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Sydney C. Ludvigson

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 1999. "Consumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns," Staff Reports 77, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Mentioned in:

    1. US consumers: a wise crowd
      by chris dillow in Stumbling and Mumbling on 2007-09-19 14:42:39
  2. Xiaohong Chen & Jack Favilukis & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2011. "An Estimation of Economic Models with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers 17130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. About very large risk aversion estimates
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2011-08-05 19:59:00
  3. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Paulo Manoel, 2018. "Characteristics of Mutual Fund Portfolios: Where Are the Value Funds?," NBER Working Papers 25381, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Monitoring the Monitors
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2019-11-11 12:47:22

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Sydney Ludvigson & Christina H. Paxson, 2001. "Approximation Bias In Linearized Euler Equations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(2), pages 242-256, May.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Schools of Economic Thought, Epistemology of Economics > Economic Methodology > Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium > Solution Methods for DSGE models

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2001. "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time-Varying," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(6), pages 1238-1287, December.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time-Varying (JPE 2001) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response? (AEJ:MA forthcoming) in ReplicationWiki ()
  3. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2004. "Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 276-299, March.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption (AER 2004) in ReplicationWiki ()
  4. Xiaohong Chen & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2009. "Land of addicts? an empirical investigation of habit-based asset pricing models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1057-1093.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Land of addicts? an empirical investigation of habit-based asset pricing models (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2009) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2022. "A Structural Approach to High-Frequency Event Studies: The Fed and Markets as Case History," NBER Working Papers 30072, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Lodge, David & Manu, Ana-Simona & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "China's footprint in global financial markets," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2024, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    2. Pflueger, Carolin, 2025. "Back to the 1980s or not? The drivers of inflation and real risks in Treasury bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    3. Alex Hsu & Indrajit Mitra & Linghang Zeng, 2023. "The Profitability Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

  2. Josue Cox & Daniel L. Greenwald & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2020. "What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?," NBER Working Papers 27784, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Möller, Rouven & Reichmann, Doron, 2023. "COVID-19 related TV news and stock returns: Evidence from major US TV stations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 95-109.
    2. Li Chen & Guang Zhang, 2022. "COVID-19 Effects on Arbitrage Trading in the Energy Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-13, June.
    3. Getu Hailu, 2021. "COVID‐19 and food processing in Canada," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(2), pages 177-187, June.
    4. Carvalho, Daniel & Schmitz, Martin, 2021. "Shifts in the portfolio holdings of euro area investors in the midst of COVID-19: looking-through investment funds," Working Paper Series 2526, European Central Bank.
    5. Steven J. Davis & Dingqian Liu & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022. "Stock Prices and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(1), pages 32-67, March.
    6. Richard C. K. Burdekin & Samuel Harrison, 2021. "Relative Stock Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Virus vs. Policy Effects in 80 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
    7. Carlini, Federico & Farina, Vincenzo & Gufler, Ivan & Previtali, Daniele, 2024. "Do stress and overstatement in the news affect the stock market? Evidence from COVID-19 news in The Wall Street Journal," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. Ko Adachi & Kazuhiro Hiraki & Tomiyuki Kitamura, 2021. "Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (1): The Effects of the Bank of Japan's ETF Purchases on Risk Premia in the Stock Markets," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    10. Ortmans, Aymeric & Tripier, Fabien, 2021. "COVID-induced sovereign risk in the euro area: When did the ECB stop the spread?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    11. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2021. "COVID-19 Effects on the S&P 500 Index," Working Papers 2117, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
    12. Cong Ma & Mui Yee Cheok, 2023. "Relationship among Covid-19, stock price and green finance markets pragmatic evidence from volatility dynamics," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 265-295, February.
    13. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Woo-Young Kang & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic, policy responses and stock markets in the G20," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 172, pages 77-90.
    14. Ammari, Aymen & Chebbi, Kaouther & Ben Arfa, Nouha, 2023. "How does the COVID-19 pandemic shape the relationship between Twitter sentiment and stock liquidity of US firms?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    15. Ren, Zhaomin & Zhang, Xuan & Zhang, Zhekai, 2021. "New evidence on COVID-19 and firm performance," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 213-225.
    16. Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Changes in social behavior and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on regional housing markets: Independence and risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    17. Hirota, Shinichi, 2023. "Money supply, opinion dispersion, and stock prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1286-1310.
    18. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Pandemic-induced fear and stock market returns: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    19. Simon Gilchrist & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2020. "The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF," NBER Working Papers 27809, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Chaeho Chase Lee & Erdal Atukeren & Hohyun Kim, 2024. "Knowledge Capital and Stock Returns during Crises in the Manufacturing Sector: Moderating Role of Market Share, Tobin’s Q, and Cash Holdings," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-23, June.
    21. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Duygun, Meryem & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 related policy interventions on international systemic risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    22. Chase Lee, Chaeho & Atukeren, Erdal & Kim, Hohyun, 2025. "Organizational capital and stock performance during Crises: Moderating role of generalist CEO," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    23. Stephen J. Davis & Dingqian Liu & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2020. "Stock Prices, Lockdowns, and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus," Working Papers 2020-156, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    24. Benjamin Knox, 2022. "A Stock Return Decomposition Using Observables," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-014r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 31 Jan 2025.
    25. John, Kose & Li, Jingrui, 2021. "COVID-19, volatility dynamics, and sentiment trading," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    26. Xie, Biqing & Xie, Bibo, 2024. "Assessing the impact of climate policy on energy security in developed economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 265-282.
    27. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    28. Lim, Bryan & Arık, Sercan Ö. & Loeff, Nicolas & Pfister, Tomas, 2021. "Temporal Fusion Transformers for interpretable multi-horizon time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1748-1764.
    29. Ruipeng Liu & Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    30. Ling, Aifan & Huang, Xinrui & Ling, Boya (Vivye), 2022. "Fund immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Chinese equity funds," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    31. Ouyang, Xiaoling & Yang, Yuchuan & Du, Kerui, 2024. "Impact of CSR on stock return resilience during the 2020 public health emergency: Evidence from the Chinese financial market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    32. Ludmila Fadejeva & Boriss Siliverstovs & Karlis Vilerts & Anete Brinke, 2022. "Consumer Spending in the Covid-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Card Transactions in Latvia," Discussion Papers 2022/01, Latvijas Banka.
    33. Camelia Minoiu & Rebecca Zarutskie & Andrei Zlate, 2021. "Motivating Banks to Lend? Credit Spillover Effects of the Main Street Lending Program," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-078, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Alireza Saranj & Mehdi Zolfaghari, 2025. "Trading behavior-stock market volatility nexus among institutional and individual investors," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-50, December.
    35. Vasconcelos Costa, André, 2021. "Rising Stocks during Lockdown Economic Recessions: Explaining the Phenomenon," MPRA Paper 106710, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Park, Dojoon & Kang, Yong Joo & Eom, Young Ho, 2024. "Asset pricing tests for pandemic risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1314-1334.
    37. Dey, Asim K. & Hoque, G.M. Toufiqul & Das, Kumer P. & Panovska, Irina, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 local spread and Google search trend on the US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).

  3. Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 27406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    2. Abdalla, Ahmed & Carabias, Jose M. & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2021. "The real-time macro content of corporate financial reports: a dynamic factor model approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108539, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Goodhead, Robert & Kolb, Benedikt, 2018. "Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 46/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Robert J. Tetlow, 2022. "How Large is the Output Cost of Disinflation?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-079, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Brodeur, Abel & Gray, David & Islam, Anik & Bhuiyan, Suraiya Jabeen, 2020. "A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19," GLO Discussion Paper Series 601, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    6. Abdalla, Ahmed M. & Carabias, Jose M. & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2021. "The real-time macro content of corporate financial reports: A dynamic factor model approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 260-280.
    7. Ta-Chung Chi & Ting-Han Fan & Raffaele M. Ghigliazza & Domenico Giannone & Zixuan & Wang, 2025. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Machine Learning," Papers 2510.11008, arXiv.org.
    8. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    9. Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9693, CESifo.
    10. Dmitri V. Vinogradov & Michael J. Lamla & Yousef Makhlouf, 2024. "Survey-based expectations and uncertainty attitudes," Working Papers 2024_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    11. José, Barrales-Ruíz & Pino, Gabriel, 2024. "On the effect of short-run and long-run US economic expectations on oil and gold volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    12. Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," NBER Working Papers 22572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Pflueger, Carolin, 2025. "Back to the 1980s or not? The drivers of inflation and real risks in Treasury bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    14. Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Müller, Gernot, 2023. "On FIRE, news, and expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 18259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
      • Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Müller, Gernot J., 2023. "On FIRE, news, and expectations," Working Papers 42, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    15. Helena Chuliá & Sabuhi Khalili & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI," IREA Working Papers 202402, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
    16. Huang, Yu-Fan & Liao, Wenting & Wang, Taining, 2024. "Does US financial uncertainty spill over through the (asymmetric) international credit channel? The role of market expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    17. Chini, Emilio Zanetti, 2023. "Can we estimate macroforecasters’ mis-behavior?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Wang, Xi & Liu, Ying & Chen, Zhongfei, 2022. "Monetary policy dysregulation with data distortion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    19. Ajit Desai, 2023. "Machine learning for economics research: when, what and how," Staff Analytical Notes 2023-16, Bank of Canada.
    20. Bouaddi, Mohammed & Moutanabbir, Khouzeima, 2023. "Rational distorted beliefs investor; which risk matters?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    21. Raffaella Giacomini & Katja Smetanina & Jason Lu, 2024. "Perceived shocks and impulse responses," IFS Working Papers WCWP21/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    22. Bro, Jeppe & Eriksen, Jonas N., 2025. "Subjective expectations and house prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    23. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2021. "Effects of Macro Uncertainty on Mean Expectation and Subjective Uncertainty: Evidence from Households and Professional Forecasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 9486, CESifo.
    24. Mihai, Marius M. & Mansur, Iqbal, 2022. "Forecasting crash risk in U.S. bank returns—The role of credit booms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    25. Jianhao Lin & Jiacheng Fan & Yifan Zhang & Liangyuan Chen, 2023. "Real‐time macroeconomic projection using narrative central bank communication," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 202-221, March.
    26. Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "What is the Predictive Value of SPF Point and Density Forecasts?," Working Papers 22-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    27. Han, Leyla Jianyu, 2025. "Announcements, expectations, and stock returns with asymmetric information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    28. Gregory, Richard Paul, 2022. "ESG scores and the response of the S&P 1500 to monetary and fiscal policy during the Covid-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 446-456.
    29. Wycliffe Obwori Alwago, 2023. "The nexus between health expenditure, life expectancy, and economic growth: ARDL model analysis for Kenya," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(5), pages 1064-1085, June.
    30. Raffaella Giacomini & Jason Lu & Katja Smetanina, 2024. "Perceived shocks and impulse responses," CeMMAP working papers 21/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    31. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
    32. Segarra-Blasco, Agustí & Teruel, Mercedes & Cattaruzzo, Sebastiano, 2021. "The economic reaction to non-pharmaceutical interventions during Covid-19," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 592-608.
    33. Chenyu Hou, 2023. "Learning and Subjective Expectation Formation: A Recurrent Neural Network Approach," Discussion Papers dp23-13, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    34. Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.

  4. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2020. "COVID-19 and The Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters," NBER Working Papers 26987, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Lorenzo Pozzi & Barbara Sadaba, 2023. "Macroeconomic Disasters and Consumption Smoothing: International Evidence from Historical Data," Staff Working Papers 23-4, Bank of Canada.
    2. Razmi, Seyedeh Fatemeh & Razmi, Seyed Mohammad Javad, 2023. "The role of stock markets in the US, Europe, and China on oil prices before and after the COVID-19 announcement," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Bloise, Francesco & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Predicting the spread of COVID-19 in Italy using machine learning: Do socio-economic factors matter?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 310-329.
    4. Sokbae (Simon) Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2020. "Sparse HP filter: Finding kinks in the COVID-19 contact rate," CeMMAP working papers CWP32/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    5. Francesco Bianchi & Giada Bianchi & Dongho Song, 2020. "The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates," NBER Working Papers 28304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Serhan Cevik, 2024. "Good Will Hunting: Do Disasters Make Us More Charitable?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 25(1), pages 275-287, May.
    7. Benjamin Fomba Kamga & Rodrigue Nda'Chi Deffo, 2022. "Analysis of the resilience strategies of Cameroonian companies in the face of Covid‐19 and their effects on activity," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), pages 880-897, May.
    8. David Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi & Michael J. Mina & James H. Stock, 2020. "Reopening Scenarios," NBER Working Papers 27244, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Alexander Chudik & Kamiar Mohaddes & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020. "A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 8588, CESifo.
    10. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Moench, Emanuel, 2025. "Natural disasters as macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    11. Dieppe,Alistair Matthew & Kilic Celik,Sinem & Okou,Cedric Iltis Finafa, 2020. "Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9411, The World Bank.
    12. Heather Anderson & Giovanni Caggiano & Farshid Vahid & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Sectoral Employment Dynamics in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2020-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    13. Brodeur, Abel & Gray, David & Islam, Anik & Bhuiyan, Suraiya Jabeen, 2020. "A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19," GLO Discussion Paper Series 601, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    14. Juan Andres Espinosa-Torres & Jaime Ramirez-Cuellar, 2023. "The Effects of the Pandemic on Market Power and Profitability," Papers 2303.08765, arXiv.org.
    15. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    16. Filippo Ferroni & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Usual Shocks in our Usual Models," Working Paper Series WP 2022-39, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    17. Álvaro H. Chaves Castro, 2021. "Análisis sobre la evolución del COVID-19 en Colombia: ¿se alcanzará el pico de contagio?," Tiempo y Economía, Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano, vol. 8(1), pages 123-160.
    18. Sabrina Howell & Josh Lerner & Ramana Nanda & Richard Townsend, 2020. "Financial Distancing: How Venture Capital Follows the Economy Down and Curtails Innovation," Harvard Business School Working Papers 20-115, Harvard Business School.
    19. Takeshi Shinohara & Tatsushi Okuda & Jouchi Nakajima, 2020. "Characteristics of Uncertainty Indices in the Macroeconomy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 20-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    20. Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
    21. Hee Soo (test record) Kim & Christian Matthes & Toan Phan, 2011. "Extreme Weather and the Macroeconomy," Working Paper 21-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    22. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Kima, Richard, 2020. "The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    23. Christina Wieser & Girum Abebe & Adamsu Asfaw, 2021. "How Have Firms Fared in Times of COVID-19 in Addis Ababa?," World Bank Publications - Reports 36664, The World Bank Group.
    24. Ravenna, Federico & Pellegrino, Giovanni & Züllig, Gabriel, 2020. "The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 15321, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    25. William Ridley & Sherzod B. Akhundjanov & Stephen Devadoss, 2023. "The COVID‐19 pandemic and trade in agricultural products," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(8), pages 2432-2455, August.
    26. Gallego, Jorge & Prem, Mounu & Vargas, Juan F., 2020. "Corruption in the Times of Pandemia," Working papers 43, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    27. Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Changes in social behavior and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on regional housing markets: Independence and risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    28. Kizys, Renatas & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Donadelli, Michael, 2021. "From COVID-19 herd immunity to investor herding in international stock markets: The role of government and regulatory restrictions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    29. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2021. "Uncertainty of Firms' Economic Outlook During the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 21042, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    30. William Ginn, 2022. "Climate Disasters and the Macroeconomy: Does State-Dependence Matter? Evidence for the US," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 141-161, March.
    31. Thiago Christiano Silva & Carlos Eduardo de Almeida & Solange Maria Guerra & Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2024. "COVID-19 and Credit Reallocation: evidence from bank branch lending in Brazil," Working Papers Series 601, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    32. Kong, Edward & Prinz, Daniel, 2020. "Disentangling policy effects using proxy data: Which shutdown policies affected unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    33. Magdalena Olczyk & Marta Ewa Kuc-Czarnecka, 2021. "Determinants of COVID-19 Impact on the Private Sector: A Multi-Country Analysis Based on Survey Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    34. Vito Polito & Yunyi Zhang, 2021. "Tackling Large Outliers in Macroeconomic Data with Vector Artificial Neural Network Autoregression," CESifo Working Paper Series 9395, CESifo.
    35. Alin Marius Andries & Steven Ongena & Nicu Sprincean, 2020. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-42, Swiss Finance Institute.
    36. Sabrina T. Howell & Josh Lerner & Ramana Nanda & Richard R. Townsend, 2020. "How Resilient is Venture-Backed Innovation? Evidence from Four Decades of U.S. Patenting," NBER Working Papers 27150, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    37. Nguyen Phuc Canh & Su Dinh Thanh, 2022. "The Dynamics of Export Diversification, Economic Complexity and Economic Growth Cycles: Global Evidence," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(3), pages 234-260, August.
    38. Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2020. "Measuring the Economic Risk of Covid-19," CESifo Working Paper Series 8373, CESifo.
    39. Apergis, Nicholas & Danuletiu, Dan & Xu, Bing, 2022. "CDS spreads and COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    40. Martin Forster & Emanuela Randon, 2020. "Epidemic policy under uncertainty and information," Discussion Papers 20/05, Department of Economics, University of York.
    41. Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Beth Anne Wilson, 2021. "The Global Transmission of Real Economic Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    42. Giovanni Abramo & Ciriaco Andrea D’Angelo & Ida Mele, 2022. "Impact of Covid-19 on research output by gender across countries," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 127(12), pages 6811-6826, December.
    43. Tomás Gómez Rodríguez & Humberto Ríos Bolívar & Adriana Zambrano Reyes, 2021. "Volatilidad y COVID-19: evidencia empírica internacional," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(3), pages 1-20, Julio - S.
    44. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Ying-Hui & Lin, Shih-Yuan, 2022. "Effect of COVID-19 lockdowns on city-center and suburban housing markets: Evidence from Hangzhou, China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    45. Jens Klose & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "The Real and Financial Impact of COVID-19 Around the World," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202201, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    46. Galiani, Sebastian, 2022. "Pandemic economics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 269-275.
    47. Horvath, Akos & Kay, Benjamin & Wix, Carlo, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and consumer credit: Evidence from credit card data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    48. Christopher Cotton & Bahman Kashi & Huw Lloyd-Ellis & Frederic Tremblay, 2020. "Quantifying the Economic Impacts of COVID-19 Policy Responses on Canada's Provinces in (Almost) Real Time," Working Paper 1441, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    49. Dreger, Christian & Gros, Daniel, 2021. "Lockdowns and the US Unemployment Crisis," IZA Policy Papers 170, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    50. Charles Goodhart & Donato Masciandaro & Stefano Ugolini, 2022. "Pandemic Recession and Helicopter Money: Venice, 1629--1631," Papers 2201.07181, arXiv.org.
    51. AITOUTOUHEN, latifa, 2021. "Study of the Socio-Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis in Morocco," MPRA Paper 111114, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Dec 2021.
    52. Fabian Stephany & Leonie Neuhäuser & Niklas Stoehr & Philipp Darius & Ole Teutloff & Fabian Braesemann, 2022. "The CoRisk-Index: a data-mining approach to identify industry-specific risk perceptions related to Covid-19," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    53. Doojav, Gan-Ochir, 2021. "Socio-economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic: Macroeconomic impacts and policy issues in Mongolia," MPRA Paper 111197, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    54. Constanza Fosco & Felipe Zurita, 2021. "Assessing the short-run effects of lockdown policies on economic activity, with an application to the Santiago Metropolitan Region, Chile," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, June.
    55. Verónica Acurio Vásconez & Olivier Damette & David W. Shanafelt, 2021. "Macroepidemics and unconventional monetary policy: Coupling macroeconomics and epidemiology in a financial DSGE-SIR framework," Working Papers of BETA 2021-04, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    56. Xingtian Chen & Wei Gong & Xiaoxu Wu & Wenwu Zhao, 2021. "Estimating Economic Losses Caused by COVID-19 under Multiple Control Measure Scenarios with a Coupled Infectious Disease—Economic Model: A Case Study in Wuhan, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(22), pages 1-19, November.
    57. Thiago Christiano Silva & Carlos Eduardo de Almeida, 2024. "COVID-19 and Supply Chain Disruptions: a novel perspective using a network of payments in Brazil," Working Papers Series 595, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    58. M. O. Oleche & D. K. Manda & R. G. Mutegi & S. Kipruto & M. K. Muriithi & P. Samoei & A. W. Ndirangu & G. Mwabu, 2023. "The gendered impacts of COVID-19 and business closure due to lockdown on wage employment in Kenya," Journal of Economic Policy and Management Issues, JEPMI, vol. 2(2), pages 31-48.
    59. Afees A. Salisu & Idris A. Adediran & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "A Note on the COVID-19 Shock and Real GDP in Emerging Economies: A Counterfactual Analysis from the Threshold-Augmented Global Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 202149, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    60. Meinen, Philipp & Serafini, Roberta & Papagalli, Ottavia, 2021. "Regional economic impact of Covid-19: the role of sectoral structure and trade linkages," Working Paper Series 2528, European Central Bank.
    61. Gan-Ochir Doojav, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Covid-19 in a Commodity-Exporting Economy: Evidence from Mongolia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(5), pages 1323-1348, April.
    62. Yang, Bixuan & Asche, Frank & Li, Tao, 2021. "Food Price Inflation and Demand Shocks: Evidence from Chinese Cities during the Covid-19 Epidemic," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314067, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    63. Anna Dubinova & Andre Lucas & Sean Telg, 2021. "COVID-19, Credit Risk and Macro Fundamentals," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-059/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    64. Xiao-Li Gong & Jin-Yan Lu & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang, 2022. "Higher-order dynamic effects of uncertainty risk under thick-tailed stochastic volatility," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, December.
    65. Norden, Lars & Mesquita, Daniel & Wang, Weichao, 2021. "COVID-19, policy interventions and credit: The Brazilian experience," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).

