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Dynamic optimal portfolio choice under time-varying risk aversion

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio Díaz
  • Carlos Esparcia

Abstract

In this paper, we empirically analyze the possible advantages of modelling a time-varying risk aversion that best fits investors’ behavior in the context of the optimal portfolio choice. We build optimal dynamic portfolios by focusing on the estimation of a time-varying relative risk aversion parameter (RRA). Conditional univariate and multivariate models, such as GARCH, GARCH-M and DCC-GARCH, for modelling the optimal portfolio choice and the RRA parameter are implemented. As a model validation tool, the realized performance and downside risk exposure of these portfolios one month ahead is compared to that resulting from implementing a constant risk aversion parameter. The Ledoit and Wolf (2008) test provides robustness to our results and reveals the average outperformance of the dynamic risk aversion strategy over others as the constant risk aversion or the passive management strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Díaz & Carlos Esparcia, 2021. "Dynamic optimal portfolio choice under time-varying risk aversion," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 166, pages 1-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2021-q2-166-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Díaz, Antonio & Esparcia, Carlos & López, Raquel, 2022. "The diversifying role of socially responsible investments during the COVID-19 crisis: A risk management and portfolio performance analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 39-60.
    2. Pejman Peykani & Mojtaba Nouri & Mir Saman Pishvaee & Camelia Oprean-Stan & Emran Mohammadi, 2023. "Credibilistic Multi-Period Mean-Entropy Rolling Portfolio Optimization Problem Based on Multi-Stage Scenario Tree," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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