IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijfss/v13y2025i1p29-d1601162.html

Economic Growth in Rural Areas, Resource Agglomeration, and Stock Market Performance: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Guojing Geng

    (School of Finance and Economics, Shenzhen Institute of Information Technology, Shenzhen 518172, China)

Abstract

This study aims to explore the potential association between the performance of the stock market and the growth of the rural economy in China. It examines the impact of regional market volatility on rural macroeconomic indicators, which functions through the equity price fluctuations of locally listed firms. The analysis utilizes financial performance data from publicly traded companies across 283 prefecture-level cities within 31 provinces in China, spanning from 1996 to 2021. This research documents a resource agglomeration effect, which is induced by the inflow of various resources by listed companies into their respective regional areas, and which emerges as the key driver for the development of the rural economy in those regions. Additionally, this study uncovers the advantages of the risk diversification effect that arises from the aggregation of resources. These findings have three significant implications. First, both effects are identified as concurrent mechanisms without any evidence of a crowding-out effect. Secondly, multiple avenues are presented through which financial capital can affect the rural economic development of a region. Lastly, this study suggests specific strategies for assessing the equity market’s role in ensuring the sustainable development of the Chinese rural economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Guojing Geng, 2025. "Economic Growth in Rural Areas, Resource Agglomeration, and Stock Market Performance: Evidence from China," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:13:y:2025:i:1:p:29-:d:1601162
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/13/1/29/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/13/1/29/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jaroslava Botev & Balázs Égert & Fredj Jawadi, 2019. "The nonlinear relationship between economic growth and financial development: Evidence from developing, emerging and advanced economies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 160, pages 3-13.
    2. Bakhtiar Javaheri & Fateh habibi & Ramin Amani, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and the US stock market trading: non-ARDL evidence," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    3. Hasan, Iftekhar & Wachtel, Paul & Zhou, Mingming, 2009. "Institutional development, financial deepening and economic growth: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 157-170, January.
    4. repec:osf:osfxxx:zse25_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Felix Rioja & Neven Valev, 2004. "Finance and the Sources of Growth at Various Stages of Economic Development," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(1), pages 127-140, January.
    6. Michalis Nikiforos, 2022. "Induced shifting involvements and cycles of growth and distribution," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 46(1), pages 73-103.
    7. Rioja, Felix & Valev, Neven, 2004. "Does one size fit all?: a reexamination of the finance and growth relationship," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 429-447, August.
    8. Modis, Theodore, 2007. "Sunspots, GDP, and the Stock Market," OSF Preprints zse25, Center for Open Science.
    9. Dong‐Hyeon Kim & Ho‐Chuan Huang & Shu‐Chin Lin & Chih‐Chuan Yeh, 2010. "Financial Development On Growth Convergence," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 57(4), pages 493-514, September.
    10. Keddad, Benjamin, 2024. "Asian stock market volatility and economic policy uncertainty: The role of world and regional leaders," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. Ryan Compton & Daniel Giedeman, 2011. "Panel evidence on finance, institutions and economic growth," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(25), pages 3523-3547.
    12. Peia, Oana & Roszbach, Kasper, 2015. "Finance and growth: Time series evidence on causality," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 105-118.
    13. Muhammad Shahbaz & Muhammad A. Nasir & Amine Lahiani, 2022. "Role of financial development in economic growth in the light of asymmetric effects and financial efficiency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 361-383, January.
    14. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Policy uncertainty and stock market volatility revisited: The predictive role of signal quality," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2307-2321, December.
    15. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:5:p:1115-53 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Petra Valickova & Tomas Havranek & Roman Horvath, 2015. "Financial Development And Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 506-526, July.
    17. Beltratti, A. & Morana, C., 2006. "Breaks and persistency: macroeconomic causes of stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 151-177.
    18. Calderon, Cesar & Liu, Lin, 2003. "The direction of causality between financial development and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 321-334, October.
    19. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E. & Rangvid, Jesper, 2005. "Macro variables and international stock return predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 137-166.