  5. Daniel L. Greenwald & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2019. "How the Wealth Was Won: Factor Shares as Market Fundamentals," NBER Working Papers 25769, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Josue Cox & Daniel L. Greenwald & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2020. "What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?," NBER Working Papers 27784, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Andrea L. Eisfeldt & Antonio Falato & Mindy Z. Xiaolan, 2023. "Human Capitalists," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 37(1), pages 1-61.
    3. Ellen McGrattan, 2023. "Taxes, Regulations, and the Value of U.S. Corporations: A Reassessment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 50, pages 131-145, October.
    4. Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa, 2022. "How did house and stock prices respond to different crisis episodes since the 1870s?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    5. Luis Buluz & Filip Novokmet & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "The Anatomy of the Global Saving Glut," Working Papers hal-03881419, HAL.
    6. Cairó, Isabel & Sim, Jae, 2024. "Market power, inequality, and financial instability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    7. Leila Davis & Shane McCormack, 2021. "Industrial stagnation and the financialization of nonfinancial corporations," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 459-491, December.
    8. Ren, Zhaomin & Zhang, Xuan & Zhang, Zhekai, 2021. "New evidence on COVID-19 and firm performance," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 213-225.
    9. Daisuke ADACHI & Yukiko SAITO, 2020. "Multinational Production and Labor Share," Discussion papers 20012, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    10. Juan M. Morelli, 2021. "Limited Participation in Equity Markets and Business Cycles," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-026, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," NBER Working Papers 22572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Bandi, Federico M. & Bretscher, Lorenzo & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Return predictability with endogenous growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    13. Stavros Panageas, 2020. "The Implications of Heterogeneity and Inequality for Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 26974, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2020. "The Expected Return on Risky Assets: International Long-run Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 15610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Benjamin Knox, 2022. "A Stock Return Decomposition Using Observables," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-014r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 31 Jan 2025.
    16. Robert N. Mefford, 2023. "The Covid-19 Pandemic and the Productivity Paradox," Journal of Behavioral Economics for Policy, Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics (SABE), vol. 7(1), pages 11-18, November.
    17. Meyer, Timothy, 2025. "Asset price changes, external wealth and global welfare," Kiel Working Papers 2264, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), revised 2025.

  6. Josue Cox & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2018. "Drivers of the Great Housing Boom-Bust: Credit Conditions, Beliefs, or Both?," NBER Working Papers 25285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Is there a National Housing Market Bubble Brewing in the United States?," Working Papers 202023, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso & Carolyn St Aubyn, 2019. "Time Variation in Lifecycle Consumption and Income," BCAM Working Papers 1904, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    3. Itzhak Ben-David & Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2019. "Inferring Expectations from Observables: Evidence from the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 25702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  7. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Paulo Manoel, 2018. "Characteristics of Mutual Fund Portfolios: Where Are the Value Funds?," NBER Working Papers 25381, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Patton, Andrew J. & Weller, Brian M., 2020. "What you see is not what you get: The costs of trading market anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 515-549.
    2. Fays, Boris & Papageorgiou, Nicolas & Lambert, Marie, 2021. "Risk optimizations on basis portfolios: The role of sorting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 136-163.
    3. Hirshleifer, David & Lo, Andrew W. & Zhang, Ruixun, 2023. "Social contagion and the survival of diverse investment styles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. van Binsbergen, Jules H. & Boons, Martijn & Opp, Christian C. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Dynamic asset (mis)pricing: Build-up versus resolution anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 406-431.
    5. Chowdhury, Md Iftekhar Hasan & Balli, Faruk & de Bruin, Anne, 2024. "Investment styles of islamic equity funds," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 172-187.
    6. Peng, Cameron & Wang, Chen, 2021. "Factor demand and factor returns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118884, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

  8. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2017. "Shock Restricted Structural Vector-Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 23225, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Masud Alam, 2021. "Heterogeneous Responses to the U.S. Narrative Tax Changes: Evidence from the U.S. States," Papers 2107.13678, arXiv.org.
    2. Thore Schlaak & Malte Rieth & Maximilian Podstawski, 2018. "Monetary Policy, External Instruments and Heteroskedasticity," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1749, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Matthieu Tarbé, 2021. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03474950, HAL.
    5. Boer, Lukas & Pescatori, Andrea & Stuermer, Martin, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," MPRA Paper 110364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Rüdiger Bachmann & Peter Zorn, 2013. "What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 18990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    8. Christiane Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2020. "Advances in Using Vector Autoregressions to Estimate Structural Magnitudes," NBER Working Papers 27014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James, 2020. "Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 14603, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco, 2018. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Robin Braun & Ralf Brüggemann, 2022. "Identification of SVAR models by combining sign restrictions with external instruments," Bank of England working papers 961, Bank of England.
    12. G. Angelini & L. Fanelli, 2018. "Identification and estimation issues in Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," Working Papers wp1122, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.

  9. Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," NBER Working Papers 22572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Grimm, Maximilian & Jordà , Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2023. "Loose monetary policy and financial instability," CEPR Discussion Papers 17896, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A View from Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 21056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022. "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2022, volume 37, pages 87-155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Markus Leippold & Hanlin Yang, 2023. "Mixed‐frequency predictive regressions with parameter learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1955-1972, December.
    5. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15163, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Melissa van Rensburg, 2023. "Long-run trends in New Zealand’s real neutral interest rate," Treasury Analytical Notes Series an23/05, New Zealand Treasury.
    7. Bianchi, Francesco & Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Kind, Thilo & Kung, Howard, 2023. "Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 37-54.
    8. Pejman Peykani & Mostafa Sargolzaei & Amir Takaloo & Negin Sanadgol, 2023. "Investigating the monetary policy risk channel based on the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model: Empirical evidence from Iran," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(10), pages 1-28, October.
    9. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2017. "Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates," BIS Working Papers 685, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Li Lin & Didier Sornette, 2023. "The inverse Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process for parsimonious financial price modeling," Papers 2302.11423, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    11. Alessandro Casini, 2021. "Theory of Evolutionary Spectra for Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Inference in Possibly Misspecified and Nonstationary Models," Papers 2103.02981, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    12. Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2019. "Effect of Uncertainty on U.S. Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over Eighty Years of High-Frequency Data," Working Papers 201942, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Casini, Alessandro, 2023. "Theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference in possibly misspecified and nonstationary models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 372-392.
    14. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2017. "The Federal Reserve’s implicit inflation target and Macroeconomic dynamics. A SVAR analysis," Working Papers 820, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    15. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "The yield curve and the stock market: Mind the long run," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    16. Gardberg, Malin, 2020. "Aggregate Consumption and Wealth in the Long Run: The Impact of Financial Liberalization," Working Paper Series 1339, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    17. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    18. Gonçalo Faria & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Time-frequency forecast of the equity premium," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(12), pages 2119-2135, December.
    19. François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2024. "Downward Nominal Rigidities and Bond Premia," Working Paper Series WP 2024-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    20. Ge Gao & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy & Oleksandr Talavera, 2023. "Can Central Banks Be Heard Over the Sound of Gunfire?," Discussion Papers 23-09, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    21. Rohan Kekre & Moritz Lenel, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Redistribution, and Risk Premia," Working Papers 2020-02, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    22. Plantin, Guillaume, 2023. "Asset bubbles and inflation as competing monetary phenomena," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    23. Stein, Tobias, 2024. "Forecasting the equity premium with frequency-decomposed technical indicators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 6-28.
    24. Li, Erica X.N. & Zha, Tao & Zhang, Ji & Zhou, Hao, 2022. "Does fiscal policy matter for stock-bond return correlation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 20-34.
    25. Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Yuriy Kitsul & Jamil Rahman & Beth Anne Wilson, 2024. "Foreign economic policy uncertainty and U.S. equity returns," International Finance Discussion Papers 1401, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Garabedian, Garo, 2025. "Star-struck; Monetary Policy and the Neutral Rate," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
    27. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Joël Marbet & Galo Nuño Barrau & Omar Rachedi, 2024. "Inequality and the zero lower bound," BIS Working Papers 1160, Bank for International Settlements.
    28. Andrew Filardo & Paul Hubert & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul Author-X-Name_First: Phurichai, 2019. "The reaction function channel of monetary policy and the financial cycle," BIS Working Papers 816, Bank for International Settlements.
    29. Filardo, Andrew & Hubert, Paul & Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai, 2022. "Monetary policy reaction function and the financial cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    30. Pflueger, Carolin, 2025. "Back to the 1980s or not? The drivers of inflation and real risks in Treasury bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    31. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Ricardo M. Sousa & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 202094, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    32. Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "Economic Policy - the Forth Dimension of the Economic Theory," MPRA Paper 112685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    33. Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
    34. Ayush Jha & Abootaleb Shirvani & Ali Jaffri & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2025. "Winners vs. Losers: Momentum-based Strategies with Intertemporal Choice for ESG Portfolios," Papers 2505.24250, arXiv.org.
    35. Ayush Jha & Abootaleb Shirvani & Ali Jaffri & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2025. "Multivariate Affine GARCH with Heavy Tails: A Unified Framework for Portfolio Optimization and Option Valuation," Papers 2505.12198, arXiv.org.
    36. Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2016. "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence," NBER Working Papers 22831, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    37. Chuanglian Chen & Xiaobin Liu & Jun Yu & Tao Zeng, 2024. "The Time-varying Zone-like and Asymmetric Preference of Central Banks: Evidence from China," Working Papers 202421, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
    38. Neuhierl, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy communication, policy slope, and the stock market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 140-155.
    39. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.
    40. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2020. "The Expected Return on Risky Assets: International Long-run Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 15610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    41. Jang, Bosung & So, Inhwan, 2024. "Stock returns and monetary policy stance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 851-869.
    42. Dmitry Kuvshinov & Kaspar Zimmermann, 2018. "The Big Bang: Stock Market Capitalization in the Long Run," Working Papers 0136, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    43. Bouabdallah, Othman & Jacquinot, Pascal & Patella, Valeria, 2023. "Monetary/fiscal policy regimes in post-war Europe," Working Paper Series 2871, European Central Bank.
    44. Bertsch, Christoph & Hull, Isaiah & Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Zhang, Xin, 2025. "Central bank mandates and monetary policy stances: Through the lens of Federal Reserve speeches," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
    45. Wang, Jingya & Taylor, Alex P., 2024. "Predicting consumption-wealth ratio changes and stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    46. Li, Junye & Sarno, Lucio & Zinna, Gabriele, 2024. "Risks and risk premia in the US Treasury market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    47. Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2017. "Predicting Stock Market Movements with a Time-Varying Consumption-Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 201756, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Malin Gardberg & Lorenzo (L.C.G.) Pozzi, 2018. "Consumption and wealth in the long run: an integrated unobserved component approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-046/VI, Tinbergen Institute, revised 13 Sep 2018.
    49. Chen, Deyang & Zeng, Zheyu & Chen, Yunyue, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of multiple climate policies on the chinese stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    50. Tanaka, Hiroatsu, 2025. "Equilibrium yield curves with imperfect information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    51. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    52. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    53. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2025. "Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series 2025-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    54. Christian Pierdzioch & Sebastian Rohloff & Roland von Campe, 2023. "The stance of U.S. monetary policy and the realized variance of gold-price returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 719-732.
    55. Chen Lian & Yueran Ma & Carmen Wang, 2019. "Low Interest Rates and Risk-Taking: Evidence from Individual Investment Decisions," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(6), pages 2107-2148.

