IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v74y2025ics0275531924004860.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Extreme risk connection among the European Tourism, energy and carbon emission markets

Author

Listed:
  • Zeng, Hongjun
  • Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul
  • Ahmed, Abdullahi D.
  • Huang, Qingcheng

Abstract

This article presents a novel examination of the risk connectedness patterns and causality relationships between European Tourism and the Energy and Carbon Emissions Market. The findings indicate that the risk connectedness between European Tourism and the Energy and Carbon Emissions Market exhibits asymmetric characteristics, displaying weaker connectedness in median and high states compared to normal market conditions. Notably, connectedness is more pronounced in extreme tail cases. Additionally, the European Tourism Sector Index is less susceptible to risks in the European Energy and Carbon Emissions market during bear markets. Furthermore, Rotterdam Coal Futures and Dutch TTF Natural Gas Futures contribute significantly to the volatility connectedness of the European Tourism Sector Index. The findings of the quantile Granger causality test confirmed the existence of causality between the European Tourism Index and the European Energy and Carbon Markets across all market states.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huang, Qingcheng, 2025. "Extreme risk connection among the European Tourism, energy and carbon emission markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:74:y:2025:i:c:s0275531924004860
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102693
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531924004860
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102693?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hajek, Petr & Fisher, Ben & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Nonlinearity in forecasting energy commodity prices: Evidence from a focused time-delayed neural network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Qi, Haozhi & Wu, Tiantian & Chen, Hao & Lu, Xiuling, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness and cross-quantile dependence between carbon emission trading and commodity markets: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Wang, Yong & Liu, Shimiao & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Volatility spillover and hedging strategies among Chinese carbon, energy, and electricity markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Does financial development influence renewable energy consumption to achieve carbon neutrality in the USA?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Li-Dong & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The spillover effects among fossil fuel, renewables and carbon markets: Evidence under the dual dilemma of climate change and energy crises," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    6. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Connectivity and spillover during crises: Highlighting the prominent and growing role of green energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    7. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Gedikli, Ayfer & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Erdoğan, Fatma, 2022. "Eco-friendly technologies, international tourism and carbon emissions: Evidence from the most visited countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    8. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    9. Usman Khalid & Luke Emeka Okafor & Katarzyna Burzynska, 2021. "Does the size of the tourism sector influence the economic policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic?," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(19), pages 2801-2820, October.
    10. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    11. Azzeddine Madani & Saad Eddine Boutebal & Hinde Benhamida & Christopher Robin Bryant, 2020. "The Impact of Covid-19 Outbreak on the Tourism Needs of the Algerian Population," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-11, October.
    12. Yan Mao & Jie He & Alastair M. Morrison & J. Andres Coca-Stefaniak, 2021. "Effects of tourism CSR on employee psychological capital in the COVID-19 crisis: from the perspective of conservation of resources theory," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(19), pages 2716-2734, October.
    13. Zeng, Hongjun & Huang, Qingcheng & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Lucey, Brian, 2025. "Connectedness and frequency connection among green bond, cryptocurrency and green energy-related metals around the COVID-19 outbreak," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    14. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Zhou, Xiangjing & Lu, Ran, 2024. "Measuring the extreme linkages and time-frequency co-movements among artificial intelligence and clean energy indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    15. Umar, Zaghum & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami & Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "Media sentiment and short stocks performance during a systemic crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    16. Jeong, Kiho & Härdle, Wolfgang K. & Song, Song, 2012. "A Consistent Nonparametric Test For Causality In Quantile," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 861-887, August.
    17. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2016. "Does uncertainty move the gold price? New evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 74-80.
    18. Hou, Yang (Greg) & Xu, Danyang & Oxley, Les & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Price discovery of climate risk and green bonds: A dynamic information leadership share approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    19. Walid Mensi & Mariya Gubareva & Hee-Un Ko & Xuan Vinh Vo & Sang Hoon Kang, 2023. "Tail spillover effects between cryptocurrencies and uncertainty in the gold, oil, and stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    20. Waheed, Rida & Sarwar, Suleman & Dignah, Ashwaq, 2020. "The role of non-oil exports, tourism and renewable energy to achieve sustainable economic growth: What we learn from the experience of Saudi Arabia," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 49-58.
