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Equity Returns and the Output Shocks in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework

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  • Bahram Adrangi

    (Pamplin School of Business Administration, The University of Portland, 5000 N. Willamette Blvd., Portland, OR 97203, USA)

  • Juan Nicolás D’Amico

    (Independent Researcher, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, Canada)

Abstract

We conducted a study analyzing the impact of productivity shocks on equity returns in the U.S. economy from Q1 1960 to Q1 2022 using an RBC DSGE model. Our results suggest that while initial productivity shocks lead to higher equity returns, this effect fades within eight quarters. Nonetheless, such shocks can still provide valuable signals for investors to strategically allocate their investments in sectors that may benefit the most. Our study also found that the responses of key macroeconomic variables, including real GDP, are consistent with those observed in other calibration based DSGE models of the U.S. in previous research.

Suggested Citation

  • Bahram Adrangi & Juan Nicolás D’Amico, 2023. "Equity Returns and the Output Shocks in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:16:y:2023:i:5:p:257-:d:1132391
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    References listed on IDEAS

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