  10. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Kafka, Kyriaki I. & Kostis, Pantelis C., 2024. "Unravelling the innovation puzzle: The interplay between uncertainty, economic institutions, and innovation performance in advanced and developing economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Raffaella Giacomini & Toru Kitagawa & Matthew Read, 2023. "Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2023-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Theodoros Bratis & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis & Prodromos Vlamis, 2024. "Sovereign credit and geopolitical risks during and after the EMU crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3692-3712, July.
    4. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    6. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    8. Gian Paulo Soave, 2023. "A panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model: an application to the effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 397-431, January.
    9. Muhammad Mar’I & Mehdi Seraj & Turgut Tursoy, 2024. "The Impact of Financial Stress and Uncertainty on Green and Conventional Bonds and Stocks: A Nonlinear and Nonparametric Quantile Analysis," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, July.
    10. Davis, Richard & Ng, Serena, 2023. "Time series estimation of the dynamic effects of disaster-type shocks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 180-201.
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    Cited by:

    1. Drautzburg, Thorsten & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo, 2021. "Bargaining shocks and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Joseph P. Byrne & Boulis M. Ibrahim & Xiaoyu Zong, 2020. "Asset Prices and Capital Share Risks: Theory and Evidence," Papers 2006.14023, arXiv.org.
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    4. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2014. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 28(1), pages 293-354.
    5. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Income Insurance and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 407, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    6. Li, Xiyang & Chen, Xiaoyue & Li, Bin & Singh, Tarlok & Shi, Kan, 2022. "Predictability of stock market returns: New evidence from developed and developing countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    7. Pintor, Gabor, 2016. "The macroeconomic shock with the highest price of risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86225, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Gabor Pinter, 2018. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Risk Premia," Discussion Papers 1812, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    9. Dominique Pépin & Stephen Miller, 2020. "The Time-Varying Nature of Risk Aversion: Evidence from 60 Years of U.S. Stock Market Data," Post-Print hal-04648224, HAL.
    10. Apergis, Nicholas, 2019. "The impact of fracking activities on Oklahoma's housing prices: A panel cointegration analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 94-101.
    11. Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonello & Roberto Marfè & Francesca Zucchi, 2020. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Working Papers 2020:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    12. Agnieszka (A.P.) Markiewicz & Rafal Raciborski, 2018. "Income Inequality and Stock Market Returns," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-075/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
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    14. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 460, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
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    20. Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2017. "Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations," PIER Working Paper Archive 17-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 25 Jul 2017.
    21. Dmitry Kuvshinov & Kaspar Zimmermann, 2018. "The Big Bang: Stock Market Capitalization in the Long Run," Working Papers 0136, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    22. German Forero-Laverde, 2016. "Are All Booms and Busts Created Equal? A New Methodology for Understanding Bull and Bear Stock Markets," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2016/339, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    23. Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Thorsten Drautzburg, 2017. "Political Distribution Risk and Business Cycles," 2017 Meeting Papers 1201, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. Iraola, Miguel A. & Santos, Manuel S., 2017. "Asset price volatility, price markups, and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 84-98.
    25. Hasler, Michael & Khapko, Mariana & Marfè, Roberto, 2019. "Should investors learn about the timing of equity risk?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 182-204.
    26. Tyler Muir, 2017. "Financial Crises and Risk Premia," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(2), pages 765-809.
    27. Amiri , Hossein & Najafi Nejad , Mahmood & Mousavi , Seyede Mohadese, 2021. "Estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) Based On Lévy-GARCH Models: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(2), pages 165-186, June.
    28. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Labor Rigidity, In ation Risk and Bond Returns," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 461, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    29. Robert E. Hall, 2017. "High Discounts and High Unemployment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(2), pages 305-330, February.
    30. Erik Gilje & Robert Ready & Nikolai Roussanov, 2016. "Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution," NBER Working Papers 22914, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Li Liu & Yudong Wang, 2021. "Forecasting aggregate market volatility: The role of good and bad uncertainties," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 40-61, January.

  12. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney & Ma, Sai, 2015. "Capital Share Risk and Shareholder Heterogeneity in U.S. Stock Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 10335, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Favilukis, Jack & Lin, Xiaoji, 2016. "Does wage rigidity make firms riskier? Evidence from long-horizon return predictability," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 80-95.

  13. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2014. "Capital Share Risk in U.S. Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 20744, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrei S. Gonçalves, 2021. "Reinvestment Risk and the Equity Term Structure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(5), pages 2153-2197, October.
    2. Joseph P. Byrne & Boulis M. Ibrahim & Xiaoyu Zong, 2020. "Asset Prices and Capital Share Risks: Theory and Evidence," Papers 2006.14023, arXiv.org.
    3. Bandi, Federico M. & Chaudhuri, Shomesh E. & Lo, Andrew W. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Spectral factor models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 214-238.
    4. Frank Kleibergen & Zhaoguo Zhan, 2021. "Double robust inference for continuous updating GMM," Papers 2105.08345, arXiv.org.
    5. Frank Kleibergen & Zhaoguo Zhan, 2022. "Misspecification and Weak Identification in Asset Pricing," Papers 2206.13600, arXiv.org.
    6. Ray Ball & Gil Sadka & Ayung Tseng, 2022. "Using accounting earnings and aggregate economic indicators to estimate firm-level systematic risk," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 607-646, June.
    7. Veronika Czellar & René Garcia & François Le Grand, 2025. "Uncovering asset market participation from household consumption and income," Post-Print hal-04977635, HAL.
    8. Elkamhi, Redouane & Jo, Chanik, 2023. "Asset holders’ consumption risk and tests of conditional CCAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 220-244.
    9. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    10. Zaremba, Adam & Bianchi, Robert J. & Mikutowski, Mateusz, 2021. "Long-run reversal in commodity returns: Insights from seven centuries of evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Raza, Muhammad Wajid, 2020. "The long-run reversal in the long run: Insights from two centuries of international equity returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 177-199.
    12. Bengtsson, Erik, 2023. "The politics of profits: Profit squeeze and political-economic change in Sweden, 1975–1985," Lund Papers in Economic History 250, Lund University, Department of Economic History.
    13. Bandi, Federico M. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Business-cycle consumption risk and asset prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    14. Lee, Kiryoung & Kim, Minki & Lam, Sing-Sen, 2024. "Chinese consumption shocks and U.S. equity returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    15. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney & Greenwald, Dan, 2019. "How the Wealth Was Won: Factor Shares as Market Fundamentals," CEPR Discussion Papers 14200, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Mauro Costantini & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2020. "Consumption, asset wealth, equity premium, term spread, and flight to quality," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(3), pages 778-807, June.
    17. Cheng, Hang & Guo, Hui & Shi, Yongdong, 2024. "Multifactor conditional equity premium model: Evidence from China's stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    18. Chen, Zilin & Da, Zhi & Huang, Dashan & Wang, Liyao, 2023. "Presidential economic approval rating and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 106-131.

  14. Jack Favilukis & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2014. "Foreign Ownership of U.S. Safe Assets: Good or Bad?," NBER Working Papers 19917, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2013. "The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2013, pages 52-67, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Liu, Yang, 2023. "Government debt and risk premia," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 18-34.
    3. Andreas Steiner, 2013. "A Tale of Two Deficits: Public Budget Balance of Reserve Currency Countries," IEER Working Papers 97, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
    4. Hansen, James & Gross, Isaac, 2018. "Commodity price volatility with endogenous natural resources," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 157-180.
    5. John Nana Francois, 2016. "Foreign Official Holdings of U.S Treasuries, Stock Effect and the Economy: A DSGE Approach," 2016 Papers pfr351, Job Market Papers.
    6. Davis, Morris A. & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2015. "Housing, Finance, and the Macroeconomy," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 753-811, Elsevier.

