IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/quaeco/v98y2024ics1062976924001261.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time-frequency co-movement and cross-quantile connectedness of exchange rates: Evidence from ASEAN+3 Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Zhu, Huiming
  • Deng, Xi
  • Ren, Yinghua
  • Huang, Xi

Abstract

This study investigates the time-frequency co-movement and cross-quantile connectedness of exchange rates. Using wavelet coherence and cross-quantile methods, we examine ASEAN+ 3 countries’ time-frequency co-movement, quantile spillover effects, and network connectedness of the exchange rate markets. Our empirical results are as follows: significant co-movement heterogeneity exists across countries over different frequency bands. Moreover, the Chinese Yuan (CNY), Japanese Yen, and South Korea Won are desirable sources of diversification for other currencies across different investment horizons. CNY and JPY exhibit good regional safe haven currency attributes in different investment horizons. Overall, these findings suggest ways for currency authorities to maintain exchange rate stability and investor portfolio decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhu, Huiming & Deng, Xi & Ren, Yinghua & Huang, Xi, 2024. "Time-frequency co-movement and cross-quantile connectedness of exchange rates: Evidence from ASEAN+3 Countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:98:y:2024:i:c:s1062976924001261
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2024.101920
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062976924001261
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.qref.2024.101920?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Reboredo, Juan C., 2012. "Modelling oil price and exchange rate co-movements," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 419-440.
    2. Sinha, Avik & Mishra, Shekhar & Sharif, Arshian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2021. "Does Green Financing help to improve the Environmental & Social Responsibility? Designing SDG framework through Advanced Quantile modelling," MPRA Paper 108150, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    3. Mert Demirer & Francis X. Diebold & Laura Liu & Kamil Yilmaz, 2018. "Estimating global bank network connectedness," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-15, January.
    4. Özmen, M. Utku & Yılmaz, Erdal, 2017. "Co-movement of exchange rates with interest rate differential, risk premium and FED policy in “fragile economies”," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 173-188.
    5. Urom, Christian & Mzoughi, Hela & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Guesmi, Khaled, 2022. "Directional predictability and time-frequency spillovers among clean energy sectors and oil price uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 326-341.
    6. Sehgal, Sanjay & Pandey, Piyush & Diesting, Florent, 2017. "Examining dynamic currency linkages amongst South Asian economies: An empirical study," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 173-190.
    7. Fatum, Rasmus & Yamamoto, Yohei, 2016. "Intra-safe haven currency behavior during the global financial crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 49-64.
    8. Zhu, Huiming & Li, Shuang & Huang, Zishan, 2023. "Frequency domain quantile dependence and connectedness between crude oil and exchange rates: Evidence from oil-importing and exporting countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-30.
    9. Lukas Menkhoff, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets: A Survey of Empirical Studies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(9), pages 1187-1208, September.
    10. Lyócsa, Štefan & Výrost, Tomáš & Baumöhl, Eduard, 2019. "Return spillovers around the globe: A network approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 133-146.
    11. Wang, Yonglian & Wang, Lijun & Pan, Changchun & Hong, Songzhi, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and price pass-through effect of exchange rate in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    12. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Extreme spillovers across Asian-Pacific currencies: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Lai, Kevin & Wang, Tao & Xu, David, 2021. "Capital controls and international trade: An industry financial vulnerability perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    14. Ouyang, Alice Y. & Rajan, Ramkishen S. & Willett, Thomas D., 2010. "China as a reserve sink: The evidence from offset and sterilization coefficients," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 951-972, September.
    15. Yanping Zhao & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Return and volatility connectedness of Chinese onshore, offshore, and forward exchange rate," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1843-1860, November.
    16. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Christian Aubin & Daniel Goyeau & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Extreme co-movements and dependencies among major international exchange rates," Post-Print hal-01394675, HAL.
    17. Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderlind, 2010. "Safe Haven Currencies," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 385-407.
    18. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Roubaud, David & Wang, Shixuan, 2018. "Bitcoin and global financial stress: A copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 297-307.
    19. Zhu, Huiming & Yu, Dongwei & Hau, Liya & Wu, Hao & Ye, Fangyu, 2022. "Time-frequency effect of crude oil and exchange rates on stock markets in BRICS countries: Evidence from wavelet quantile regression analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    20. Jiang, Xue & Li, Sai-Ping & Mai, Yong & Tian, Tao, 2022. "Study of multinational currency co-movement and exchange rate stability base on network game," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    21. Aizenman, Joshua & Cheung, Yin-Wong & Qian, XingWang, 2020. "The currency composition of international reserves, demand for international reserves, and global safe assets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    22. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
    23. Baumöhl, Eduard & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2017. "Directional predictability from stock market sector indices to gold: A cross-quantilogram analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 152-164.
    24. Bekiros, Stelios D., 2014. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: Co-movement, long-run relationships and short-run dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 117-134.
    25. Carballo, Jeronimo & Handley, Kyle & Limão, Nuno, 2022. "Economic and policy uncertainty: Aggregate export dynamics and the value of agreements," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    26. Chandrarin, Grahita & Sohag, Kazi & Cahyaningsih, Diyah Sukanti & Yuniawan, Dani & Herdhayinta, Heyvon, 2022. "The response of exchange rate to coal price, palm oil price, and inflation in Indonesia: Tail dependence analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    27. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Aubin, Christian & Goyeau, Daniel & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2018. "Extreme co-movements and dependencies among major international exchange rates: A copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 56-69.
