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How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Connect With the Volatility Spillovers in Asia-Pacific Markets?

Author

Listed:
  • Ismail O Fasanya
  • Oluwatomisin J Oyewole
  • Taofeek Agbatogun

    (Department of Economics, Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta, Nigeria)

Abstract

We examine the connection between global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) and the dynamic spillovers of the Asia-Pacific manufacturing market within a nonparametric framework. We find strong connectedness between markets, and our results strongly support a nonlinear causal relationship between GEPU and manufacturing markets, mostly at median quantiles. Nonlinearity in our data signifies that the nonparametric test is more robust relative to the standard causality test.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismail O Fasanya & Oluwatomisin J Oyewole & Taofeek Agbatogun, 2021. "How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Connect With the Volatility Spillovers in Asia-Pacific Markets?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(2), pages 1-6.
    • Handle: RePEc:ayb:jrnael:32
    DOI: 2021/08/10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    2. Liu, Ding & Sun, Weihong & Xu, Liao & Zhang, Xuan, 2023. "Time-frequency relationship between economic policy uncertainty and financial cycle in China: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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    4. Mensi, Walid & Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Multiscale dependence, spillovers, and connectedness between precious metals and currency markets: A hedge and safe-haven analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2023. "On the connection between international REITs and oil markets: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
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    7. Ayşegül Şahin, 2025. "The Interaction Between Economic Uncertainties and Financial Cycles in Türkiye: Frequency Domain Symmetric and Asymmetric Causality Analysis," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 10(2), pages 484-501.
    8. Nakagawa, Kei & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2022. "Cryptocurrency network factors and gold," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    9. Anasuya Haldar & Narayan Sethi, 2022. "The Economic Effects Of Covid-19 Mitigation Policies On Unemployment And Economic Policy Uncertainty," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(Special I), pages 61-84, March.
    10. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Silva, José W.L. & de Araujo, Fernando H.A. & Ferreira, Paulo & Aslam, Faheem & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2022. "Interplay multifractal dynamics among metal commodities and US-EPU," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    11. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Noman, Ambreen, 2021. "The volatility connectedness of the EU carbon market with commodity and financial markets in time- and frequency-domain: The role of the U.S. economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Pham, Son D. & Nguyen, Thao T.T. & Do, Hung X., 2024. "Impact of climate policy uncertainty on return spillover among green assets and portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    13. Yifei Li & Yuhang Bai, 2023. "Research on the Impact of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Manufacturing: Evidence from China, the United States, and the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-18, July.
    14. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Kenku, Oluwademilade T. & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2022. "Comparative response of global energy firm stocks to uncertainties from the crude oil market, stock market, and economic policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    15. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    16. Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Zhang, Hongwei & Liu, Jia & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among within and cross-country policy uncertainty, crude oil and gold market: Evidence from US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    18. Younis, Ijaz & Du, Anna Min & Gupta, Himani & Shah, Waheed Ullah, 2024. "Dynamic spillover effects and interconnectedness of DeFi assets, commodities, and Islamic stock markets during crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    19. Ohikhuare, Obaika M. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J., 2025. "Asymmetric connectedness among the G7 REITs market: How important are oil returns, climate policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2).
    20. Umar, Zaghum & Polat, Onur & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness between non-fungible tokens, decentralized finance, and conventional financial assets in a time-frequency framework," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    21. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Tabash, Mosab I. & Jiao, Zhilun, 2024. "Shock transmission between climate policy uncertainty, financial stress indicators, oil price uncertainty and industrial metal volatility: Identifying moderators, hedgers and shock transmitters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    22. Mensi, Walid & Gök, Remzi & Gemici, Eray & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2025. "Tail risk contagion and connectedness between crude oil, natural gas, heating oil, precious metals, and international stock markets," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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