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An Examination of Cross-Sectional Realized Stock Returns Using a Varying-Risk Beta Model

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  • Howton, Shelly W
  • Peterson, David R

Abstract

Using the dual-beta model of Bhardwaj and Brooks (1993), this study examines the cross-section of realized stock returns. Bull-market betas are significantly positively related to returns and, except for some models in January, bear-market betas are significantly negatively related to returns. These relationships are not lost even after other independent variables, including size, book-to-market equity, and an earnings-price ratio, are added to the cross-sectional regressions. Book-to-market equity is an important factor in bear, but not bull, markets. Size is important in January and in bear markets during February through December. Copyright 1998 by MIT Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Howton, Shelly W & Peterson, David R, 1998. "An Examination of Cross-Sectional Realized Stock Returns Using a Varying-Risk Beta Model," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 33(3), pages 199-212, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:33:y:1998:i:3:p:199-212
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad, Nazeeruddin & Ashraf, Dawood, 2015. "The market timing ability and return performance of Islamic equities: An empirical study," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 169-183.
    2. Hsin, Chin-Wen & Guo, Wen-Chung & Tseng, Seng-Su & Luo, Wen-Chih, 2003. "The impact of speculative trading on stock return volatility: the evidence from Taiwan," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 243-270, December.
    3. Fredj Jawadi & Wael Louhichi & Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou & Hachmi Ben Ameur, 2019. "Modeling time-varying beta in a sustainable stock market with a three-regime threshold GARCH model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 281(1), pages 275-295, October.
    4. Petros Messis & Achilleas Zapranis, 2014. "Asset pricing with time-varying betas for stocks traded on S&P 500," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(36), pages 4508-4518, December.
    5. Gordon Tang & Wai Cheong Shum, 2006. "Risk-return relationships in the Hong Kong stock market: revisit," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(14), pages 1047-1058.
    6. Chowdhury, Biplob & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Dungey, Mardi, 2018. "Quantile relationships between standard, diffusion and jump betas across Japanese banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 29-47.
    7. Ashraf, Dawood & Mohammad, Nazeeruddin, 2014. "Matching perception with the reality—Performance of Islamic equity investments," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 175-189.
    8. George Woodward & Heather Anderson, 2009. "Does beta react to market conditions? Estimates of 'bull' and 'bear' betas using a nonlinear market model with an endogenous threshold parameter," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(8), pages 913-924.
    9. Pawel Bilinski & Danielle Lyssimachou, 2014. "Risk Interpretation of the CAPM's Beta: Evidence from a New Research Method," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 50(2), pages 203-226, June.
    10. Christoph Wegener & Tobias Basse, 2019. "The Stability of Factor Sensitivities of German Stock Market Sector Indices: Empirical Evidence and Some Thoughts about Practical Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-10, August.
    11. Christian Bach, 2011. "Conservatism in Corporate Valuation," CREATES Research Papers 2011-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Ashraf, Dawood & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran, 2022. "Islamic equity investments and the COVID-19 pandemic," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    13. Kokoszka Piotr & Miao Hong & Zheng Ben, 2017. "Testing for asymmetry in betas of cumulative returns: Impact of the financial crisis and crude oil price," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 34(1-2), pages 33-53, June.
    14. Lawrence Kryzanowski & Skander Lazrak, 2007. "Trading Activity, Trade Costs and Informed Trading for Acquisition Targets and Acquirers," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 405-439.
    15. F. Javier De Peña & Carlos Forner-Rodríguez & Germán López-Espinosa, 2008. "Fundamentals and the origin of Fama-French factors," Faculty Working Papers 04/08, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    16. Nath, H. (Mindi) B. & Kim, Jae H. & Brooks, Robert D., 2012. "Realized dual-betas for leading Australian stocks: An evaluation of the estimation methods and the effect of the sampling interval," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 10-22.
    17. Prabhdeep Kaur & Jaspal Singh & Sidharath Seth, 2021. "Investigating the Dynamics of Exchange Traded Funds Across the Bear and Bull Markets: Evidence from Indian Equity ETFs," Vision, , vol. 25(3), pages 350-360, September.
    18. Srikanta Kundu & Nityananda Sarkar, 2016. "Is the Effect of Risk on Stock Returns Different in Up and Down Markets? A Multi-Country Study," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 8(2), pages 53-71, September.
    19. Kundu, Srikanta & Sarkar, Nityananda, 2016. "Return and volatility interdependences in up and down markets across developed and emerging countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 297-311.
    20. Guermat, Cherif & Freeman, Mark C., 2010. "A net beta test of asset pricing models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-9, January.
    21. Paul Munene Muiruri, 2014. "Effects of Estimating Systematic Risk in Equity Stocks in the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) (An Empirical Review of Systematic Risks Estimation)," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 228-248, October.

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