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Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Massimiliano Caporin

    (University of Padova Via Cesare Battisti 241, 35121 Padova, Italy)

  • Rangan Gupta

    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa)

  • Francesco Ravazzolo

    (Free University of Bozen-Bolzano and BI Norwegian Business School, Universitätsplatz 1, 39100 Bozen-Bolzano, Italy)

Abstract

We study contagion between REITs and the equity market in the U.S. over four subsamples covering January, 2003 to December, 2017, by using Bayesian nonparametric quantile-on-quantile regressions with heteroskedasticity. We find that the spillovers from the REITs on to the equity market has varied over time across the four sub-samples, though similarity is observed between the first and the last sub-samples. Further, barring the extreme ends of the two markets, contagion from REITs upon the stock market went down during the global financial crisis relative to the pre-crisis period, with the spillover picking-up during the European sovereign debt crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," Working Papers 201913, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:201913
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    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2022. "Bayesian Multivariate Quantile Regression with alternative Time-varying Volatility Specifications," Papers 2211.16121, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    2. Montassar Riahi & Sophie Nivoix & Olfa Belhassine, 2025. "A wavelet coherence approach to analyze contagion between equity markets during three major crises," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 139-149.
    3. Walid Mensi & Zhuhua Jiang & Xuan Vinh Vo & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility transmission and hedging strategies among REIT, stock, and oil markets," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 597-615, December.
    4. Montassar Riahi & Sophie Nivoix & Olfa Belhassine, 2025. "A wavelet coherence approach to analyze contagion between equity markets during three major crises," Post-Print hal-05050180, HAL.
    5. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
    7. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    8. Wang, Peiwan & Zong, Lu, 2020. "Contagion effects and risk transmission channels in the housing, stock, interest rate and currency markets: An Empirical Study in China and the U.S," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Cheng, Tingting & Liu, Fei & Liu, Junli & Yao, Wenying, 2024. "Tail connectedness: Measuring the volatility connectedness network of equity markets during crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Zheng Zheng Li & Chi-Wei Su, 2023. "How does real estate market react to the iron ore boom in Australian capital cities?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 71(2), pages 517-537, October.
    11. Wen Chang, Hao & Chang, Tsangyao, 2023. "How oil price and exchange rate affect stock price in China using Bayesian Quantile_on_Quantile with GARCH approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    12. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    13. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin & Özkan, Oktay, 2024. "Is geopolitical oil price uncertainty forcing the world to use energy more efficiently? Evidence from advanced statistical methods," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 908-919.
    14. Asima Siddique & Ghulam Mujtaba Kayani & Saira Ashfaq, 2021. "Does Heterogeneity in COVID-19 News Affect Asset Market? Monte-Carlo Simulation Based Wavelet Transform," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-16, October.
    15. Yousaf, Imran & Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Relationship between real estate tokens and other asset classes: Evidence from quantile connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General

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