColl & Duncan Lee, 0. "Multivariate time-varying parameter modelling for stock markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-26.

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