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Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion: A Latent Factor Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Dungey, Mardi

    (University of Tasmania)

  • Fry, Renee A.

    (Centre for Financial Analysis and Policy)

  • Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Martin, Vance L.

    (University of Melbourne)

Abstract

Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modelling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.

Suggested Citation

  • Dungey, Mardi & Fry, Renee A. & Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda & Martin, Vance L., 2011. "Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion: A Latent Factor Approach," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199739837.
  • Handle: RePEc:oxp:obooks:9780199739837
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Edda Zoli, 2013. "Italian Sovereign Spreads; Their Determinants and Pass-through to Bank Funding Costs and Lending Conditions," IMF Working Papers 13/84, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
    3. Fratzscher, Marcel, 2012. "Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 341-356.
    4. Renee Fry-McKibbin & Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & Vance L. Martin, 2017. "Joint tests of contagion with applications to financial crises," CAMA Working Papers 2017-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Dungey, Mardi & Gajurel, Dinesh, 2014. "Equity market contagion during the global financial crisis: Evidence from the world's eight largest economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 161-177.
    6. Dungey, Mardi & Milunovich, George & Thorp, Susan & Yang, Minxian, 2015. "Endogenous crisis dating and contagion using smooth transition structural GARCH," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 71-79.
    7. González-Hermosillo, Brenda & Johnson, Christian, 2017. "Transmission of financial stress in Europe: The pivotal role of Italy and Spain, but not Greece," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 49-64.
    8. Forbes, Kristin J. & Warnock, Francis E., 2012. "Capital flow waves: Surges, stops, flight, and retrenchment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 235-251.
    9. Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Anthony Orji & Gladys C. Aneke & Oyun Erdene-Urnukh, 2016. "Measuring the Real and Financial Connectedness of Selected African Economies with the Global Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(3), pages 364-399, September.
    10. Kristin Forbes, 2012. "The "Big C": Identifying Contagion," NBER Working Papers 18465, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Serge Darolles & Patrick Gagliardini & Christian Gouriéroux, 2012. "Survival of Hedge Funds : Frailty vs Contagion," Working Papers 2012-36, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.

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