  15. Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Segura, Anatoli & Zeng, Jing, 2020. "Off-balance sheet funding, voluntary support and investment efficiency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 90-107.
    2. Nieto, Belén & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2022. "The risk aversion and uncertainty channels between finance and macroeconomics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    3. Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha & Dowling, Michael, 2020. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the interdependence between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 150-155.
    4. Gambetti, Paolo & Gauthier, Geneviève & Vrins, Frédéric, 2019. "Recovery rates: Uncertainty certainly matters," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2019007, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    5. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Silvia Delrio & Richard Kima, 2020. "Financial Uncertainty and Real Activity: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly," CESifo Working Paper Series 8426, CESifo.
    6. Lennard, Jason, 2020. "Uncertainty and the Great Slump," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106638, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Yoosoon Chang & Ana Maria Herrera & Elena Pesavento, 2023. "Oil Prices Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching, and Inflation Anchoring," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-002 Classification-C, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    8. Wang, Yudong & Hao, Xianfeng, 2023. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil: What is the role of parameter instability?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    9. Michael Hasler & Mariana Khapko & Roberto Marfè, 2020. "Rational Learning and the Term Structures of Value and Growth Risk Premia," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 622, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    10. Federico Bassi & Tom Bauermann & Dany Lang & Mark Setterfield, 2022. "Is capacity utilization variable in the long run? An agent-based sectoral approach to modeling hysteresis in the normal rate of capacity utilization," Post-Print hal-04442394, HAL.
    11. Bajraj, Gent & Lorca, Jorge & Wlasiuk, Juan M., 2023. "On foreign drivers of emerging markets fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    12. Wojciech CHAREMZA & Carlos DÍAZ & Svetlana MAKAROVA, 2019. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-18, March.
    13. Sakariyahu, Rilwan & Johan, Sofia & Lawal, Rodiat & Paterson, Audrey & Chatzivgeri, Eleni, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness between investors’ sentiment and asset prices: A comparison between major markets in Europe and USA," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    14. Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016. "A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the zero lower bound," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2017, Bank of Finland.
    16. Ali, Sara & Badshah, Ihsan & Demirer, Riza & Hegde, Prasad, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and institutional investment returns: The case of New Zealand," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Kovalenko, Tim, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: The role of establishment size," Discussion Papers 119, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics.
    18. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    19. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Xu, Nancy R. & You, Yang, 2025. "Main Street’s Pain, Wall Street’s Gain," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    21. Andreas Dibiasi & Samad Sarferaz, 2020. "Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: The Labor Channel of Uncertainty from a Cross-Country Perspective," Papers 2006.09007, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    22. Caldara, Dario & Iacoviello, Matteo & Molligo, Patrick & Prestipino, Andrea & Raffo, Andrea, 2020. "The economic effects of trade policy uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 38-59.
    23. Dung T. T. Tran & Hieu V. Phan, 2022. "Government economic policy uncertainty and corporate debt contracting," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 169-199, March.
    24. Thomas Gomez & Giulia Piccillo, 2023. "Does U.S. Monetary Policy Respond to Macroeconomic Uncertainty?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10407, CESifo.
    25. Blanka Škrabić Perić & Petar Sorić, 2018. "A Note on the “Economic Policy Uncertainty Index”," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 505-526, June.
    26. Cepni, Oguzhan & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Interest Rate Uncertainty and the Predictability of Bank Revenues," Working Papers 2-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    27. Adra, Samer & Gao, Yang & Huang, Jin & Yuan, Jiayi, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and corporate payout policy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    28. Angus Moore, 2016. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2016-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    29. Huang, Jianbai & Li, Yingli & Zhang, Hongwei & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "The effects of uncertainty measures on commodity prices from a time-varying perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 100-114.
    30. Dimitrios Bakas & Athanasios Triantafyllou, 2018. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Volatility of Commodity Prices," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2018/02, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
    31. Govorukha, Kristina & Mayer, Philip & Rübbelke, Dirk & Vögele, Stefan, 2020. "Economic disruptions in long-term energy scenarios – Implications for designing energy policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    32. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    33. Gian Paulo Soave, 2023. "A panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model: an application to the effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 397-431, January.
    34. George ANTON, 2021. "The Impact Of Economic Uncertainty On Household Consumption Choices. Evidence From Europe," Proceedings of the INTERNATIONAL MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(1), pages 622-628, November.
    35. Li, You & Tay, Anthony, 2021. "The role of macroeconomic and policy uncertainty in density forecast dispersion," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    36. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2024. "Smooth Diagnostic Expectations," NBER Working Papers 32152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    37. Eric Sims & Andre Kurmann, 2017. "Revisions in Utilization-Adjusted TFP and Robust Identification of News Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 90, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    38. Stilianos Fountas & Dimitra Kontana & Paraskevi Tzika, 2024. "Uncertainty and financial asset return spillovers: are they related? Empirical evidence from three continents," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 1891-1918, November.
    39. He, Wei & Su, Zhiwei & Yu, Jianfeng, 2024. "Macroeconomic perceptions, financial constraints, and anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    40. Davis, Richard & Ng, Serena, 2023. "Time series estimation of the dynamic effects of disaster-type shocks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 180-201.
    41. Wei-Fong Pan, 2019. "Geopolitical Risk and R&D investment," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2019-11, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    42. Chan, Ying Tung, 2020. "Carbon policies and productivity uncertainty: An intertemporal analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    43. Corrado, Luisa & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar & Yoo, Donghoon & Waldmann, Robert, 2022. "Ambiguous economic news and heterogeneity: What explains asymmetric consumption responses?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    44. Jamie Cross & Lennart Hoogerheide & Paul Labonne & Herman K. van Dijk, 2023. "Bayesian Mode Inference for Discrete Distributions in Economics and Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-038/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    45. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2021. "Global impacts of US monetary policy uncertainty shocks," Working Paper Series 2513, European Central Bank.
    46. Xi Dong & Yan Li & David E. Rapach & Guofu Zhou, 2022. "Anomalies and the Expected Market Return," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 639-681, February.
    47. Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1166, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    48. Francesco Bianchi & Howard Kung & Mikhail Tirskikh, 2018. "The Origins and Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    49. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What moves treasury yields?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
    50. Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," CEP Occasional Papers 038, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    51. Markus Brueckner & Joaquin Vespignani, 2017. "Trade Uncertainty and Income Inequality," CAMA Working Papers 2017-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    52. Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Esteban Prieto, 2020. "Financial shocks and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2020-13, Swiss National Bank.
    53. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2018. "Does The Great Recession Imply The End Of The Great Moderation? International Evidence," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 745-760, April.
    54. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    55. Eickmeier, Sandra & Quast, Josefine & Schüler, Yves, 2024. "Macroeconomic and Financial Effects of Natural Disasters," CEPR Discussion Papers 18940, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    56. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers 2023_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    57. Çolak, Gönül & Gungoraydinoglu, Ali & Öztekin, Özde, 2018. "Global leverage adjustments, uncertainty, and country institutional strength," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 35(PA), pages 41-56.
    58. Ricardo M. Reyes-Heroles & Gabriel Tenorio, 2017. "Interest Rate Volatility and Sudden Stops : An Empirical Investigation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1209, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    59. Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
    60. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Jordà , Òscar & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2023. "Decomposing the monetary policy multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers 18166, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    61. Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2020. "The macroeconomic impact of oil earnings uncertainty: New evidence from analyst forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    62. Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    63. Ewa Stanisławska, 2018. "Czy pytając konsumentów o wartość przewidywanej inflacji, można uzyskać wiarygodne i użyteczne informacje?," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 49(5), pages 515-556.
    64. Soojin Jo & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 436-446, July.
    65. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Groshenny, Nicolas, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics in U.S. recessions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 78-92.
    66. Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Sofia Panagiotakopoulou, 2018. "Oil Price Shocks and Uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?," BAFES Working Papers BAFES13, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
    67. Angelini, Giovanni & Fanelli, Luca, 2018. "Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments," MPRA Paper 93864, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2019.
    68. Santos, Tano & Veronesi, Pietro, 2022. "Leverage," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 362-386.
    69. Tiziana Assenza & Fabrice Collard & Patrick Fève & Stefanie Huber, 2024. "From Buzz to Bust: How Fake News Shapes the Business Cycle," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 287, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    70. Sattarhoff, Cristina & Gronwald, Marc, 2022. "Measuring informational efficiency of the European carbon market — A quantitative evaluation of higher order dependence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    71. Husted, Lucas & Rogers, John & Sun, Bo, 2020. "Monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 20-36.
    72. Connolly, Robert & Dubofsky, David & Stivers, Chris, 2018. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and the distant forward-rate slope," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 140-161.
    73. Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2023. "Gold risk premium estimation with machine learning methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    74. Andreas Dibiasi, 2021. "Measuring Knightian uncertainty," Post-Print hal-03391638, HAL.
    75. Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Working Paper Series 1825, European Central Bank.
    76. Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge Hirs-Garzon & Jorge M. Uribe, 2020. "Global effects of US uncertainty: real and financial shocks on real and financial markets," IREA Working Papers 202015, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2020.
    77. Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2016. "What do asset prices have to say about risk appetite and uncertainty?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 103-118.
    78. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    79. Joseph P. Byrne & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Global and Country-Specific Climate Risk," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 655-682, March.
    80. Liya Chu & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li & Jun Tu, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Paradigm Shifts in Equity Return Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 4301-4325, June.
    81. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    82. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Forecast Real Housing Returns in a Panel of OECD Countries? A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201637, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    83. Friederike Niepmann & Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr, 2019. "Institutional Investors, the Dollar, and U.S. Credit Conditions," International Finance Discussion Papers 1246, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    84. Benbouzid, Nadia & Kumar, Abhishek & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Stojanovic, Aleksandar, 2022. "Bank credit risk and macro-prudential policies: Role of counter-cyclical capital buffer," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    85. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Christian T. Lundblad, 2024. "Risk-on/Risk-off: Measuring Shifts in Investor Sentiment," Research Working Paper RWP 24-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    86. Freund, L. B & Rendahl, P., 2020. "Unexpected Effects: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2035, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    87. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
    88. Ran, Gao & Zixiang, Zhu & Jianhao, Lin, 2022. "Consumption–investment comovement and the dynamic impact of monetary policy uncertainty in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    89. Gole, Purva & Perego, Erica & Turcu, Camelia, 2024. "UIP deviations in times of uncertainty: Not all countries behave alike," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    90. Candelon, Bertrand & Ferrara, Laurent & Joëts, Marc, 2021. "Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2021003, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    91. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Escaping the Great Recession," NBER Working Papers 20238, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    92. Patrick Hable & Patrick Launhardt, 2020. "Aggregate insider trading and the prediction of corporate credit spread changes," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(1), pages 1-31, March.
    93. O-Chia Chuang & Chenxu Yang, 2022. "Identifying the Determinants of Crude Oil Market Volatility by the Multivariate GARCH-MIDAS Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
    94. Matousek, Roman & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Papachristopoulou, Andromachi, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and the capital shortfall of global financial firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    95. Dave Altig & Scott Baker & Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Scarlet Chen & Steven Davis & Julia Leather & Brent Meyer & Emil Mihaylov & Paul Mizen & Nicholas Parker & Thomas Renault, 2020. "Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Post-Print hal-03205118, HAL.
    96. Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2017. "Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 153-173.
    97. Fischer, Manfred M. & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2018. "The transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality: State-level evidence from the United States," Working Papers in Regional Science 2018/06, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    98. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Response of the Macroeconomy to Uncertainty Shocks:the Risk Premium Channel," 2019 Meeting Papers 1567, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    1183. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2022. "U.S. monetary policy and the predictability of global economic synchronization patterns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 473-492, July.
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    1187. Min Seong Kim, 2021. "Robust Inference for Diffusion-Index Forecasts with Cross-Sectionally Dependent Data," Working papers 2021-04, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
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    1252. Chris Redl, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(3), pages 361-380, September.
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    1254. Yingting Yi & Jiangshui Luo & Michael Wübbenhorst, 2020. "Research on political instability, uncertainty and risk during 1953–2019: a scientometric review," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(2), pages 1051-1076, May.
    1255. Wang, Bo & Li, Haoran, 2021. "Downside risk, financial conditions and systemic risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    1256. Li Liu & Yudong Wang, 2021. "Forecasting aggregate market volatility: The role of good and bad uncertainties," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 40-61, January.
    1257. Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2022. "Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 321-330.
    1258. Lorenzo Boldrini & Eric Hillebrand, 2015. "Supervision in Factor Models Using a Large Number of Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2015-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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    1260. Chen, Peng & Miao, Xinru & Tee, Kai-Hong, 2023. "Do gold prices respond more to uncertainty shocks at the zero lower bound?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    1261. Anthony M. Diercks & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2020. "When it Rains it Pours: Cascading Uncertainty Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-064, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    1262. Inwook Hwang & Jaebeom Kim, 2024. "Oil price shocks and macroeconomic dynamics: How important is the role of nonlinearity?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 1103-1123, March.
    1263. Chin Chia Liang & Carol Troy & Ellen Rouyer, 2020. "The Stock Price Impact of Domestic and Foreign Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1747-1755.
    1264. Falck, Elisabeth & Röhe, Oke & Strobel, Johannes, 2024. "Digital transformation and its impact on labour productivity: A multi-sector perspective," Discussion Papers 28/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    1265. Jack Chylak & Leo Feler & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, 2025. "Lost in Aggregation: Geographic Mismeasurement of Income and Spending," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-050, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    1266. Huabin Bian & Renhai Hua & Qingfu Liu & Ping Zhang, 2022. "Petroleum market volatility tracker in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2022-2040, November.
    1267. Chiţu, Livia & Grothe, Magdalena & Schulze, Tatjana & Van Robays, Ine, 2023. "Financial shock transmission to heterogeneous firms: the earnings-based borrowing constraint channel," Working Paper Series 2860, European Central Bank.
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  16. Jack Favilukis & David Kohn & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2012. "International Capital Flows and House Prices: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Mathias Hoffmann & Iryna Stewen, 2014. "Holes in the Dike: the global savings glut, U.S. house prices and the long shadow of banking deregulation," ECON - Working Papers 183, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
    2. Shen, Chung-Hua & Lee, Yen Hsien & Wu, Meng-Wen & Guo, Na, 2016. "Does housing boom lead to credit boom or is it the other way around? The case of China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 349-367.
    3. Andrey Pavlov & Eva Steiner & Susan Wachter, 2015. "Macroeconomic Risk Factors and the Role of Mispriced Credit in the Returns from International Real Estate Securities," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 241-270, March.
    4. Atif Mian & Amir Sufi, 2018. "Finance and Business Cycles: The Credit-Driven Household Demand Channel," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 31-58, Summer.
    5. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2019. "Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances," Discussion Papers 24/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Huang, Jr-Tsung & Hwang, Yu-Ning & Lo, Kuang-Ta, 2014. "The Role of Foreign Direct Investment in Shanghai's Real Estate Price - Culprit or Scapegoat?," AGI Working Paper Series 2014-02, Asian Growth Research Institute.
    7. Zhengyang Jiang & Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Mindy Z. Xiaolan, 2019. "The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 26583, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Engsted, Tom & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2014. "Housing market volatility in the OECD area: Evidence from VAR based return decompositions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 91-103.
    9. Tillmann, Peter, 2012. "Capital inflows and asset prices: Evidence from emerging Asia," IMFS Working Paper Series 58, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    10. Orrego, Fabrizio, 2014. "Precios de viviendas en Lima," Working Papers 2014-008, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    11. Dokko, Jane K. & Keys, Benjamin J. & Relihan, Lindsay, 2019. "Affordability, financial innovation and the start of the housing boom," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101017, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2013. "The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2013, pages 52-67, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Gaulier, G. & Vicard, V., 2012. "Évolution des déséquilibres courants dans la zone euro : choc de compétitivité ou choc de demande ?," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 189, pages 47-64.
    14. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Luis Cespedes & Alessandro Rebucci, 2015. "Global liquidity, house prices and the macroeconomy: evidence from advanced and emerging economies," Bank of England working papers 522, Bank of England.
    15. Pedro Gete, 2015. "Housing demands, savings gluts and current account dynamics," Globalization Institute Working Papers 221, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    16. Yannick Timmer, 2015. "TARGET2 balances and the adjustment of capital flows in the Euro area," European Economic Letters, European Economics Letters Group, vol. 4(1), pages 15-19.
    17. Matthew S. Yiu & Sahminan Sahminan, 2017. "Global Liquidity, Capital Inflows and House Prices in ASEAN Economies," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 20(1), pages 105-126.
    18. Gete, Pedro & Tiernan, Natalie, 2014. "Lending Standards and Countercyclical Capital Requirements under Imperfect Information," MPRA Paper 54486, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Hwee Kwan Chow & Taojun Xie, 2016. "Are House Prices Driven by Capital Flows? Evidence from Singapore," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 1-21, February.
    20. Sapci, Ayse & Vu, Nam T., 2022. "Housing Wealth Reallocation Between Subprime And Prime Borrowers During Recessions," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(7), pages 1775-1805, October.
    21. Márcia Saraiva Leon, 2014. "International Capital Flows and Yields of Public Debt Bonds," Working Papers Series 345, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    22. Fernando Borraz & Gerardo Licandro & Jorge Ponce, 2012. "Precios de viviendas. una metodología para evaluar desvíos respecto a sus fundamentos," Documentos de trabajo 2012016, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    23. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles?," IMK Studies 43-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    24. Steven Laufer, 2018. "Equity Extraction and Mortgage Default," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 28, pages 1-33, April.
    25. Marco Hernandez-Vega, 2023. "How relevant are capital flows for house prices in emerging economies?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(4), pages 965-986, November.
    26. Chi Wei Su & Zhi-Feng Wang & Rui Nian & Yanping Zhao, 2017. "Does international capital flow lead to a housing boom? A time-varying evidence from China," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(7), pages 851-864, October.
    27. McGurk, Zachary, 2020. "US real estate inflation prediction: Exchange rates and net foreign assets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 53-66.
    28. Ghysels, Eric & Plazzi, Alberto & Valkanov, Rossen & Torous, Walter, 2013. "Forecasting Real Estate Prices," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 509-580, Elsevier.
    29. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2013. "Real Estate Valuation, Current Account and Credit Growth Patterns, Before and After the 2008-9 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 19190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Shi, Yining, 2022. "Financial liberalization and house prices: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    31. Jack Favilukis & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2017. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Housing Wealth, Housing Finance, and Limited Risk Sharing in General Equilibrium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(1), pages 140-223.
    32. Itzhak Ben-David & Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2019. "Inferring Expectations from Observables: Evidence from the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 25702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Sydney Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Jack Favilukis, 2012. "Foreign Ownership of U.S. Safe Assets: Good or Bad?," 2012 Meeting Papers 297, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    34. Geerolf, François & Grjebine, Thomas, 2013. "House Prices Drive Current Accounts: Evidence from Property Tax Variations," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 1315, CEPREMAP.
    35. Peter Bednarek & Daniel Marcel te Kaat & Chang Ma & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020. "Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles: Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms," NBER Working Papers 26820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Jorge Ponce, 2012. "Precio de fundamentos para las viviendas en Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo 2012017, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    37. Harold A. Vásquez Ruiz, 2017. "El efecto de los flujos de capitales en los precios de las viviendas: una estimación de datos de panel," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Gerardo Licandro & Jorge Ponce (ed.), Precios de activos internos, fundamentos globales y estabilidad financiera, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 15-78, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    38. Carolina Arteaga & Carlos Huertas Campos & Sergio Olarte Armenta, 2012. "�ndice de Desbalance Macroecon�mico," Borradores de Economia 10077, Banco de la Republica.
    39. Nektarios A. Michail & George Thucydides, 2019. "The impact of foreign demand on Cyprus house prices," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 13(2), pages 48-71, December.
    40. David C. Ling & Andy Naranjo & Benjamin Scheick, 2016. "Credit Availability and Asset Pricing Dynamics in Illiquid Markets: Evidence from Commercial Real Estate Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(7), pages 1321-1362, October.
    41. Philip Lane & Peter McQuade, 2013. "Domestic Credit Growth and International Capital Flows," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp428, IIIS.
    42. Chang, Yuk Ying & Anderson, Hamish & Shi, Song, 2018. "China and international housing price growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 294-312.
    43. Choi, Chi-Young & Hansz, J. Andrew, 2021. "From banking integration to housing market integration - Evidence from the comovement of U.S. Metropolitan House Prices," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    44. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term!," Working Paper Series 2138, European Central Bank.
    45. Joseph Fairchild & Jun Ma & Shu Wu, 2015. "Understanding Housing Market Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(7), pages 1309-1337, October.
    46. Badarinza, Cristian & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2018. "Home away from home? Foreign demand and London house prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 532-555.
    47. Arteaga Cabrales, Carolina & Huertas-Campos, Carlos Alfonso & Olarte Armenta, Sergio, 2013. "Índice de desbalance macroeconómico," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 8, pages 301-336, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    48. Carlos Garriga & Rodolfo E. Manuelli & Adrian Peralta-Alva, 2012. "A model of price swings in the housing market," Working Papers 2012-022, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    49. Varadi, Alexandra, 2024. "Identifying the transmission channels of credit supply shocks to household debt: Price and non-price effects," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    50. Zhengyang Jiang & Hanno Lustig & Mindy Xiaolan & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2019. "Government Risk Premium Puzzle," 2019 Meeting Papers 437, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    51. John Nana Francois, 2016. "Foreign Official Holdings of U.S Treasuries, Stock Effect and the Economy: A DSGE Approach," 2016 Papers pfr351, Job Market Papers.
    52. Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2012. "The Research Agenda: Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh on Housing and the Macroeconomy," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 13(2), April.
    53. Davis, Morris A. & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2015. "Housing, Finance, and the Macroeconomy," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 753-811, Elsevier.
    54. Miyakawa, Daisuke & Shimizu, Chihiro & Uesugi, Iichiro, 2016. "Geography and Realty Prices: Evidence from International Transaction-Level Data," HIT-REFINED Working Paper Series 52, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    55. Josue Cox & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2018. "Drivers of the Great Housing Boom-Bust: Credit Conditions, Beliefs, or Both?," NBER Working Papers 25285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    56. Banti, Chiara & Phylaktis, Kate, 2019. "Global liquidity, house prices and policy responses," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 79-96.
    57. Rita Yi Man Li & Herru Ching Yu Li, 2018. "Have Housing Prices Gone with the Smelly Wind? Big Data Analysis on Landfill in Hong Kong," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-19, January.
    58. Mansley, Nick & Tse, Tiffany Ching Man & Wang, Zilong, 2020. "Risk classification of Asian real estate funds and their performance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    59. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles? A theoretical and empirical inquiry," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1501, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    60. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2013. "Real Estate Valuation, Current Account, and Credit Growth Patterns Before and After the 2008–2009 Crisis," ADBI Working Papers 429, Asian Development Bank Institute.

  17. Xiaohong Chen & Jack Fuvilukis & Sydney Ludvigson, 2012. "An Estimation of Economic Models with Recursive Preferences," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1883, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

    Cited by:

