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Dynamic Conditional Correlation Analysis of Stock Market Contagion: Evidence from the 2007-2010 Financial Crises

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  • Zouheir Mighri

    (Department of Quantitative Methods and Information Technology,Institut Sup rieur de Gestion de Sousse, University of Sousse, Tunisia)

  • Faysal Mansouri

    (Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.Institut des Hautes Etudes Commerciales de Sousse, University of Sousse, Tunisia)

Abstract

This research examines the time-varying conditional correlations to the daily stock index returns. We use a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model in order to capture potential contagion effects between US and major developed and emerging stock markets during the 2007-2010 major financial crisis. Empirical results show substantial evidence of significant increase in conditional correlation or contagion as well as herding behavior during crisis periods. This result contrasts with the no contagion finding reached by Forbes and Rigobon (2002).

Suggested Citation

  • Zouheir Mighri & Faysal Mansouri, 2013. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation Analysis of Stock Market Contagion: Evidence from the 2007-2010 Financial Crises," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 637-661.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2013-03-8
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    2. Kasilingam Lingaraja & Murugesan Selvam & Vinayagamoorthi Vasanth & Ramachandran Rajesh Ramkumar, 2015. "Long-run Overseas Portfolio Diversification Benefits and Opportunities of Asian Emerging Stock Markets and Developed Markets," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 324-333.
    3. Ndiweni, Zinzile Lorna & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2022. "Contagion or decoupling? Evidence from emerging stock markets," MPRA Paper 115170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles & McMullan, Caroline, 2018. "Chemical industry disasters and the sectoral transmission of financial market contagion," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 490-501.
    5. Han-Ching Huang & Yong-Chern Su & Jen-Tien Tsui, 2015. "Asymmetric GARCH Value-at-Risk over MSCI in Financial Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 390-398.
    6. Pragidis, I.C. & Aielli, G.P. & Chionis, D. & Schizas, P., 2015. "Contagion effects during financial crisis: Evidence from the Greek sovereign bonds market," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 127-138.
    7. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.

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    Keywords

    Dynamic correlation; DCC-GARCH; contagion; financial crisis; stock markets.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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