    21. Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "On the interdependence between biofuel, fossil fuel and agricultural food prices: Evidence from quantile tests," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 536-545.
    22. Yadav, Miklesh Prasad & Sharif, Taimur & Ashok, Shruti & Dhingra, Deepika & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Investigating volatility spillover of energy commodities in the context of the Chinese and European stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    23. Qin, Yun & Chen, Jinyu & Dong, Xuesong, 2021. "Oil prices, policy uncertainty and travel and leisure stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    24. Klotz, Philipp & Lin, Tsoyu Calvin & Hsu, Shih-Hsun, 2014. "Global commodity prices, economic activity and monetary policy: The relevance of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-9.
    25. Xin Zhao & Muhammad Saeed Meo & Tella Oluwatoba Ibrahim & Noshaba Aziz & Solomon Prince Nathaniel, 2023. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Pandemic Uncertainty on International Tourism: What do We Learn From COVID-19?," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 320-349, April.
    26. Faiza Manzoor & Longbao Wei & Muhammad Asif & Muhammad Zia ul Haq & Hafiz ur Rehman, 2019. "The Contribution of Sustainable Tourism to Economic Growth and Employment in Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-14, October.
    27. Goodell, John W. & Yadav, Miklesh Prasad & Ruan, Junhu & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Malhotra, Nidhi, 2023. "Traditional assets, digital assets and renewable energy: Investigating connectedness during COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    28. Rabeh Khalfaoui & Sami Ben Jabeur & Buhari Dogan, 2022. "The spillover effects and connectedness among green commodities, Bitcoins, and US stock markets: Evidence from the quantile VAR network," Post-Print hal-03797573, HAL.
    29. Hokey Min, 2022. "Examining the Impact of Energy Price Volatility on Commodity Prices from Energy Supply Chain Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-16, October.
    30. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Li, Yameng & Huang, Chia-Yun & Peculea, Adelina Dumitrescu, 2023. "Volatility spillover across Chinese carbon markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    31. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Noman, Ambreen, 2021. "The volatility connectedness of the EU carbon market with commodity and financial markets in time- and frequency-domain: The role of the U.S. economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    32. Tomohiro Ando & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2401-2431, April.
    33. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin & Baofeng Shi, 2022. "Quantifying information transfer among clean energy, carbon, oil, and precious metals: A novel transfer entropy-based approach," Post-Print hal-03797566, HAL.
    34. Ilhan Ozturk & Arshian Sharif & Danish Iqbal Godil & Adnan Yousuf & Iram Tahir, 2023. "The Dynamic Nexus Between International Tourism and Environmental Degradation in Top Twenty Tourist Destinations: New Insights From Quantile-on-Quantile Approach," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(3), pages 532-562, June.
    35. Ren, Xiaohang & Li, Yiying & yan, Cheng & Wen, Fenghua & Lu, Zudi, 2022. "The interrelationship between the carbon market and the green bonds market: Evidence from wavelet quantile-on-quantile method," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    36. Lu, Ran & Xu, Wen & Zeng, Hongjun & Zhou, Xiangjing, 2023. "Volatility connectedness among the Indian equity and major commodity markets under the COVID-19 scenario," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1465-1481.
    37. Dhifaoui, Zouhaier & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Shi, Baofeng, 2022. "Quantifying information transfer among clean energy, carbon, oil, and precious metals: A novel transfer entropy-based approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    38. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro & Sikora, Iryna, 2022. "The determinants of CO2 prices in the EU emission trading system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    39. Lorente, Daniel Balsalobre & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness among climate change index, green financial assets and renewable energy markets: Novel evidence from sustainable development perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 94-105.
    40. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    41. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Topcu, Betül Altay & Sarıgül, Sevgi Sümerli & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The effect of financial development on renewable energy demand: The case of developing countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1370-1380.