    20. Zhang, Jin & Wang, Lanfang & Wang, Susheng, 2012. "Financial development and economic growth: Recent evidence from China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 393-412.
    21. Xu, Zhenhui, 2000. "Financial Development, Investment, and Economic Growth," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(2), pages 331-344, April.
    22. Chibuikem Dibor-Alfred & Oluwatoyin Abidemi Somoye & Huseyin Ozdeser, 2023. "Stock market performance and economic growth: empirical evidence from Nigeria employing the ARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(12), pages 1-15, December.
    23. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2020. "Economic indicators and stock market volatility in an emerging economy," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    24. McQueen, Grant & Roley, V Vance, 1993. "Stock Prices, News, and Business Conditions," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 683-707.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe & Mohamad Shaharudin Samsurijan, 2021. "What matters for finance‐growth nexus? A critical survey of macroeconomic stability, institutions, financial and economic development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5302-5320, October.
    2. Xu Guangdong, 2021. "Reassessing the Literature on the Relationship Between Financial Structure and Economic Growth," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 72(2), pages 149-182, August.
    3. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2019. "Financial Development and Tax Revenue in Developing Countries: Investigating the International Trade and Economic Growth Channels," EconStor Preprints 206628, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    4. repec:prg:jnlpep:v:preprint:id:646:p:1-21 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Magda Kandil & Muhammad Shahbaz & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2017. "The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 54-84, April.
    6. Sinem Guler Kangalli Uyar & Umut Uyar, 2018. "Quantile Parameter Heterogeneity in the Finance-Growth Relation: The Case of OECD Countries," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(1), pages 92-112.
    7. Laurent Cavenaile & Christian Gengenbach & Franz Palm, 2014. "Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economic Growth: A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis," De Economist, Springer, vol. 162(1), pages 19-40, March.
    8. Dong‐Hyeon Kim & Ho‐Chuan Huang & Shu‐Chin Lin & Chih‐Chuan Yeh, 2010. "Financial Development On Growth Convergence," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 57(4), pages 493-514, September.
    9. Alessio Ciarlone, 2019. "The relationship between financial development and growth: the case of emerging Europe," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 521, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Bhabani Shankar Nayak & Zhong Yingnan, 2019. "Critical Reflections on Different Trends in the Relationship between Financial Developments and Economic Growth in China," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(3), pages 89-98, March.
    11. Guangdong Xu & Binwei Gui & Shudan Xu, 2024. "Does Financial Structure Matter for Economic Growth? New Evidence from China," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 57(4), pages 351-383, December.
    12. Samargandi, Nahla & Fidrmuc, Jan & Ghosh, Sugata, 2015. "Is the Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle-Income Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 66-81.
    13. Ricardo Barradas & Rishi Lakhani, 2024. "The finance–inequality nexus in the era of financialisation: Evidence for Portugal," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3510-3544, July.
    14. repec:rnp:ppaper:mn38 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Okuyan Hasan Aydın, 2022. "The Nexus of Financial Development and Economic Growth Across Developing Economies," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 125-140, June.
    16. Wahyoe Soedarmono & Iftekhar Hasan & Nuruzzaman Arsyad, 2017. "Non-linearity in the finance-growth nexus: Evidence from Indonesia," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 150, pages 19-35.
    17. Zhang, Jin & Wang, Lanfang & Wang, Susheng, 2012. "Financial development and economic growth: Recent evidence from China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 393-412.
    18. Law, Siong Hook & Azman-Saini, W.N.W. & Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2013. "Institutional quality thresholds and the finance – Growth nexus," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5373-5381.
    19. Guangdong Xu & Binwei Gui, 2021. "The non‐linearity between finance and economic growth: a literature review and evidence from China," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 35(1), pages 3-18, May.
    20. Ouyang, Yaofu & Li, Peng, 2018. "On the nexus of financial development, economic growth, and energy consumption in China: New perspective from a GMM panel VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 238-252.
    21. Chow, Sheung Chi & Vieito, João Paulo & Wong, Wing Keung, 2019. "Do both demand-following and supply-leading theories hold true in developing countries?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 536-554.
    22. Chung-Hua Shen & Chien-Chiang Lee & Shyh-Wei Chen & Zixiong Xie, 2011. "Roles played by financial development in economic growth: application of the flexible regression model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 103-125, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:13:y:2025:i:1:p:29-:d:1601162. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.