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A Note on Diagnosing Multivariate Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models

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  • Y. K. Tse
  • A. K. C. Tsui

Abstract

In this paper we consider several tests for model misspecification after a multivariate conditional heteroscedasticity model has been fitted. We examine the performance of the recent test due to Ling and Li (J. Time Ser. Anal. 18 (1997), 447–64), the Box–Pierce test and the residual‐based F test using Monte Carlo methods. We find that there are situations in which the Ling–Li test has very weak power. The residual‐based diagnostics demonstrate significant under‐rejection under the null. In contrast, the Box–Pierce test based on the cross‐products of the standardized residuals often provides a useful diagnostic that has reliable empirical size as well as good power against the alternatives considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Y. K. Tse & A. K. C. Tsui, 1999. "A Note on Diagnosing Multivariate Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(6), pages 679-691, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:20:y:1999:i:6:p:679-691
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9892.00166
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    Cited by:

    1. Adams, Zeno & Füss, Roland & Glück, Thorsten, 2017. "Are correlations constant? Empirical and theoretical results on popular correlation models in finance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-24.
    2. Jianqing Fan & Mingjin Wang & Qiwei Yao, 2008. "Modelling multivariate volatilities via conditionally uncorrelated components," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(4), pages 679-702, September.
    3. Caporin Massimiliano & Paruolo Paolo, 2005. "Multivariate ARCH with spatial effects for stock sector and size," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf0509, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
    4. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Multivariate GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 669, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 18 Jan 2008.
    5. Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Othman Kadmiri & Bruno Saussereau, 2022. "Portmanteau test for a class of multivariate asymmetric power GARCH model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 964-1002, November.
    6. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2019. "Tests for conditional heteroscedasticity with functional data and goodness-of-fit tests for FGARCH models," MPRA Paper 93048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Caporin Massimiliano & Paruolo Paolo, 2005. "Spatial effects in multivariate ARCH," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf0501, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
    8. Ke, Rui & Jia, Jing & Tan, Changchun, 2021. "A residual-based test for multivariate GARCH models using transformed quadratic residuals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    9. Paul Catani & Timo Teräsvirta & Meiqun Yin, 2017. "A Lagrange multiplier test for testing the adequacy of constant conditional correlation GARCH model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 599-621, October.
    10. Luc Bauwens & Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2006. "Multivariate GARCH models: a survey," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 79-109, January.
    11. Gregory Rice & Tony Wirjanto & Yuqian Zhao, 2020. "Tests for conditional heteroscedasticity of functional data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(6), pages 733-758, November.
    12. Y. K. Tse, 2002. "Residual-based diagnostics for conditional heteroscedasticity models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 358-374, June.
    13. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Emre Yoldas, 2010. "Multivariate Autocontours for Specification Testing in Multivariate GARCH Models," Working Papers 201436, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    14. Zouheir Mighri & Faysal Mansouri, 2013. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation Analysis of Stock Market Contagion: Evidence from the 2007-2010 Financial Crises," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 637-661.
    15. Duchesne, Pierre, 2004. "On matricial measures of dependence in vector ARCH models with applications to diagnostic checking," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 149-160, June.
    16. Trancoso, Tiago, 2014. "Emerging markets in the global economic network: Real(ly) decoupling?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 395(C), pages 499-510.

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