    28. Gunay, Samet, 2021. "Comparing COVID-19 with the GFC: A shockwave analysis of currency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    29. Qi, Jianhong & Liu, Hui & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2021. "Exchange rate uncertainty and the timing of Chinese Outward Direct Investment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1193-1204.
    30. Qiao, Xingzhi & Zhu, Huiming & Hau, Liya, 2020. "Time-frequency co-movement of cryptocurrency return and volatility: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    31. Jianxu Liu & Mengjiao Wang & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2019. "Examining the Interdependence between the Exchange Rates of China and ASEAN Countries: A Canonical Vine Copula Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-20, October.
    32. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    33. Ur Rehman, Mobeen & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & El-Nader, Ghaith & Alkhataybeh, Ahmad & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Modelling the quantile cross-coherence between exchange rates: Does the COVID-19 pandemic change the interlinkage structure?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    34. Asadi, Mehrad & Roubaud, David & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Volatility spillovers amid crude oil, natural gas, coal, stock, and currency markets in the US and China based on time and frequency domain connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    35. Meng, Xiangcai & Huang, Chia-Hsing, 2019. "The time-frequency co-movement of Asian effective exchange rates: A wavelet approach with daily data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 131-148.
    36. Wen, Tiange & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2020. "Volatility connectedness in global foreign exchange markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    37. Xu, Lei. & Hamori, Shigeyuki & Kinkyo, Takuji, 2021. "Continuous wavelet analysis of Chinese renminbi: Co-movement and lead-lag relationship between onshore and offshore exchange rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    38. Xu, Yuan & Guo, Yuwei, 2021. "Exchange rate disconnect and financial constraints —evidence from Chinese firms," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 1008-1019.
    39. Huang, Zishan & Zhu, Huiming & Hau, Liya & Deng, Xi, 2023. "Time-frequency co-movement and network connectedness between green bond and financial asset markets: Evidence from multiscale TVP-VAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    40. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Alexandre, Michel da Silva & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2018. "Bank lending and systemic risk: A financial-real sector network approach with feedback," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 98-118.
    41. David Y. Aharon & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers between the term structure of interest rates, bitcoin, and safe-haven currencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, December.
    42. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Ahmed, Ali, 2019. "Cross-quantilogram-based correlation and dependence between renewable energy stock and other asset classes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 743-759.
    43. Tamakoshi, Go & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2014. "Co-movements among major European exchange rates: A multivariate time-varying asymmetric approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 105-113.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Extreme spillovers across Asian-Pacific currencies: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Zhu, Huiming & Zeng, Tian & Wang, Xinghui & Xia, Xiling, 2025. "Frequency domain cross-quantile coherency and connectedness network of exchange rates: Evidence from ASEAN+3 countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    3. Anwer, Zaheer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hassan, M. Kabir & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Asymmetric connectedness across Asia-Pacific currencies: Evidence from time-frequency domain analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    4. Alomari, Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Extreme return spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and precious metals futures markets: Implications for portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Kakran, Shubham & Bajaj, Parminder Kaur & Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumar, Ashish, 2025. "Interconnectedness and return spillover among APEC currency exchange rates: A time-frequency analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    6. Huang, Zhigang & Zhang, Weilan, 2024. "Exploring the Spillover effects of tail risk fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate—The time-frequency and quantile connectivity perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    7. Anwer, Zaheer & Khan, Ashraf & Kabir Hassan, M. & Rashid, Mamunur, 2022. "Does the regional proximity lead to exchange rate spillover?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Conditional dependence structure and risk spillovers between Bitcoin and fiat currencies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    9. Bhatia, Shipra & Tuteja, Divya, 2024. "Contagion and linkages across international currencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    10. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2022. "Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Wang, Mengjiao & Liu, Jianxu & Yang, Bing, 2024. "Does the strength of the US dollar affect the interdependence among currency exchange rates of RCEP and CPTPP countries?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    12. Corbet, Shaen & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2020. "Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between Bitcoin, altcoins and traditional financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2021. "The impact of Euro through time: Exchange rate dynamics under different regimes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1375-1408, January.
    14. Shiying Chen & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Hu Fu & ShiQi Xie, 2024. "Dynamic analysis of the relationship between exchange rates and oil prices: a comparison between oil exporting and oil importing countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Chang, Hao-Wen & Chang, Tsangyao & Wang, Mei-Chih, 2024. "Revisit the impact of exchange rate on stock market returns during the pandemic period," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Brahim, Mariem & Carlotti, Jean-Etienne & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mensi, Walid, 2024. "Extreme downside risk connectedness and portfolio hedging among the G10 currencies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    17. Lu, Man & Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Salman, Asma & Razzaq, Muthanna G. Abdul & Uddin, Mohammed Ahmar, 2023. "Time varying connectedness between foreign exchange markets and crude oil futures prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    18. Boakye, Robert Owusu & Mensah, Lord Kwaku & Kang, Sang Hoon & Osei, Kofi Acheampong, 2023. "Foreign exchange market return spillovers and connectedness among African countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    19. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hasan, Mudassar & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2023. "Asymmetric and time-frequency based networks of currency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    20. Baumöhl, Eduard & Bouri, Elie & Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Výrost, Tomáš, 2020. "Increasing systemic risk during the Covid-19 pandemic: A cross-quantilogram analysis of the banking sector," EconStor Preprints 222580, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; Time-frequency Co-movement; Cross-quantile Connectedness; ASEAN+ 3;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:98:y:2024:i:c:s1062976924001261. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620167 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.