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The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?

Author

Listed:
  • Magda Kandil
  • Muhammad Shahbaz
  • Mantu Kumar Mahalik
  • Duc Khuong Nguyen

Abstract

Purpose - Using annual data from 1970 to 2013 for China and India, this paper aims to examine the impact of globalization and financial development on economic growth by endogenizing capital and inflation and drawing comparisons between the two fastest growing emerging market economies. Design/methodology/approach - In the long run, co-integration test results indicate that financial development increases economic growth in China and India. Findings - The results also reveal that globalization accelerates economic growth in India but, surprisingly, impairs economic growth in China, as it increases competition for exports. The results furthermore disclose that acceleration in capitalization and inflation, as a proxy for aggregate demand, are positively linked to economic growth in China and India. Originality/value - Causality test results indicate that both financial development and economic growth are interdependent. In contrast, causality runs from higher economic growth to increased globalization in India, while the results do not support long-term causality between globalization and economic growth in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Magda Kandil & Muhammad Shahbaz & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2017. "The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 54-84, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijdipp:ijdi-06-2016-0036
    DOI: 10.1108/IJDI-06-2016-0036
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    Cited by:

    1. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe, 2023. "A disaggregated approach to analysing the effects of globalization and energy consumption on economic growth: New insights from low‐income countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3976-3996, October.
    2. Kashif Abbass & Abdul Aziz Khan Niazi & Abdul Basit & Tehmina Fiaz Qazi & Huaming Song & Halima Begum, 2021. "Uncovering Effects of Hot Potatoes in Banking System: Arresting Die-Hard Issues," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, December.
    3. Hongzhong Fan & Md Ismail Hossain & Mollah Aminul Islam & Yassin Elshain Yahia, 2019. "The Impact of Trade, Technology and Growth on Environmental Deterioration of China and India," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 1-29, January.
    4. Asteriou, Dimitrios & Spanos, Konstantinos, 2019. "The relationship between financial development and economic growth during the recent crisis: Evidence from the EU," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 238-245.
    5. Atil, Ahmed & Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for financial development in Pakistan? The importance of oil prices, economic growth and economic globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    6. Ismail O. Fasanya & Ismail A. Olayemi, 2020. "Modelling financial openness growth-nexus in Nigeria: evidence from bounds testing to cointegration approach," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Bastanifar Iman & Shirkhani Asma, 2025. "A Dynamic Economic Resilience Model: A Case Study of a Regional Integration Organization in Eurasia," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 40(1), pages 157-179.
    8. Qurrota Ayu NINDIEN & Arivina Ratih Yulihar TAHER & Asih MURWIATI & I Wayan SUPARTA & Neli AIDA, 2024. "Direct And Indirect Effect Of Globalization On Economic Growth In Indonesia," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 23(1), pages 33-44.
    9. Mantu Kumar Mahalik & John Nkwoma Inekwe & Kuntal Kumar Das & Umakant Dash & Augustine C. Arize, 2022. "Does the pattern of age dependency matter in the promotion of financial development in an emerging economy?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(48), pages 5622-5637, October.
    10. Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Hina QADIR & Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Justas STREIMIKIS, 2022. "The Exports Performance of Pakistan: Evidence from the ARDL Cointegration Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 150-168, December.
    11. Vieira, Flávio Vilela & Silva, Cleomar Gomes da, 2023. "Looking for asymmetries between credit and output in the BRICS countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 39-52.
    12. Imtiaz, Amir & Javid, Snober, 2023. "Resource curse or blessings hypothesis in Pakistan: The role of financial development and oil prices in era of globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    13. Can Li & Qi He & Han Ji & Shengguo Yu & Jiao Wang, 2023. "Reexamining the Impact of Global Value Chain Participation on Regional Economic Growth: New Evidence Based on a Nonlinear Model and Spatial Spillover Effects with Panel Data from Chinese Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-31, September.
    14. Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Natural resources as blessings and finance-growth nexus: A bootstrap ARDL approach in an emerging economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 277-287.
    15. Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Jolita VVEINHARDT & Dalia STREIMIKIENE, 2018. "An Empirical Analysis of Export, Import, and Inflation: A Case of Pakistan," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 117-130, September.
    16. Tang, Chun & Liu, Xiaoxing & Zhou, Donghai, 2022. "Financial market resilience and financial development: A global perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    17. Abdul Rahman & Muhammad Arshad Khan & Lanouar Charfeddine, 2020. "Does Financial Sector Promote Economic Growth in Pakistan? Empirical Evidences From Markov Switching Model," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, October.
    18. Cyril Manga & Sufyan Qudah & Alexandru Capatina, 2022. "Comparative Approach of Economic Growth Engines (Senegal vs. Jordan) using Granger Causality Test," REVISTA DE MANAGEMENT COMPARAT INTERNATIONAL/REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL COMPARATIVE MANAGEMENT, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 23(1), pages 189-201, March.
    19. Muhammad Shahbaz & Muhammad A. Nasir & Amine Lahiani, 2022. "Role of financial development in economic growth in the light of asymmetric effects and financial efficiency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 361-383, January.
    20. Javier García-Algarra & Gonzalo Gómez-Bengoechea & Mary Luz Mouronte-López, 2025. "Convergence Speed and Growth Patterns: A Dynamical Systems Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 615-636, February.
    21. Ilyas Ahnach & Said Tounsi, 2025. "La Technologie Blockchain Et La Resilience Du Marche Financier : Etude D'Impact Et De Relation, Cas De La Bourse De Casablanca," Post-Print hal-05135043, HAL.
    22. Hafezali Iqbal Hussain & Muhammad Haseeb & Manuela Tvaronavičienė & Leonardus W. W. Mihardjo & Kittisak Jermsittiparsert, 2024. "Correction: Hussain et al. The Causal Connection of Natural Resources and Globalization with Energy Consumption in Top Asian Countries: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach. En," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-2, June.

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    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics

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