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Spillover Risks on Cryptocurrency Markets: A Look from VAR-SVAR Granger Causality and Student’s-t Copulas

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  • Toan Luu Duc Huynh

    () (School of Banking, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City 700000, Vietnam
    WHU—Otto Beisheim School of Management, Burgplatz 2, D-56179 Vallendar, Germany)

Abstract

This paper contributes a shred of quantitative evidence to the embryonic literature as well as existing empirical evidence regarding spillover risks among cryptocurrency markets. By using VAR (Vector Autoregressive Model)-SVAR (Structural Vector Autoregressive Model) Granger causality and Student’s-t Copulas, we find that Ethereum is likely to be the independent coin in this market, while Bitcoin tends to be the spillover effect recipient. Our study sheds further light on investigating the contagion risks among cryptocurrencies by employing Student’s-t Copulas for joint distribution. This result suggests that all coins negatively change in terms of extreme value. The investors are advised to pay more attention to ‘bad news’ and moving patterns in order to make timely decisions on three types (buy, hold, and sell).

Suggested Citation

  • Toan Luu Duc Huynh, 2019. "Spillover Risks on Cryptocurrency Markets: A Look from VAR-SVAR Granger Causality and Student’s-t Copulas," Journal of Risk and Financial Management, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:12:y:2019:i:2:p:52-:d:218986
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Hoiliong Kong & Leslie Kanthan & Lingbo Li & David Martinez-Regoband & Fan Wu, 2020. "Cryptocurrency Trading: A Comprehensive Survey," Papers 2003.11352, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    2. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Wu, Junjie & Duong, An Trong, 2020. "Information Asymmetry and firm value: Is Vietnam different?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    3. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Empirical Findings about Spillovers in Cryptocurrency Markets," Journal of Risk and Financial Management, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, November.
    4. Duy Duong & Toan Luu Duc Huynh, 2020. "Tail dependence in emerging ASEAN-6 equity markets: empirical evidence from quantitative approaches," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-26, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; cryptocurrency; spillover risks; Copulas; Student’s-t;

    JEL classification:

    • C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G - Financial Economics

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