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Return and volatility interdependences in up and down markets across developed and emerging countries

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  • Kundu, Srikanta
  • Sarkar, Nityananda

Abstract

In this paper, we have used daily stock returns data from two developed and four emerging countries to analyse the behaviour of returns and volatility spillovers in two different stock market conditions called the up and down markets. To this end, we have proposed a VAR-TGARCH-M type model and incorporated the smooth transition behaviour to switch from one market condition to another. The results show that, in general, there is significant and asymmetric effect of returns and volatility of one market on another in up and down market conditions, but the sign of the effect varies over pairs of countries concerned and also of market conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Kundu, Srikanta & Sarkar, Nityananda, 2016. "Return and volatility interdependences in up and down markets across developed and emerging countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 297-311.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:36:y:2016:i:c:p:297-311
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.09.023
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    Cited by:

    1. Mensah, Jones Odei & Alagidede, Paul, 2017. "How are Africa's emerging stock markets related to advanced markets? Evidence from copulas," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-10.
    2. Yarovaya, Larisa & Lau, Marco Chi Keung, 2016. "Stock market comovements around the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the UK, BRICS and MIST markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 605-619.
    3. Yavas, Burhan F. & Dedi, Lidija, 2016. "An investigation of return and volatility linkages among equity markets: A study of selected European and emerging countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 583-596.
    4. repec:eee:finana:v:53:y:2017:i:c:p:94-111 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Babajide Fowowe & Mohammed Shuaibu, 2016. "Dynamic spillovers between Nigerian, South African and international equity markets," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 148, pages 59-80.
    6. Papadamou, Stephanos & Sidiropoulos, Moïse & Spyromitros, Eleftherios, 2017. "Interest rate dynamic effect on stock returns and central bank transparency: Evidence from emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 951-962.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Up-down market; Risk-return relationship; DCC; MGARCH; Spillover effects;

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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