    1. Xiaohong Chen & Demian Pouzo, 2013. "Sieve Wald and QLR Inferences on Semi/nonparametric Conditional Moment Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1897R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2014.
    2. Hakon Tretvoll, 2018. "Real Exchange Variability in a Two-Country Business Cycle Model," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 27, pages 123-145, January.
    3. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2014. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 28(1), pages 293-354.
    4. Kim, Kun Ho, 2014. "Counter-cyclical risk aversion," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 384-401.
    5. Epstein, Larry G. & Farhi, Emmanuel & Strzalecki, Tomasz, 2014. "How Much Would You Pay to Resolve Long-Run Risk?," Scholarly Articles 12967842, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    6. Jack Favilukis, 2007. "Inequality, Stock Market Participation, and the Equity Premium," FMG Discussion Papers dp602, Financial Markets Group.
    7. James Staveley-O'Carroll & Olena M. Staveley-O'Carroll, 2016. "Impact of Pension System Structure on International Financial Capital Allocation," Working Papers 1601, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    8. Taeyoung Doh, 2008. "Long run risks in the term structure of interest rates: estimation," Research Working Paper RWP 08-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    9. Pashchenko, Svetlana & Porapakkarm, Ponpoje, 2021. "Value of Life and Annuity Demand," MPRA Paper 107378, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Christian P. Traeger, 2023. "ACE—Analytic Climate Economy," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 372-406, August.
    11. Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2018. "Disappearing money illusion," CREATES Research Papers 2018-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Sentana, Enrique & Peñaranda, Francisco, 2007. "Duality in Mean-Variance Frontiers with Conditioning Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 6566, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Elminejad, Ali & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana, 2022. "Relative Risk Aversion: A Meta-Analysis," MetaArXiv b8uhe, Center for Open Science.
    14. Li, Haiqi & Zhou, Jin & Hong, Yongmiao, 2024. "Estimating and testing for smooth structural changes in moment condition models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 246(1).
    15. Yi, Zhen & Zhu, Chao & Zhang, Yuwei, 2024. "Why risk attitude differs between macro and micro level? A decoherence perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 978-997.
    16. Tiago Neves Sequeira & Óscar Afonso, 2020. "Wage Inequality and Lobbying: a directed technical change approach," CeBER Working Papers 2020-05, Centre for Business and Economics Research (CeBER), University of Coimbra.
    17. Dalderop, Jeroen, 2023. "Semiparametric estimation of latent variable asset pricing models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
    18. Hiroaki Sakamoto & Ken-Ichi Akao, 2018. "A theory of disasters and long-run growth," Discussion papers e-17-014, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
    19. Constantinides, George M. & Ghosh, Anisha, 2008. "Asset pricing tests with long run risks in consumption growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Patrick DeJarnette & David Dillenberger & Daniel Gottlieb & Pietro Ortoleva, 2015. "Time Lotteries," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-026, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 31 Jul 2015.
    21. Jeong, Daehee & Kim, Hwagyun & Park, Joon Y., 2015. "Does ambiguity matter? Estimating asset pricing models with a multiple-priors recursive utility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 361-382.
    22. Tilman Bletzinger & Wolfgang Lemke & Jean-Paul Renne, 2025. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Inflation-Consumption Correlation in an Equilibrium Term Structure Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 110-138.
    23. Turan G. Bali & Hao Zhou, 2011. "Risk, uncertainty, and expected returns," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    24. Rytchkov, Oleg, 2016. "Time-Varying Margin Requirements and Optimal Portfolio Choice," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(2), pages 655-683, April.
    25. Jensen, Svenn & Traeger, Christian P., 2014. "Optimal climate change mitigation under long-term growth uncertainty: Stochastic integrated assessment and analytic findings," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 104-125.
    26. Schneider, Maik T. & Traeger, Christian P. & Winkler, Ralph, 2012. "Trading off generations: Equity, discounting, and climate change," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(8), pages 1621-1644.
    27. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2021. "The impact of hedging on risk-averse agents’ output decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    28. Kwon, Ji Ho, 2022. "More predictors of the investment opportunity set in the ICAPM," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    29. Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Caldara, Dario & Yao, Wen, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers 7312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    30. Christian Traeger, 2015. "Closed-Form Integrated Assessment and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 5464, CESifo.
    31. Traeger, Christian, 2021. "ACE - Analytic Climate Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 15968, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    32. Phitawat Poonpolkul, 2023. "Age-Dependent Risk Aversion: Re-evaluating Fiscal Policy Impacts of Population Aging," PIER Discussion Papers 198, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    33. Nam Gang Lee, 2019. "Trend Growth Shocks and Asset Prices," Working Papers 2019-4, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    34. Xiaohong Chen & Demian Pouzo, 2014. "Sieve Wald and QLR Inferences on Semi/nonparametric Conditional Moment Models," CeMMAP working papers 38/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    35. Ravi Jagannathan & Srikant Marakani, 2015. "Price-Dividend Ratio Factor Proxies for Long-Run Risks," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 1-47.
    36. Dominika Czyz & Karolina Safarzynska, 2023. "Catastrophic Damages and the Optimal Carbon Tax Under Loss Aversion," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(2), pages 303-340, June.
    37. Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2016. "The predictive power of dividend yields for future infl?ation: Money illusion or rational causes?," CREATES Research Papers 2016-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    38. Alexandre Gohin & Yu Zheng, 2016. "Assessing the Decoupling of EU Agricultural Policy on Farm Decisions - A Dynamic Stochastic Attempt," FOODSECURE Working papers 45, LEI Wageningen UR.
    39. Berg Cui & Yoosoon Chang & Joon Park, 2017. "Evaluating Consumption CAPM under Heterogeneous Preferences," CAEPR Working Papers 2017-013, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    40. Bassanin, Marzio & Faia, Ester & Patella, Valeria, 2021. "Ambiguity attitudes and the leverage cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    41. Óscar Afonso & Pedro G. Lima & Tiago Sequeira, 2022. "The effects of automation and lobbying in wage inequality: a directed technical change model with routine and non-routine tasks," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 1467-1497, November.
    42. Jules van Binsbergen & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Ralph S.J. Koijen & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2010. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a DSGE Model with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers 15890, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Dittmar, Robert F. & Schlag, Christian & Thimme, Julian, 2023. "Non-substitutable consumption growth risk," SAFE Working Paper Series 408, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    44. Jean-Jacques Forneron, 2019. "A Sieve-SMM Estimator for Dynamic Models," Papers 1902.01456, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    45. Faia, Ester & Bassanin, Marzio & Patella, Valeria, 2019. "Ambiguity Attitudes, Leverage Cycle and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 13875, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    46. Tédongap, Roméo & Tinang, Jules, 2024. "International asset pricing with heterogeneous agents: Estimation and inference," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    47. Lee, Ji Hyung & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2016. "Asset pricing with financial bubble risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 590-622.
    48. Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906, Elsevier.
    49. Chen, Xiaohong & Liao, Zhipeng, 2015. "Sieve semiparametric two-step GMM under weak dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 163-186.
    50. Johnson Kakeu, 2023. "Concerns for Long-Run Risks and Natural Resource Policy," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(4), pages 1051-1093, April.
    51. Poonpolkul, Phitawat, 2023. "Age-dependent risk aversion: Re-evaluating fiscal policy impacts of population aging," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    52. Svenn Jensen & Christian P. Traeger & Christian Träger, 2021. "Pricing Climate Risk," CESifo Working Paper Series 9196, CESifo.
    53. Yum K. Kwan & Jinyue Dong, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics of China: What Do the Asset Markets Tell Us About the Chinese Utility Function?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(03), pages 77-108, May.
    54. Oskolkov, Aleksei & Sorá, Marcos, 2023. "Macroprudential policy for internal financial dollarization," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    55. Julian Thimme, 2017. "Intertemporal Substitution In Consumption: A Literature Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 226-257, February.

  18. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2011. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Working Papers 16996, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Roger Farmer, 2012. "The Stock Market Crash of 2008 Caused the Great Recession," 2012 Meeting Papers 145, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Koh, Dongya & Santaeulà lia-Llopis, Raül, 2022. "Countercyclical Elasticity of Substitution," CEPR Discussion Papers 17246, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2015. "It ain'?t over till it'?s over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 424, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    4. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Income Insurance and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 407, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    5. John Y. Campbell & Stefano Giglio & Christopher Polk, 2010. "Hard Times," NBER Working Papers 16222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. William N. Goetzmann & Dasol Kim, 2018. "Negative bubbles: What happens after a crash," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(2), pages 171-191, March.
    7. Thomas J. Sargent & John Stachurski, 2024. "Dynamic Programming: Finite States," Papers 2401.10473, arXiv.org.
    8. Rui Albuquerque & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 2012. "Valuation Risk and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 18617, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor, 2012. "A Common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 728, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    10. Denis Chetverikov & Yukun Liu & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2022. "Weighted-average quantile regression," Papers 2203.03032, arXiv.org.
    11. Will Dison & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2017. "Do macro shocks matter for equities?," Bank of England working papers 692, Bank of England.
    12. Frank Schmid, 2013. "Wealth Effects on Consumption in Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 149(I), pages 87-110, March.
    13. Morana, Claudio, 2014. "Insights on the global macro-finance interface: Structural sources of risk factor fluctuations and the cross-section of expected stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 64-79.
    14. Don Harding, 2020. "Econometric Foundations of the Great Ratios of Economics," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-300, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    15. Hasler, Michael & Marfè, Roberto, 2016. "Disaster recovery and the term structure of dividend strips," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 116-134.
    16. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2019. "Capital Share Risk in U.S. Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1753-1792, August.
    17. Tim Bollerslev & Lai Xu & Hao Zhou, 2012. "Stock Return and Cash Flow Predictability: The Role of Volatility Risk," CREATES Research Papers 2012-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    18. Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," NBER Working Papers 22572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Sydney Ludvigson & Martin Lettau & Daniel Greenwald, 2014. "The Origins of Stock Market Fluctuations," 2014 Meeting Papers 542, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    21. Ai, Hengjie & Li, Kai & Yang, Fang, 2020. "Financial intermediation and capital reallocation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(3), pages 663-686.
    22. Alain Galli, 2016. "How reliable are cointegration-based estimates for wealth effects on consumption? Evidence from Switzerland," Working Papers 2016-03, Swiss National Bank.
    23. Blau, Benjamin M., 2017. "Economic freedom and crashes in financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 33-46.
    24. John Muellbauer, 2012. "When is a Housing Market Overheated Enough to Threaten Stability?," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Alexandra Heath & Frank Packer & Callan Windsor (ed.),Property Markets and Financial Stability, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    25. Leonid Kogan & Dimitris Papanikolaou & Noah Stoffman, 2013. "Winners and Losers: Creative Destruction and the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 18671, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney & Greenwald, Dan, 2019. "How the Wealth Was Won: Factor Shares as Market Fundamentals," CEPR Discussion Papers 14200, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Chen, Sichong, 2012. "The predictability of aggregate Japanese stock returns: Implications of dividend yield," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 284-304.
    28. Roger E.A. Farmer, 2011. "The Stock Market Crash of 2008 Caused the Great Recession: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17479, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    29. Victoria Atanasov & Stig V. Møller & Richard Priestley, 2020. "Consumption Fluctuations and Expected Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(3), pages 1677-1713, June.
    30. Fisher, Lance A. & Huh, Hyeon-seung & Otto, Glenn, 2012. "Structural cointegrated models of US consumption and wealth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1111-1124.
    31. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney & Ma, Sai, 2015. "Capital Share Risk and Shareholder Heterogeneity in U.S. Stock Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 10335, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    32. Volkov, Nikanor I. & Smith, Garrett C., 2015. "Corporate diversification and firm value during economic downturns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 160-175.

  19. Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2011. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," NBER Working Papers 16810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Auer, Benjamin R., 2013. "Can habit formation under complete market integration explain the cross-section of international equity risk premia?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 61-67.
    2. Schrimpf, Paul & Parra-Alvarez, Juan Carlos & Posch, Olaf, 2021. "Peso Problems in the Estimation of the C-CAPM," CEPR Discussion Papers 16299, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Zhang, Xiang & Liu, Yangyi & Wu, Kun & Maillet, Bertrand, 2021. "Tradable or nontradable factors—what does the Hansen–Jagannathan distance tell us?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 853-879.
    4. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, November.
    5. Daria Pignalosa, 2021. "The Euler Equation Approach: Critical Implications of Recent Developments in the Theory of Intertemporal Choice," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 15(1), pages 1-43, June.
    6. Barras, Laurent, 2019. "A large-scale approach for evaluating asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 549-569.
    7. Patrick GAGLIARDINI & Elisa OSSOLA & Olivier SCAILLET, 2011. "Time-Varying Risk Premium In Large Cross-Sectional Equidity Datasets," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 11-41, Swiss Finance Institute.
    8. Zhang, Lu, 2015. "The Investment CAPM," Working Paper Series 2015-19, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    9. Riccardo Colacito & Steven J. Riddiough & Lucio Sarno, 2019. "Business Cycles and Currency Returns," NBER Working Papers 26299, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Jules van Binsbergen & Michael Brandt & Ralph Koijen, 2012. "On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1596-1618, June.
    11. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    12. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Marcin Zamojski, 2015. "Generalized Autoregressive Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-138/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 06 Jul 2018.
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    3. Roberta Fiori & Simonetta Iannotti, 2010. "On the interaction between market and credit risk: a factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 779, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
    5. Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etiënne, 2016. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Penalized Regression Methods," Research Memorandum 039, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    6. Lasse BORK & Hans DEWACHTER & Romain HOUSSA, 2009. "Identification of macroeconomic factors in large panels," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces09.18, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
    7. Markus Pelger & Ruoxuan Xiong, 2018. "State-Varying Factor Models of Large Dimensions," Papers 1807.02248, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    8. Sinem Hacioglu & Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2016. "Interpreting the latent dynamic factors by threshold FAVAR model," Bank of England working papers 622, Bank of England.
    9. Stefano Giglio & Dacheng Xiu, 2017. "Inference on Risk Premia in the Presence of Omitted Factors," NBER Working Papers 23527, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Cui, Qiurong & Xu, Yuqing & Zhang, Zhengjun & Chan, Vincent, 2021. "Max-linear regression models with regularization," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 579-600.
    11. Helitzer, Deborah & Hollis, Christine & Hernandez, Brisa Urquieta de & Sanders, Margaret & Roybal, Suzanne & Van Deusen, Ian, 2010. "Evaluation for community-based programs: The integration of logic models and factor analysis," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 223-233, August.
    12. Han, Xu, 2015. "Tests for overidentifying restrictions in Factor-Augmented VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 394-419.
    13. Jian Yang & Yinggang Zhou & Zijun Wang, 2010. "Conditional Coskewness in Stock and Bond Markets: Time-Series Evidence," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(11), pages 2031-2049, November.
    14. Mehmet Balcilar & Abebe Beyene & Rangan Gupta & Monaheng Seleteng, 2013. "‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(5), pages 876-894, April.
    15. Marcus Buckmann & Andreas Joseph, 2022. "An interpretable machine learning workflow with an application to economic forecasting," Bank of England working papers 984, Bank of England.
    16. Piyachart Phiromswad & Takeshi Yagihashi, 2016. "Empirical identification of factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 621-658, September.
    17. Xyngis, Georgios, 2017. "Business-cycle variation in macroeconomic uncertainty and the cross-section of expected returns: Evidence for scale-dependent risks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 43-65.
    18. Chen, Pu, 2010. "A Grouped Factor Model," MPRA Paper 28083, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jan 2011.

