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Exploring the dynamic nexus of traditional and digital assets in inflationary times: The role of safe havens, tech stocks, and cryptocurrencies

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  • Dimitriadis, Konstantinos A.
  • Koursaros, Demetris
  • Savva, Christos S.

Abstract

This study explores the dynamic interactions among traditional safe havens (gold), high-tech stocks, and cryptocurrencies (both non-green and green) during inflationary periods. It addresses a key gap in understanding the complementarity and substitutability of financial instruments when conventional currencies lose value. Using a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model and dynamic network connectedness analysis, we identify three main findings: (1) Gold consistently behaves as a spillover absorber, reinforcing its role as a crisis hedge; (2) crisis-type does matter - non-green cryptocurrencies dominate during geopolitical shocks (e.g., the Russia–Ukraine war) which tend to be inflationary, while green cryptocurrencies gain prominence during non-inflationary health crises (e.g., COVID-19); (3) High-tech stocks and sectoral indices (e.g., Financials, Industrials); lead in stable periods, serving as modern portfolio anchors. These results suggest an ongoing financial evolution - from gold to green crypto - as newer digital assets demonstrate increasing resilience compared to traditional safe-haven assets in times of uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitriadis, Konstantinos A. & Koursaros, Demetris & Savva, Christos S., 2025. "Exploring the dynamic nexus of traditional and digital assets in inflationary times: The role of safe havens, tech stocks, and cryptocurrencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:151:y:2025:i:c:s0264999325001907
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107195
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    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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