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Spillover Effects of the US Financial Crisis on Financial Markets in Emerging Asian Countries

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  • Bong-Han Kim
  • Hyeongwoo Kim

Abstract

We estimate dynamic conditional correlations of financial asset returns across countries by an array of multivariate GARCH models and analyze spillover effects of the recent US financial crisis on 5 emerging Asian countries. We find a symptom of financial contagion around the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. There appears to be a regime shift to substantially higher conditional correlations that persisted for a fairly short-period of time. We also propose a novel approach that allows simultaneous estimations of the conditional correlation coefficient and the effects of its determining factors over time, which can be used to identify channels of spillovers. We find the dominant role of foreign investment for the conditional correlations in international equity markets. The dollar Libor-OIS spread, the sovereign CDS premium, and foreign investment are found to play significant roles in foreign exchange markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Bong-Han Kim & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2011. "Spillover Effects of the US Financial Crisis on Financial Markets in Emerging Asian Countries," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2011-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
  • Handle: RePEc:abn:wpaper:auwp2011-04
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Crisis; Spillover Effects; Contagion; Emerging Asian Countries; Dynamic Conditional Correlation; DCCX-MGARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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