    42. Ismail Fasanya & Oluwatomisin Oyewole, 2023. "Dynamic spillovers between precious metals and travel & tourism stocks in South-East Asia: do infectious disease outbreaks matter?," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 2166968-216, December.
    43. Ha, Le Thanh & Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Dynamic interlinkages between carbon risk and volatility of green and renewable energy: A TVP-VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian & Ma, Shenglin, 2025. "Tail risk contagion and multiscale spillovers in the green finance index and large US technology stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ozkan, Oktay & Sunday Adebayo, Tomiwa & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness of clean energy markets, green markets, and sustainable markets: The role of climate policy uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    2. Zhao, Xin & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Zhou, Silu, 2024. "The charm of green finance: Can green finance reduce corporate carbon emissions?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Sharif, Taimur & Ghouli, Jihene & Bouteska, Ahmed & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 uncertainties on energy market volatility: Evidence from the US markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 25-41.
    4. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian & Ma, Shenglin, 2025. "Tail risk contagion and multiscale spillovers in the green finance index and large US technology stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Yousaf, Imran & Abrar, Afsheen & Ali, Shoaib & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Connectedness between energy cryptocurrencies and US equity markets: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    6. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Dogan, Buhari & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Extreme spillover effect of COVID-19 pandemic-related news and cryptocurrencies on green bond markets: A quantile connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    7. Jareño, Francisco & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Artificial intelligence-based tokens: Fresh evidence of connectedness with artificial intelligence-based equities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    8. Chen, Huayi & Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2024. "Carbon volatility connectedness and the role of external uncertainties: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    9. Doğan, Buhari & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins, 2025. "Asymmetry in returns and volatility between green financial assets, sustainable investments, clean energy, and international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    10. Zhang, Jiahao & Zhang, Yifeng & Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo, 2024. "Normal and extreme impact and connectedness between fossil energy futures markets and uncertainties: Does El Niño-Southern Oscillation matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 188-215.
    11. Aharon, David Y. & Ali, Shoaib & Brahim, Mariem, 2024. "Connectedness at extremes between real estate tokens and real estate stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    12. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Özer, Zeynep Sueda & Rahman, Molla Ramizur & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2024. "How does the time-varying dynamics of spillover between clean and brown energy ETFs change with the intervention of climate risk and climate policy uncertainty?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 442-468.
    13. Yang, Ming-Yuan & Chen, Zhanghangjian & Liang, Zongzheng & Li, Sai-Ping, 2023. "Dynamic and asymmetric connectedness in the global “Carbon-Energy-Stock” system under shocks from exogenous events," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    14. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Viviani, Jean-Laurent & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian M., 2022. "How do climate risk and clean energy spillovers, and uncertainty affect U.S. stock markets?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    15. Pham, Son Duy & Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2025. "Tail risk connectedness in the Australian National Electricity Markets: The impact of rare events," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    16. Yang, Yajie & Zhao, Longfeng & Chen, Lin & Wang, Chao & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2025. "The spillover effects between renewable energy tokens and energy assets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Shahzad, Umer & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Panait, Mirela & Sarker, Tapan & Apostu, Simona Andreea, 2023. "Emerging interaction of artificial intelligence with basic materials and oil & gas companies: A comparative look at the Islamic vs. conventional markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    18. Zeng, Hongjun & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Wu, Ran & Ahmed, Abdullahi D., 2024. "Asymmetric dependency among US national financial conditions and clean energy markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    19. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Batten, Jonathan & Gozgor, Giray & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nanaeva, Zhamal, 2024. "Metaverse and financial markets: A quantile-time-frequency connectedness analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    20. Chen, Yanan & Qi, Haozhi, 2024. "COVID-19 pandemic-related news and Chinese commodities futures: Time-frequency connectedness and causality-in-quantiles approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    European tourism sector index; European energy and carbon emissions market; Quantile connectedness; Risk spillover; Quantile granger causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • Z32 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Tourism and Development
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:74:y:2025:i:c:s0275531924004860. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.