  22. Mariano M. Croce & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2007. "Investor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Term Structure of Equity," NBER Working Papers 12912, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Hasler & Mariana Khapko & Roberto Marfè, 2020. "Rational Learning and the Term Structures of Value and Growth Risk Premia," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 622, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    2. Isaac Kleshchelski & Nicolas Vincent, 2009. "Robust Equilibrium Yield Curves," Cahiers de recherche 0907, CIRPEE.
    3. Georges Prat & David Le Bris, 2019. "Equity Risk Premium and Time Horizon: what do the French secular data say ?," Working Papers hal-04141877, HAL.
    4. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Income Insurance and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 407, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    5. A. Ronald Gallant & George Tauchen, 2021. "Cash Flows Discounted Using a Model-Free SDF Extracted under a Yield Curve Prior," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-15, March.
    6. González, Mariano & Nave, Juan & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of stock market betas," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 26-44.
    7. Jules H. van Binsbergen & Ralph S.J. Koijen, 2015. "The Term Structure of Returns: Facts and Theory," NBER Working Papers 21234, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Robert Barro & Tao Jin, 2021. "Rare Events and Long-Run Risks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 1-25, January.
    9. Christensen, Timothy M., 2022. "Existence and uniqueness of recursive utilities without boundedness," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    10. Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonello & Roberto Marfè & Francesca Zucchi, 2020. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Working Papers 2020:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    11. Adem Atmaz & Suleyman Basak, 2022. "Stock Market and No‐Dividend Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 545-599, February.
    12. Georges Prat & David Le Bris, 2019. "Equity Risk Premium and Time Horizon: what do the French secular data say ?," EconomiX Working Papers 2019-8, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    13. Ravi Bansal & Shane Miller & Dongho Song & Amir Yaron, 2019. "The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 25690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Fernando M. Duarte & Carlo Rosa, 2015. "The equity risk premium: a review of models," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 2, pages 39-57.
    15. Bidder, R.M. & Smith, M.E., 2018. "Doubts and variability: A robust perspective on exotic consumption series," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 689-712.
    16. Pierlauro Lopez, 2016. "Welfare Implications of the Term Structure of Returns: Should Central Banks Fill Gaps or Remove Volatility?," 2016 Meeting Papers 742, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. van Binsbergen, Jules & Hueskes, Wouter & Koijen, Ralph & Vrugt, Evert, 2013. "Equity yields," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 503-519.
      • Jules H. van Binsbergen & Wouter Hueskes & Ralph Koijen & Evert B. Vrugt, 2011. "Equity Yields," NBER Working Papers 17416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Gollier, Christian, 2016. "Evaluation of long-dated assets: The role of parameter uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 66-83.
    19. Lars Peter Hansen, 2007. "Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Economic Risk," NBER Working Papers 12948, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Frederico Belo & Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Robert S. Goldstein, 2012. "Endogenous Dividend Dynamics and the Term Structure of Dividend Strips," NBER Working Papers 18450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Hasler, Michael & Marfè, Roberto, 2016. "Disaster recovery and the term structure of dividend strips," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 116-134.
    22. Xiaohong Chen & Jack Fuvilukis & Sydney Ludvigson, 2012. "An Estimation of Economic Models with Recursive Preferences," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1883, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    23. Gourieroux, Christian & Jasiak, Joann, 2025. "Long-run risk in stationary vector autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    24. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Corporate Fraction and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 409, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    25. Riccardo Colacito & Mariano Croce, 2005. "Risks For The Long Run And The Real Exchange Rate," 2005 Meeting Papers 794, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    26. Ravi Jagannathan & Binying Liu, 2019. "Dividend Dynamics, Learning, and Expected Stock Index Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(1), pages 401-448, February.
    27. Christian Gollier, 2012. "Evaluation of Long-Dated Investments under Uncertain Growth Trend, Volatility and Catastrophes," CESifo Working Paper Series 4052, CESifo.
    28. Michael Weber, 2016. "Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns," NBER Working Papers 22520, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    29. J. David Lopez-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande & Pierlauro Lopez, 2015. "Macro-Finance Separation by Force of Habit," 2015 Meeting Papers 980, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    30. Emi Nakamura & Dmitriy Sergeyev & Jón Steinsson, 2012. "Growth-Rate and Uncertainty Shocks in Consumption: Cross-Country Evidence," NBER Working Papers 18128, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2021. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums," International Finance Discussion Papers 1318, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    32. Pierlauro Lopez & J. David López-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2023. "Nominal Rigidities and the Term Structures of Equity and Bond Returns," Working Papers 23-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    33. Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš, 2009. "Learning in Financial Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 7127, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    34. Pier Lopez, 2014. "The Term Structure of the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty," Working papers 521, Banque de France.
    35. TAKAMIZAWA, Hideyuki & 高見澤, 秀幸, 2018. "An Equilibrium Model of Term Structures of Bonds and Equities," Working Paper Series G-1-19, Hitotsubashi University Center for Financial Research.
    36. Taeyoung Doh & Shu Wu, 2016. "The Equilibrium Term Structure of Equity and Interest Rates," Research Working Paper RWP 16-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    37. Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Michael Johannes & Lars A. Lochstoer, 2016. "Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(3), pages 664-698, March.
    38. Mohrschladt, Hannes & Nolte, Sven, 2018. "A new risk factor based on equity duration," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 126-135.
    39. Prat, Georges & Le Bris, David, 2024. "Term structure of equity risk premia in rough terrain: 150 years of the French stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    40. Xavier Gabaix, 2016. "Behavioral Macroeconomics Via Sparse Dynamic Programming," NBER Working Papers 21848, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Pierlauro Lopez, 2021. "Welfare Implications of Asset Pricing Facts: Should Central Banks Fill Gaps or Remove Volatility?," Working Papers 21-16R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 16 May 2023.
    42. Branger, Nicole & Grüning, Patrick & Kraft, Holger & Meinerding, Christoph, 2013. "Asset pricing under uncertainty about shock propagation," SAFE Working Paper Series 34, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    43. Chen, Huafeng (Jason), 2011. "Firm life expectancy and the heterogeneity of the book-to-market effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 402-423, May.
    44. Ravi Jagannathan & Srikant Marakani, 2015. "Price-Dividend Ratio Factor Proxies for Long-Run Risks," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 1-47.
    45. Curatola, Giuliano, 2016. "Preference evolution and the dynamics of capital markets," SAFE Working Paper Series 128, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    46. Sydney Ludvigson, 2008. "The Research Agenda: Sydney Ludvigson on Empirical Evaluation of Economic Theories of Risk Premia," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(2), April.
    47. Breugem, Matthijs & Marfè, Roberto, 2020. "Long-run versus short-run news and the term structure of equity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    48. Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2009. "Confidence Risk and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 14815, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    49. Cejnek, Georg & Randl, Otto, 2016. "Risk and return of short-duration equity investments," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 181-198.
    50. Oliver Boguth & Murray Carlson & Adlai Fisher & Mikhail Simutin, 2023. "The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia: Levered Noise and New Estimates," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(4), pages 1155-1182.
    51. Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2023. "The long-run risk premium in the intertemporal CAPM: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    52. Hasler, Michael & Khapko, Mariana & Marfè, Roberto, 2019. "Should investors learn about the timing of equity risk?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 182-204.
    53. Jun Ma, 2013. "Long‐Run Risk and Its Implications for the Equity Premium Puzzle: New Evidence from a Multivariate Framework," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(1), pages 121-145, February.
    54. Mignanego, Fausto & Sbuelz, Alessandro, 2022. "Analytical cyclical price–dividend ratios," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    55. Olaf Stotz, 2020. "The Equity Curve and Its Relation to Future Stock Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-16, January.
    56. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Labor Rigidity, In ation Risk and Bond Returns," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 461, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    57. Bakshi, Gurdip & Chabi-Yo, Fousseni, 2011. "Variance Bounds on the Permanent and Transitory Components of Stochastic Discount Factors," Working Paper Series 2011-11, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    58. Ming Zeng & Guihai Zhao, 2022. "Expectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 22-21, Bank of Canada.
    59. Long Chen & Lu Zhang, 2007. "Neoclassical Factors," NBER Working Papers 13282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    60. Timothy M. Christensen, 2020. "Existence and uniqueness of recursive utilities without boundedness," Papers 2008.00963, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    61. Xavier Gabaix, 2007. "Linearity-Generating Processes: A Modelling Tool Yielding Closed Forms for Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 13430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    62. John H. Cochrane, 2017. "Macro-Finance," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 945-985.
    63. Xiaohong Chen & Jack Favilukis & Sydney Ludvigson, 2012. "An estimation of economic models with recursive preferences," CeMMAP working papers 32/12, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    64. Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak, 2022. "Long Run Risk in Stationary Structural Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2202.09473, arXiv.org.

  23. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Xiaohong Chen & Jack Favilukis, 2007. "An Estimation of Economic Models with Recursive," FMG Discussion Papers dp603, Financial Markets Group.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2014. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 28(1), pages 293-354.
    2. Jack Favilukis, 2007. "Inequality, Stock Market Participation, and the Equity Premium," FMG Discussion Papers dp602, Financial Markets Group.
    3. Taeyoung Doh, 2008. "Long run risks in the term structure of interest rates: estimation," Research Working Paper RWP 08-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    4. Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Caldara, Dario & Yao, Wen, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers 7312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Ravi Jagannathan & Srikant Marakani, 2015. "Price-Dividend Ratio Factor Proxies for Long-Run Risks," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 1-47.
    6. Jules van Binsbergen & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Ralph S.J. Koijen & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2010. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a DSGE Model with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers 15890, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906, Elsevier.

  24. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney & Wachter, Jessica, 2006. "The Declining Equity Premium: What Role Does Macroeconomic Risk Play?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5519, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2006. "Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence," 2006 Meeting Papers 29, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Segal, Gill & Shaliastovich, Ivan & Yaron, Amir, 2015. "Good and bad uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial market implications," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 369-397.
    3. Massimiliano De Santis, 2005. "Interpreting Aggregate Stock Market Behavior: How Far Can the Standard Model Go?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 5, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    4. Fernandez, Pablo & Aguirreamalloa, Javier & Liechtenstein, Heinrich, 2009. "The equity premium puzzle: High required equity premium, undervaluation and self fulfilling prophecy," IESE Research Papers D/821, IESE Business School.
    5. Kwang Hun Choi & Chang‐Jin Kim & Cheolbeom Park, 2017. "Regime Shifts in Price‐Dividend Ratios and Expected Stock Returns: A Present‐Value Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 417-441, March.
    6. Brice V. Dupoyet & Corey A. Shank, 2018. "Oil prices implied volatility or direction: Which matters more to financial markets?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 32(3), pages 275-295, August.
    7. Marie Brière & Ombretta Signori, 2011. "Inflation hedging portfolios in different regimes," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Portfolio and risk management for central banks and sovereign wealth funds, volume 58, pages 139-163, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A View from Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 21056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Jank, Stephan, 2012. "Changes in the composition of publicly traded firms: Implications for the dividend-price ratio and return predictability," CFR Working Papers 12-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    10. Emmanuel Farhi & Francois Gourio, 2018. "Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends: Market Power, Intangibles, and Risk Premia," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 147-250.
    11. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2014. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 28(1), pages 293-354.
    12. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, November.
    13. Stefano d¡¦Addona, 2018. "Rational Ignorance in Long-run Risk Models," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 17(1), pages 43-54, June.
    14. Tristan Jourde & Quentin Moreaux, 2025. "Systemic Climate Risk," Working papers 993, Banque de France.
    15. Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2007. "Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(11), pages 3503-3544, November.
    16. Nason James M. & Smith Gregor W, 2008. "Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, November.
    17. John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy & Yong Song, 2012. "Components of Bull and Bear Markets: Bull Corrections and Bear Rallies," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 391-403, February.
    18. Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2008. "Multifrequency jump-diffusions: An equilibrium approach," Post-Print hal-00459681, HAL.
    19. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Yuhang Xing, 2006. "Risk, Uncertainty and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 12248, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Laurent E. Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2005. "Multifrequency News and Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 11441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Michael Weber & Christian Dorion & Alexandre Jeanneret & Harjoat Bhamra, 2017. "Deflation, Sticky Leverage and Asset Prices," 2017 Meeting Papers 796, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    22. Matteo Maggiori, 2013. "The U.S. Dollar Safety Premium," 2013 Meeting Papers 75, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Pakoš, Michal, 2013. "Long-run risk and hidden growth persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1911-1928.
    24. Renatas Kizys & Peter Spencer, 2007. "Assessing the Relation between Equity Risk Premium and Macroeconomic Volatilities in the UK," Discussion Papers 07/13, Department of Economics, University of York.
    25. David Backus & Bryan Routledge & Stanley Zin, 2004. "Exotic Preferences for Macroeconomists," Working Papers 04-20, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    26. Lei, Xiaowen, 2019. "Information and Inequality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    27. Croce, Mariano & Colacito, Ric & Liu, Yang & Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2018. "Volatility Risk Pass-Through," CEPR Discussion Papers 13325, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Du, Du, 2011. "General equilibrium pricing of options with habit formation and event risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 400-426, February.
    29. Byoung‐Kyu Min & Yuchao Xiao, 2021. "Momentum, Reversals, and Business Cycle Turning Points," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 57(4), pages 679-708, December.
    30. Hara, Chiaki & 原, 千秋 & ハラ, チアキ, 2009. "Heterogeneous Impatience in a Continuous-Time Model," PIE/CIS Discussion Paper 425, Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    31. Ralph S.J. Koijen & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2011. "Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 467-491, December.
    32. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2016. "Does the return-state-varying relationship between risk and return matter in modeling the time series process of stock return?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 72-87.
    33. Alex Hsu & Francisco J. Palomino & Charles Qian, 2017. "The Decline in Asset Return Predictability and Macroeconomic Volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-050, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Casper van Ewijk & Henri de Groot & C. Santing, 2010. "A meta-analysis of the equity premium," CPB Discussion Paper 156, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    35. Brockman, Paul & Liebenberg, Ivonne & Schutte, Maria, 2010. "Comovement, information production, and the business cycle," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 107-129, July.
    36. Fabrizio Perri & Jonathan Heathcote, 2013. "Wealth and Volatility," 2013 Meeting Papers 385, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    37. Andrew Ang & Allan Timmermann, 2011. "Regime Changes and Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 17182, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Boucher, Christophe, 2006. "Stock prices-inflation puzzle and the predictability of stock market returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 205-212, February.
    39. Peter C. B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2007. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Working Papers 222007, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    40. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    41. Paweł Radwański, 2019. "Polityka fiskalna i premia za ryzyko akcji na warszawskiej giełdzie," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 50(3), pages 265-294.
    42. Eduardo Walker, 2016. "Cost of Capital in Emerging Markets: Bridging Gaps between Theory and Practice," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 53(1), pages 111-147, December.
    43. Aase, Knut K., 2015. "The equity premium in a production economy; A new perspective involving recursive utility," Discussion Papers 2015/15, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    44. Yan Li & Liyan Yang, 2013. "Asset-Pricing Implications of Dividend Volatility," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(9), pages 2036-2055, September.
    45. Massimo Guidolin, 2013. "Markov switching models in asset pricing research," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 1, pages 3-44, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    46. Sang Byung Seo & Jessica A. Wachter, 2019. "Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(8), pages 3449-3469, August.
    47. Neuhierl, Andreas & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2021. "Frequency dependent risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 644-675.
    48. Michael Johannes & Lars Lochstoer & Pierre Collin-Dufresne, 2015. "Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications," 2015 Meeting Papers 647, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    49. Toda, Alexis Akira & Walsh, Kieran James, 2014. "The Equity Premium and the One Percent," MPRA Paper 79009, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2017.
    50. Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2006. "Expected stock returns and variance risk premia," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    51. Azamat Abdymomunov & Filippo Curti & Atanas Mihov, 2020. "U.S. Banking Sector Operational Losses and the Macroeconomic Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(1), pages 115-144, February.
    52. Ahn, Seryoong & Choi, Kyoung Jin & Koo, Hyeng Keun, 2015. "A simple asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents, uninsurable labor income and limited stock market participation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 9-22.
    53. Helmut Herwartz & Fang Xu, 2020. "Low Mortgage Rates and Securitization: A Distinct Perspective on the US Housing Boom," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(1), pages 164-190, January.
    54. Christophe Boucher & Bertrand Maillet, 2011. "Une analyse temps-fréquences des cycles financiers," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 11003, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    55. Azad, A.S.M. Sohel & Fang, Victor & Hung, Chi-Hsiou, 2012. "Linking the interest rate swap markets to the macroeconomic risk: The UK and us evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 38-47.
    56. Loriana Pelizzon & Monica Billio & Mila Getmansky, 2008. "Crisis and Hedge Fund Risk," Working Papers 2008_10, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    57. Olesya V. Grishchenko & Zhaogang Song & Hao Zhou, 2015. "Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-run and Long-run Risks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-95, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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  25. Mariano M. Croce & Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2006. "Investor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Duration fo Risky Assets," 2006 Meeting Papers 628, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jules van Binsbergen & Michael Brandt & Ralph Koijen, 2012. "On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1596-1618, June.
    2. Marianne Andries & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Martin C. Schmalz, 2014. "Horizon-Dependent Risk Aversion and the Timing and Pricing of Uncertainty," Staff Reports 703, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Lars Peter Hansen, 2007. "Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Economic Risk," NBER Working Papers 12948, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Constantinides, George M. & Ghosh, Anisha, 2008. "Asset pricing tests with long run risks in consumption growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Mariano M. Croce, 2006. "Welfare Costs, Long Run Consumption Risk, and a Production Economy," 2006 Meeting Papers 582, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Ina Simonovska & Espen Henriksen, 2013. "Time-Varying Risk Premia and Capital Flows to Developing Countries," 2013 Meeting Papers 1258, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Thomas Eisenbach & Martin Schmalz & Marianne Andries, 2015. "Asset Pricing with Horizon-Dependent Risk Aversion," 2015 Meeting Papers 1069, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Massimiliano Croce, Mariano, 2014. "Long-run productivity risk: A new hope for production-based asset pricing?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 13-31.
    9. John H. Cochrane, 2017. "Macro-Finance," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 945-985.

