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Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods

Author

Listed:
  • P. Hartmann

    (European Central Bank)

  • S. Straetmans

    (University Maastricht)

  • C.G. de Vries

    () (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this nonparametric measure is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest that simultaneous crashes between stock markets are much more likely than between bond markets. However, for the assessment of financial system stability the widely disregarded cross-asset perspective is particularly important. For example, our data show that stock-bond contagion is approximately as frequent as flight to quality from stocks into bonds. Extreme cross-border linkages are surprisingly similar to national linkages, illustrating a potential downside to international financial integration. Published in Review of Economics and Statistics (2004), 86, 313-326.

Suggested Citation

  • P. Hartmann & S. Straetmans & C.G. de Vries, 2001. "Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-071/2, Tinbergen Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20010071
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    Keywords

    Financial Crises; Systemic Risk; Contagion; Market Crashes; Flight to Quality; Bivariate Extreme Value Analysis; Extreme Co-movements;

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other

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