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How do emotions drive market dynamics? A tale of spillovers in cryptocurrency markets

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  • Huang, Yingying
  • Liang, Weizhong
  • Duan, Kun
  • Urquhart, Andrew
  • Ye, Qiang

Abstract

This paper studies emotional spillovers in cryptocurrency markets and the associated impacts on market performance. By constructing a dynamic connectedness network, we capture the emotional spillover effects among the major cryptocurrencies and their time-varying evolution. We then quantify how the emotional spillovers of cryptocurrencies drive their market performance within a joint distributional framework that gauges the heterogeneity of such a linkage under different conditions of emotions and market performance of cryptocurrencies. Our results indicate that within emotional spillovers, cryptocurrencies act as the net information receiver, while carbon-intensive (dirty) cryptocurrencies play a greater role in driving emotional spillovers than eco-friendly (clean) ones. The stock market, being controlled by the emotional system, is found to be the major net provider. From a dynamic perspective, clean cryptocurrencies are shown to have stronger emotional spillover effects than dirty cryptocurrencies prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the effects of both gradually weaken thereafter. The role of emotional spillovers in driving market performance is often more pronounced under extreme market conditions in cryptocurrency markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Yingying & Liang, Weizhong & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew & Ye, Qiang, 2025. "How do emotions drive market dynamics? A tale of spillovers in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:103:y:2025:i:c:s1042443125000927
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102202
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