  26. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2005. "Euler Equation Errors," CEPR Discussion Papers 4922, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Ravi Bansal & Dana Kiku & Amir Yaron, 2012. "Risks For the Long Run: Estimation with Time Aggregation," NBER Working Papers 18305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Schrimpf, Paul & Parra-Alvarez, Juan Carlos & Posch, Olaf, 2021. "Peso Problems in the Estimation of the C-CAPM," CEPR Discussion Papers 16299, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Lucas Herrenbrueck, 2019. "Interest rates, moneyness, and the Fisher equation," 2019 Meeting Papers 1409, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Kroencke, Tim Alexander, 2014. "Asset Pricing without Garbage," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100476, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Parra-Alvarez, Juan Carlos & Polattimur, Hamza & Posch, Olaf, 2021. "Risk matters: Breaking certainty equivalence in linear approximations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Ribeiro, Priscila Fernandes, 2015. "Estimating the elasticity of intertemporal substitution taking into account the precautionary savings motive," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 108-123.
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    8. Victor Chernozhukov & Emre Kocatulum & Konrad Menzel, 2012. "Inference on sets in finance," CeMMAP working papers CWP04/12, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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    19. Xiaohong Chen & Timothy M. Christensen, 2013. "Optimal uniform convergence rates for sieve nonparametric instrumental variables regression," CeMMAP working papers 56/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    20. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006. "A stochastic discount factor approach to asset pricing using panel data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 628, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    21. Timothy M. Christensen, 2014. "Nonparametric identification of positive eigenfunctions," CeMMAP working papers CWP37/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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    28. Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2009. "Model Comparison Using the Hansen-Jagannathan Distance," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(9), pages 3449-3490, September.
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    64. Nikolay Gospodinov & Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2010. "On the Hansen-Jagannathan distance with a no-arbitrage constraint," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2010-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    65. Timothy M. Christensen, 2014. "Nonparametric identification of positive eigenfunctions," CeMMAP working papers 37/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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    68. Schiraldi, Pasquale & Levy, Matthew R., 2021. "Identification of Dynamic Discrete-Continuous Choice Models, with an Application to Consumption-Savings-Retirement," CEPR Discussion Papers 15719, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    71. Ufuk Akcigit & Fernando Alvarez & Stephane Bonhomme & George M Constantinides & Douglas W Diamond & Eugene F Fama & David W Galenson & Michael Greenstone & Lars Peter Hansen & Uhlig Harald & James J H, 2017. "The Past, Present, and Future of Economics: A Celebration of the 125-Year Anniversary of the JPE and of Chicago Economics," Natural Field Experiments 00635, The Field Experiments Website.
    72. Ghysels, Eric & Babii, Andrii & Chen, Xi & Kumar, Rohit, 2020. "Binary Choice with Asymmetric Loss in a Data-Rich Environment: Theory and an Application to Racial Justice," CEPR Discussion Papers 15418, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    73. Peyton Ferrier & Chen Zhen, 2014. "The producer welfare effects of trade liberalization when goods are perishable and habit-forming: the case of asparagus," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(2), pages 129-141, March.
    74. Nikolay Gospodinov & Esfandiar Maasoumi, 2017. "General Aggregation of Misspecified Asset Pricing Models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2017-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    75. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2012. "Expansion of Lévy Process Functionals and Its Application in Statistical Estimation," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    76. Adam Szeidl & Raj Chetty, 2005. "Consumption Commitments: Neoclassical Foundations for Habit Formation," 2005 Meeting Papers 122, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    77. Moore, Michael J. & Roche, Maurice J., 2012. "When does uncovered interest parity hold?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 865-879.
    78. Jean-Jacques Forneron, 2019. "A Sieve-SMM Estimator for Dynamic Models," Papers 1902.01456, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    79. Francisco Alonso & Roberto Blanco & Gonzalo Rubio, 2006. "Option-implied preferences adjustments, density forecasts, and the equity risk premium," Working Papers 0630, Banco de España.
    80. Chen, Xiaohong & Liao, Yuan & Wang, Weichen, 2025. "Inference on time series nonparametric conditional moment restrictions using nonlinear sieves," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PA).
    81. Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906, Elsevier.
    82. Yuewu Xu, 2021. "A new measure of model misspecification with the no-arbitrage constraint: extending the second Hansen–Jagannathan distance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 917-938, April.
    83. de Sá, Rodrigo & Portugal, Marcelo S., 2015. "Central bank and asymmetric preferences: An application of sieve estimators to the U.S. and Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 72-83.
    84. Chen, Xiaohong & Liao, Zhipeng, 2015. "Sieve semiparametric two-step GMM under weak dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 163-186.
    85. Stuart Hyde & Mohamed Sherif, 2005. "Consumption Asset Pricing Models: Evidence From The Uk," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(3), pages 343-363, June.
    86. M Boschi & S d'Addona & A Goenka, 2012. "Testing external habits in an asset pricing model," CAMA Working Papers 2012-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    87. Chen, Jiafeng & Chen, Xiaohong & Tamer, Elie, 2023. "Efficient estimation of average derivatives in NPIV models: Simulation comparisons of neural network estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1848-1875.
    88. Natalia, Khorunzhina & Wayne Roy, Gayle, 2011. "Heterogenous intertemporal elasticity of substitution and relative risk aversion: estimation of optimal consumption choice with habit formation and measurement errors," MPRA Paper 34329, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    89. J. Davies & Jonathan Fletcher & Andrew Marshall, 2015. "Testing index-based models in U.K. stock returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 337-362, August.
    90. Aase, Knut K. & Lillestøl, Jostein, 2015. "Beyond the local mean-variance analysis in continuous time: The problem of non-normality," Discussion Papers 2015/11, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    91. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2013. "Orthogonal Expansion of Levy Process Functionals: Theory and Practice," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    92. Belén Nieto & Gonzalo Rubio, 2007. "Measuring time-varying economic fears with consumption-based stochastic discount factors," Economics Working Papers 1029, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2007.
    93. Mengyuan Zhou, 2018. "Who are the Joneses You are Keeping up with?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(3), pages 1261-1266.
    94. Dmitriev, Alexandre, 2017. "Composite habits and international transmission of business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-34.
    95. Eduard Dubin & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Vasily Kartashov, 2012. "Habit formation heterogeneity: Implications for aggregate asset pricing," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-07, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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  29. Xiaohong Chen & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2004. "Land of Addicts? An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Behavior," NBER Working Papers 10503, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Kareen Rozen, 2010. "Foundations of Intrinsic Habit Formation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(4), pages 1341-1373, July.
    2. Xiaohong Chen & Demian Pouzo, 2008. "Estimation of nonparametric conditional moment models with possibly nonsmooth moments," CeMMAP working papers CWP12/08, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. Xiaohong Chen & Demian Pouzo, 2012. "Estimation of Nonparametric Conditional Moment Models With Possibly Nonsmooth Generalized Residuals," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(1), pages 277-321, January.
    4. Bunzel, Helle, 2006. "Habit Persistence, Money, and Overlapping Generations," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12405, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Stuart Hyde & Mohamed Sherif, 2005. "Consumption Asset Pricing Models: Evidence From The Uk," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(3), pages 343-363, June.
    6. Aase, Knut K. & Lillestøl, Jostein, 2015. "Beyond the local mean-variance analysis in continuous time: The problem of non-normality," Discussion Papers 2015/11, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    7. Belén Nieto & Gonzalo Rubio, 2007. "Measuring time-varying economic fears with consumption-based stochastic discount factors," Economics Working Papers 1029, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2007.

  30. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Xiaohong Chen, 2004. "An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Models," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 332, Econometric Society.

    Cited by:

    1. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Sanjay K. Chugh, 2005. "Optimal inflation persistence: Ramsey taxation with capital and habits," International Finance Discussion Papers 829, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Kareen Rozen, 2010. "Foundations of Intrinsic Habit Formation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(4), pages 1341-1373, July.
    4. Kang, Jangkoo & Kim, Tong Suk & Lee, Changjun & Min, Byoung-Kyu, 2011. "Macroeconomic risk and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3158-3173.
    5. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006. "A stochastic discount factor approach to asset pricing using panel data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 628, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    6. Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2009. "Model Comparison Using the Hansen-Jagannathan Distance," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(9), pages 3449-3490, September.
    7. Aase, Knut K., 2004. "Jump Dynamics: The Equity Premium and the Risk-Free Rate Puzzles," Discussion Papers 2004/12, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    8. Cochrane, John H., 2005. "Financial Markets and the Real Economy," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(1), pages 1-101, July.
    9. Christophe Chamley, 2006. "Complementarities in information acquisition with short-term trades," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-042, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    10. Yu Chen & Thomas Cosimano & Alex Himonas, 2008. "Solving an asset pricing model with hybrid internal and external habits, and autocorrelated Gaussian shocks," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 305-344, July.
    11. Raj Chetty & Adam Szeidl, 2004. "Consumption Commitments and Habit Formation," NBER Working Papers 10970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Adam Szeidl & Raj Chetty, 2005. "Consumption Commitments: Neoclassical Foundations for Habit Formation," 2005 Meeting Papers 122, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Francisco Alonso & Roberto Blanco & Gonzalo Rubio, 2006. "Option-implied preferences adjustments, density forecasts, and the equity risk premium," Working Papers 0630, Banco de España.
    14. Sangwon Suh, 2018. "Portfolio Selection using New Factors based on Firm Characteristics," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 43(1), pages 77-99, March.

