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Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economics Growth: A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis

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  • Laurent Cavenaile
  • Christian Gengenbach
  • Franz Palm

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the long run relationship between the development of banks and stock markets and economic growth. We make use of a Johansen-based panel cointegration methodology allowing for cross-country dependence to test the number of cointegrating vectors among these three variables for 5 developing countries. In addition, we test the direction of potential causality between financial and economic development. Our results conclude to the existence of a single cointegrating vector between financial development and growth and of causality going from financial development to economic growth. We find little evidence of reverse causation as well as bi-directional causality. We interpret this as evidence supporting the significance of financial development for economic development although banks and stock markets may have different effects depending on the level of economic development.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurent Cavenaile & Christian Gengenbach & Franz Palm, 2013. "Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economics Growth: A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4513, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_4513
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    2. Shrutikeerti Kaushal & Amlan Ghosh, 2016. "Financial Institutions and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of Indian Economy in the Post Liberalized Era," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 1003-1013.
    3. Iqbal, Athar & Khan, Muhammad Irfan & Riaz, Samina, 2017. "The Causality between Equity Market Development and Economic Growth: An Egg and Chicken Problem?," MPRA Paper 103038, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Dec 2017.
    4. Md. Qamruzzaman & Wei Jianguo, 2017. "Financial innovation and economic growth in Bangladesh," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24, December.
    5. Veronika Kajurová, 2017. "A Note on Relationship between Economic Activity and Stock Market Development: a Case of Euro Area Countries," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 65(6), pages 1953-1965.
    6. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Ghoshray, Atanu, 2015. "The dynamics of economic growth, oil prices, stock market depth, and other macroeconomic variables: Evidence from the G-20 countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 84-95.
    7. Md. Qamruzzaman & Jianguo Wei, 2018. "Financial Innovation, Stock Market Development, and Economic Growth: An Application of ARDL Model," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-30, August.
    8. Eduard Baitinger & Christian Fieberg & Thorsten Poddig & Armin Varmaz, 2015. "Liquidity-driven approach to dynamic asset allocation: evidence from the German stock market," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 29(4), pages 365-379, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banks; stock markets; economic growth; panel cointegration; causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth

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