  31. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2003. "Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption," NBER Working Papers 9848, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 874-890.
    2. Carolin Pflueger & Emil Siriwardane & Adi Sunderam, 2018. "A Measure of Risk Appetite for the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 24529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Beltratti, Andrea & Morana, Claudio, 2010. "International house prices and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 533-545, March.
    4. Korniotis, George & Bonaparte, Yosef & Kumar, Alok, 2020. "Income Risk and Stock Market Entry/Exit Decisions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15370, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Roger Farmer, 2012. "The Stock Market Crash of 2008 Caused the Great Recession," 2012 Meeting Papers 145, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Nils Holinski & Robert Vermeulen, 2012. "The international wealth channel: a global error-correcting analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 985-1010, December.
    7. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Prices on U.S. Consumption," Working papers 2013-13, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    8. Paul Gao & Kevin X. D. Huang, 2004. "Aggregate consumption-wealth ratio and the cross-section of stock returns: some international evidence," Research Working Paper RWP 04-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    9. Juan Contreras & Joseph B. Nichols, 2010. "Consumption responses to permanent and transitory shocks to house appreciation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-32, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 2010. "Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US," Economics Series Working Papers 487, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    11. Edward E. Leamer, 2007. "Housing IS the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 13428, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Apergis, Nicholas & Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Hassapis, Christis, 2018. "Multi-horizon wealth effects across the G7 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 165-176.
    13. Carroll, Christopher D. & Slacalek, Jiri & Sommer, Martin, 2008. "International evidence on sticky consumption growth," Working Paper Series 886, European Central Bank.
    14. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," IZA Discussion Papers 13224, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Christopher E.S. WARBURTON & Richard BOOSE, 2015. "Monetary Policy, Financial Risk Mitigation And Unemployment In The United States," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 15(2), pages 81-98.
    16. Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2011. "Bayesian Inference in the Time Varying Cointegration Model," Working Papers 1121, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    17. Fisher, Lance A. & Otto, Glenn & Voss, Graham M., 2010. "The response of Australian consumption to housing wealth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 284-299, March.
    18. Jong Chil Son & Hail Park, 2020. "The Effects of Regional House Prices on Consumption in Korea: Heterogeneous Behaviors According to Homeownership Status and Lifecycle Stage," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-15, April.
    19. Luc Arrondel & Frédérique Savignac & Tracol Kévin, 2014. "Wealth and Consumption: French Households in the Crisis," Post-Print hal-01108829, HAL.
    20. Engelbert Stockhammer & Erik Bengtsson, 2020. "Financial effects in historic consumption and investment functions," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 304-326, May.
    21. Kim, Hong-bumm & Park, Jung-Ho & Lee, Seul Ki & Jang, SooCheong (Shawn), 2012. "Do expectations of future wealth increase outbound tourism? Evidence from Korea," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1141-1147.
    22. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, November.
    23. Pedro Bação & Fernando Alexandre & Vasco J. Gabriel, 2006. "On the stability of the wealth effect," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 281, Society for Computational Economics.
    24. Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Adam Sheridan, 2021. "Dynamic Spending Responses to Wealth Shocks: Evidence from Quasi-Lotteries on the Stock Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 9184, CESifo.
    25. Grant M. Scobie & Katherine Henderson, 2009. "Saving Rates of New Zealanders: A Net Wealth Approach," Treasury Working Paper Series 09/04, New Zealand Treasury.
    26. Cong Chen & Changsheng Hu & Hongxing Yao, 2022. "Noise Trader Risk and Wealth Effect: A Theoretical Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-18, October.
    27. Hongyun Han & Fan Si, 2020. "How Does the Composition of Asset Portfolios Affect Household Consumption: Evidence from China Based on Micro Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    28. Castro, Andressa Souza Campos Monteiro & Issler, João Victor, 2015. "Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data on G7 Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 767, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    29. Gerlach-Kristen, Petra & O'Connell, Brian & O'Toole, Conor, 2013. "How do banking crises affect aggregate consumption? Evidence from international crisis episodes," Papers WP464, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    30. Li, Yun Daisy & Iscan, Talan B. & Xu, Kuan, 2010. "The impact of monetary policy shocks on stock prices: Evidence from Canada and the United States," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 876-896, September.
    31. Jiri Slacalek, 2006. "What Drives Personal Consumption?: The Role of Housing and Financial Wealth," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 647, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    32. Iscan, Talan B., 2011. "Productivity growth and the U.S. saving rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 501-514, January.
    33. Christian Gillitzer & Jin Cong Wang, 2015. "Housing Wealth Effects: Cross-sectional Evidence from New Vehicle Registrations," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2015-08, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    34. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15163, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Chen, Yu-Fu & Funke, Michael, 2010. "Global Warming And Extreme Events: Rethinking The Timing And Intensity Of Environmental Policy," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-48, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    36. Trivin, Pedro, 2020. "The wealth-consumption channel: Evidence from a panel of Spanish households," MPRA Paper 102079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2006. "Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence," 2006 Meeting Papers 29, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Kwang Hun Choi & Chang‐Jin Kim & Cheolbeom Park, 2017. "Regime Shifts in Price‐Dividend Ratios and Expected Stock Returns: A Present‐Value Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 417-441, March.
    3. Croce, M.M. & Nguyen, Thien T. & Raymond, S. & Schmid, L., 2019. "Government debt and the returns to innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 205-225.
    4. José Ignacio López Gaviria, 2019. "Predictibilidad del mercado accionario colombiano," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 91, pages 117-150.
    5. Paulo Maio, 2014. "Another Look at the Stock Return Response to Monetary Policy Actions," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 321-371.
    6. Polimenis, Vassilis & Neokosmidis, Ioannis M., 2016. "The modified dividend–price ratio," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 31-38.
    7. Adrian Buss & Bernard Dumas, 2013. "The Dynamic Properties of Financial-Market Equilibrium with Trading Fees," NBER Working Papers 19155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Verdelhan, Adrien & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn & Lustig, Hanno, 2012. "The Wealth-Consumption Ratio," CEPR Discussion Papers 9022, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Lyle, Matthew R. & Wang, Charles C.Y., 2015. "The cross section of expected holding period returns and their dynamics: A present value approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 505-525.
    10. Cui, Liyuan & Hong, Yongmiao & Li, Yingxing, 2021. "Solving Euler equations via two-stage nonparametric penalized splines," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 1024-1056.
    11. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Income Insurance and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 407, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    12. Yunhao Chen & Xiaoquan Jiang & Bong-Soo Lee, 2015. "Long-Term Evidence on the Effect of Aggregate Earnings on Prices," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 44(2), pages 323-351, June.
    13. Chen, Long & Petkova, Ralitsa & Zhang, Lu, 2008. "The expected value premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 269-280, February.
    14. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Yuhang Xing, 2006. "Risk, Uncertainty and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 12248, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Luo, Shikong & Yan, Xinyan & Yang, Haoyi, 2021. "Let’s take a smooth break: Stock return predictability revisited," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 300-314.
    16. Stavros Panageas & Nicolae Garleanu, 2008. "Yooung, Old, Conservative and Bold: The implications of finite lives and heterogeneity for asset prices," 2008 Meeting Papers 409, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Nan-Ting Kuo, 2013. "Dividend tax signaling and the pricing of future earnings: a case of taxable stock dividends," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 539-570, April.
    18. Rangvid, Jesper & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2014. "Dividend Predictability Around the World," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(5-6), pages 1255-1277, December.
    19. John Powell & Jing Shi & Tom Smith & Robert Whaley, 2009. "Common Divisors, Payout Persistence, and Return Predictability," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 9(4), pages 335-357, December.
    20. Darakhshan Younis & Attiya Yasmin Javid, 2014. "Market Imperfections and Dividend Policy Decisions of Manufacturing Sector of Pakistan," PIDE-Working Papers 2014:99, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
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    22. Ralph S.J. Koijen & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2011. "Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 467-491, December.
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    24. Ghattassi, I., 2013. "Surplus Consumption Ratio and Expected Stock Returns," Working papers 417, Banque de France.
    25. Colonnello, Stefano & Curatola, Giuliano & Gioffré, Alessandro, 2019. "Pricing sin stocks: Ethical preference vs. risk aversion," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 69-100.
    26. Boucher, Christophe, 2006. "Stock prices-inflation puzzle and the predictability of stock market returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 205-212, February.
    27. Mahmoud Botshekan & Andre Lucas, 2012. "Long-Term versus Short-Term Contingencies in Asset Allocation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-053/2/DSF34, Tinbergen Institute.
    28. Ricardo Lagos & Shengxing Zhang, 2016. "Turnover Liquidity and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 734, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    29. Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonello & Roberto Marfè & Francesca Zucchi, 2020. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Working Papers 2020:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    30. Yin, Libo & Nie, Jing, 2021. "Adjusted dividend-price ratios and stock return predictability: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    31. Matsumoto, Akito & Cova, Pietro & Pisani, Massimiliano & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2011. "News Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 3117, Inter-American Development Bank.
    32. Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Sabbatucci, Riccardo, 2019. "Cash Flow News and Stock Price Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 14117, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    33. Ruan, Qingsong & Wang, Zilin & Zhou, Yaping & Lv, Dayong, 2020. "A new investor sentiment indicator (ISI) based on artificial intelligence: A powerful return predictor in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 47-58.
    34. Lettau, Martin & Wachter, Jessica, 2005. "Why is Long-Horizon Equity Less Risky? A Duration-based Explanation of the Value Premium," CEPR Discussion Papers 4921, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Sadka, Gil & Sadka, Ronnie, 2009. "Predictability and the earnings-returns relation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 87-106, October.
    36. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2008. "The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1577-1605, July.
    37. Pagel, Michaela, 2012. "Expectations-Based Reference-Dependent Preferences and Asset Pricing," MPRA Paper 47933, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    39. Gardberg, Malin, 2020. "Aggregate Consumption and Wealth in the Long Run: The Impact of Financial Liberalization," Working Paper Series 1339, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    40. Catherine Georgiou, 2022. "Modifications on Book-Valued Ratios," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 15(3), pages 24-37, December.
    41. Carlo A. Favero & Arie E. Gozluklu & Andrea Tamoni, 2010. "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," Working Papers 360, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    42. Nitschka, Thomas, 2011. "About the soundness of the US-cay indicator for predicting international banking crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 237-256.
    43. Lorenzo Pozzi & Barbara Sadaba, 2021. "Macroeconomic disasters and consumption smoothing," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-030/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    44. Simon Price & Christoph Schleicher, 2006. "Returns to equity, investment and Q: evidence from the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 310, Bank of England.
    45. Auer Benjamin R., 2012. "Lassen sich CAPM, HCAPM und CCAPM durch konsumbasierte zeitvariable Parameterspezifikation rehabilitieren? / Can Time-varying Parameter Specification Based on Consumption Variables Rehabilitate CAPM, ," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 232(5), pages 518-544, October.
    46. Mohsen Jafarian & Fauzias Mat Nor & Izani Ibrahim, 2018. "The Relative Importance of Cash Flow News and Discount Rate News at Driving Stock Price Change," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 56-72.
    47. Mathias Hoffmann, 2005. "Proprietary Income, Entrepreneurial Risk and the Predictability of U.S. Stock Returns," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 229, Society for Computational Economics.
    48. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 460, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    49. Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "The Market-Based Probability of Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 116234, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Mutual fund flows, expected returns, and the real economy," CFR Working Papers 11-04, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    51. Safdar, Irfan, 2018. "The information content of aggregate profitability," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 497-515.
    52. Bansal, Ravi & Khatchatrian, Varoujan & Yaron, Amir, 2005. "Interpretable asset markets?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 531-560, April.
    53. Luca De Gennaro Aquino & Xuedong He & Moris Simon Strub & Yuting Yang, 2024. "Reference-dependent asset pricing with a stochastic consumption-dividend ratio," Papers 2401.12856, arXiv.org.
    54. Anthony M. Diercks & William Waller, 2017. "Taxes and the Fed : Theory and Evidence from Equities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    55. Nader Shahzad Virk, 2013. "Evidence for state and time nonseparable preferences: the case of Finland," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(24), pages 1821-1838, December.
    56. José Ignacio López-Gaviria, 2019. "Colombia’s stock market predictability," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 91, pages 117-150, Julio - D.
    57. Chen, Long, 2009. "On the reversal of return and dividend growth predictability: A tale of two periods," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 128-151, April.
    58. Adam Goliński & João Madeira & Dooruj Rambaccussing, 2015. "Fractional Integration of the Price-Dividend Ratio in a Present-Value Model of Stock Prices," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 284, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
    59. Wagner, Moritz & Lee, John Byong-Tek & Margaritis, Dimitris, 2022. "Mutual fund flows and seasonalities in stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    60. Bekaert, Geert & Engstrom, Eric & Grenadier, Steve, 2006. "Stock and Bond Returns with Moody Investors," CEPR Discussion Papers 5951, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    61. Londono, Juan M. & Regúlez, Marta & Vázquez, Jesús, 2015. "An alternative view of the US price–dividend ratio dynamics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 291-307.
    62. Panos N. Patatoukas, 2014. "Detecting news in aggregate accounting earnings: implications for stock market valuation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 134-160, March.
    63. Thomas Nitschka, 2007. "Cashflow news, the value premium and an asset pricing view on European stock market integration," IEW - Working Papers 339, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
    64. Rangvid, Jesper, 2006. "Output and expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(3), pages 595-624, September.
    65. Martin Lettau & Jessica A. Wachter, 2009. "The Term Structures of Equity and Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 14698, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    66. Frederico Belo & Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Robert S. Goldstein, 2012. "Endogenous Dividend Dynamics and the Term Structure of Dividend Strips," NBER Working Papers 18450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    67. JULES H. Van BINSBERGEN & RALPH S. J. KOIJEN, 2010. "Predictive Regressions: A Present‐Value Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1439-1471, August.
    68. Hasler, Michael & Marfè, Roberto, 2016. "Disaster recovery and the term structure of dividend strips," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 116-134.
    69. Goliński, Adam & Madeira, João & Rambaccussing, Dooruj, 2025. "Return predictability, dividend growth, and the persistence of the price–dividend ratio," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 92-110.
    70. Stephen H. Penman, 2010. "Financial Forecasting, Risk and Valuation: Accounting for the Future," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 46(2), pages 211-228, June.
    71. Golinski, Adam & Madeira, Joao & Rambaccussing, Dooruj, 2014. "Fractional Integration of the Price-Dividend Ratio in a Present-Value Model," MPRA Paper 58554, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    72. Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2009. "The dividend-price ratio does predict dividend growth: International evidence," CREATES Research Papers 2009-36, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    73. Vassilis Polimenis & Ioannis Neokosmidis, 2019. "Non-stationary dividend-price ratios," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(7), pages 552-567, December.
    74. Mathias S. Kruttli, 2016. "From Which Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models Can Investors Profit? Evidence from Model-Based Priors," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    75. Hui Guo & Xiaowen Jiang, 2011. "Accruals and the Conditional Equity Premium," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 49(1), pages 187-221, March.
    76. Chava, Sudheer & Gallmeyer, Michael & Park, Heungju, 2015. "Credit conditions and stock return predictability," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 117-132.
    77. Tim Bollerslev & Lai Xu & Hao Zhou, 2012. "Stock Return and Cash Flow Predictability: The Role of Volatility Risk," CREATES Research Papers 2012-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    78. Faias, José Afonso, 2023. "Predicting the equity risk premium using the smooth cross-sectional tail risk: The importance of correlation," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    79. D'Amico, Guglielmo & De Blasis, Riccardo, 2024. "Dividend based risk measures: A Markov chain approach," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 471(C).
    80. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Corporate Fraction and the Equilibrium Term-Structure of Equity Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 409, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    81. Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," NBER Working Papers 22572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    82. Zhi Da & Ravi Jagannathan & Jianfeng Shen, 2014. "Growth Expectations, Dividend Yields, and Future Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 20651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    83. Ravi Jagannathan & Binying Liu, 2019. "Dividend Dynamics, Learning, and Expected Stock Index Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(1), pages 401-448, February.
    84. Cheolbeom Park & Dong-hun Shin, 2014. "Stock Market Predictability: Global Evidence and an Explanation," Discussion Paper Series 1405, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    85. Andrew Ang & Jun Liu, 2007. "Risk, Return and Dividends," NBER Working Papers 12843, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    86. Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Filip Zikes, 2019. "When do low-frequency measures really measure transaction costs?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-051, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    87. Kuang-Liang Chang & Nan-Kuang Chen & Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2016. "Losing Track of the Asset Markets: the Case of Housing and Stock," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 435-492.
    88. Catherine Georgiou, 2020. "The British Stock Market under the Structure of Market Capitalization Value: New Evidence on its Predictive Content," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 13(3), pages 56-69, December.
    89. Francois De Paul Silatchom, 2017. "VECM and Variance Decomposition: An Application to the Consumption-Wealth Ratio," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(6), pages 188-199, June.
    90. Møller, Stig V. & Sander, Magnus, 2017. "Dividends, earnings, and predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 153-163.
    91. Shamsi Zamenjani, Azam, 2021. "Do financial variables help predict the conditional distribution of the market portfolio?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 327-345.
    92. Collard, Fabrice & Feve, Patrick & Ghattassi, Imen, 2006. "Predictability and habit persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(11), pages 2217-2260, November.
    93. Michael Weber, 2014. "Nominal Rigidities and Asset Pricing," 2014 Meeting Papers 53, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    94. Benjamin Golez & Peter Koudijs, 2014. "Four Centuries of Return Predictability," NBER Working Papers 20814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    95. Bakshi, Gurdip & Panayotov, George & Skoulakis, Georgios, 2011. "Improving the predictability of real economic activity and asset returns with forward variances inferred from option portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 475-495, June.
    96. Davide Pettenuzzo & Riccardo Sabbatucci & Allan Timmermann, 2018. "High-frequency Cash Flow Dynamics," Working Papers 120, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    97. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2010. "A century of equity premium predictability and the consumption-wealth ratio: An international perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 313-331, June.
    98. Ruey-Shii Chen & Tai-Wei Zhang, 2018. "Dividend cuts and predictability," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 249-267, April.
    99. Stephen Penman & Francesco Reggiani, 2013. "Returns to buying earnings and book value: accounting for growth and risk," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 1021-1049, December.
    100. Ray Ball & Gil Sadka & Ronnie Sadka, 2009. "Aggregate Earnings and Asset Prices," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 47(5), pages 1097-1133, December.
    101. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Jessica A. Wachter, 2004. "The Declining Equity Premium: What Role Does Macroeconomic Risk Play?," NBER Working Papers 10270, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    102. Eric Ghysels & Alberto Plazzi & Rossen Valkanov, 2007. "Valuation in US Commercial Real Estate," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 13(3), pages 472-497, June.
    103. Simon Price & Christoph Schleicher, 2005. "Returns To Equity, Investment And Q: Evidence From The Uk," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(s1), pages 32-57, September.
    104. Møller, Stig Vinther, 2008. "Habit persistence: Explaining cross-sectional variation in returns and time-varying expected returns," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2008-04, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
    105. Scheffknecht, Lukas & Geiger, Felix, 2011. "A behavioral macroeconomic model with endogenous boom-bust cycles and leverage dynamcis," FZID Discussion Papers 37-2011, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
    106. Renatas Kizys & Peter Spencer, 2007. "Assessing the Relation between Equity Risk Premia and Macroeconomic Volatilities," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 140, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    107. Ghattassi, Imen, 2008. "On the predictive power of the surplus consumption ratio," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 21-31, March.
    108. Gil Sadka, 2007. "Understanding Stock Price Volatility: The Role of Earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(1), pages 199-228, March.
    109. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng & Ching-Sheng Mao, 2014. "Identifying and forecasting house prices: a macroeconomic perspective," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 2105-2120, December.
    110. Daniel Mantilla-García & Vijay Vaidyanathan, 2017. "Predicting stock returns in the presence of uncertain structural changes and sample noise," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 31(3), pages 357-391, August.
    111. John H. Cochrane, 2008. "The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1533-1575, July.
    112. Yu, Deshui & Huang, Difang & Chen, Li & Li, Luyang, 2023. "Forecasting dividend growth: The role of adjusted earnings yield," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    113. Chen, Nan-Kuang & Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2013. "Further evidence on bear market predictability: The role of the external finance premium," MPRA Paper 49093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    114. Anne Vila Wetherilt & Simon Wells, 2004. "Long-horizon equity return predictability: some new evidence for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 244, Bank of England.
    115. Thampanya, Natthinee & Wu, Junjie & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Liu, Jia, 2020. "Fundamental and behavioural determinants of stock return volatility in ASEAN-5 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    116. Rytchkov, Oleg, 2010. "Expected returns on value, growth, and HML," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 552-565, September.
    117. Walentin Karl, 2010. "Earnings Inequality and the Equity Premium," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, November.
    118. Zhu, Min & Chen, Rui & Du, Ke & Wang, You-Gan, 2018. "Dividend growth and equity premium predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 125-137.
    119. Adrian Austin & Swarna Dutt, 2015. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A New Look at the Evidence on Long-Horizon Predictability," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 147-159, March.
    120. Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Hanno Lustig, 2007. "The Wealth-Consumption Ratio: A Litmus Test for Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models," 2007 Meeting Papers 398, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    121. Mihai, Marius M. & Mansur, Iqbal, 2022. "Forecasting crash risk in U.S. bank returns—The role of credit booms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    122. Carlo A. Favero & Andrea Tamoni, 2010. "Demographics and the Econometrics of the Term Structure of Stock Market Risk," Working Papers 367, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    123. Stambaugh, Robert F. & Pástor, Luboš, 2007. "Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors," CEPR Discussion Papers 6076, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    124. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2005. "Euler Equation Errors," CEPR Discussion Papers 5245, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    125. Ravi Bansal & A. Ronald Gallant & George Tauchen, 2007. "Rational Pessimism, Rational Exuberance, and Asset Pricing Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 74(4), pages 1005-1033.
    126. Kishor, N. Kundan, 2023. "Estimating Expected Asset Returns With the Present Value Model of Consumption and Fed Forecasts," MPRA Paper 119617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    127. Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, 2014. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(3), pages 714-746.
    128. Ilaria Piatti & Fabio Trojani, 2020. "Dividend Growth Predictability and the Price–Dividend Ratio," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 130-158, January.
    129. Andrew Vivian, 2007. "The UK Equity Premium: 1901–2004," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(9‐10), pages 1496-1527, November.
    130. Andrew Vivian, 2005. "The Equity Premium: 101 years of Empirical Evidence from the UK," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 92, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    131. Antoine A. Djogbenou, 2017. "Model Selection In Factor-augmented Regressions With Estimated Factors," Working Paper 1391, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    132. Simon Price, 2004. "UK investment and the return to equity: Q redux," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    133. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005. "The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability," NBER Working Papers 11841, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    134. Olga Klinkowska & Angelica Gonzalez & Abhay Abhyankar, 2012. "Salvaging the C-CAPM: Currency Carry Trade Risk Premia and Conditioning Information," 2012 Meeting Papers 56, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    135. Hongye Guo & Jessica A. Wachter, 2019. ""Superstitious" Investors," NBER Working Papers 25603, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    136. Romeo Tedongap, 2007. "Consumption Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns," 2007 Meeting Papers 662, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    137. Theologos Dergiades & Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2019. "A Mixed Frequency Approach for Stock Returns and Valuation Ratios," Discussion Paper Series 2019_08, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Nov 2019.
    138. Qureshi, Fiza & Khan, Habib Hussain & Rehman, Ijaz Ur & Ghafoor, Abdul & Qureshi, Saba, 2019. "Mutual fund flows and investors’ expectations in BRICS economies: Implications for international diversification," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 130-150.
    139. Chen, Sichong, 2012. "The predictability of aggregate Japanese stock returns: Implications of dividend yield," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 284-304.
    140. Zhao, Chencheng & Yuan, Xianghui & Long, Jun & Jin, Liwei & Guan, Bowen, 2023. "Financial indicators analysis using machine learning: Evidence from Chinese stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    141. Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906, Elsevier.
    142. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Labor Rigidity, In ation Risk and Bond Returns," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 461, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    143. Jun Li & Huijun Wang & Jianfeng Yu, 2018. "Aggregate Expected Investment Growth and Stock Market Returns," ADBI Working Papers 808, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    144. Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2022. "Predicting returns and dividend growth — The role of non-Gaussian innovations," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    145. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jae H Kim, 2017. "International Stock Return Predictability: Evidence from New Statistical Tests," Post-Print hal-01626101, HAL.
    146. Schmid, Lukas & Croce, Mariano & Raymond, Steve & Nguyen, Thiên Tung, 2018. "Government Debt and the Returns to Innovation," CEPR Discussion Papers 12617, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    147. Long Chen & Zhi Da & Richard Priestley, 2012. "Dividend Smoothing and Predictability," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(10), pages 1834-1853, October.
    148. Li, Jun & Wang, Huijun & Yu, Jianfeng, 2021. "Aggregate expected investment growth and stock market returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 618-638.
    149. Andrea Tamoni & Arie E.Gozluklu & Carlo A.Favero, 2008. "Demographics and fluctuations in Dividend/Price," Working Papers 345, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    150. Wang, Zitian & Wang, Lili & Tan, Shaohua, 2008. "Emergent and spontaneous computation of factor relationships from a large factor set," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 3939-3959, December.
    151. John H. Cochrane, 2011. "Discount Rates," NBER Working Papers 16972, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    152. Rangvid, Jesper, 2002. "Output and Expected Returns - a multicountry study," Working Papers 2002-8, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
    153. Parastoo Mousavi, 2021. "Debt-by-Price Ratio, End-of-Year Economic Growth, and Long-Term Prediction of Stock Returns," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-18, July.

  33. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001. "Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Bulls, Bears and the Wealth Effect on Consumption," CEPR Discussion Papers 3104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2002. "Time-varying risk premia and the cost of capital: An alternative implication of the Q theory of investment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 31-66, January.
    2. Gerhard Illing & Ulrich Klüh, 2005. "Vermögenspreise und Konsum: Neue Erkenntnisse, amerikanische Erfahrungen und europäische Herausforderungen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, February.
    3. Ciarlone, Alessio, 2011. "Housing wealth effect in emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 399-417.
    4. Illing, Gerhard & Klüh, Ulrich, 2004. "Vermögenspreise und Konsum," Discussion Papers in Economics 316, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    5. Lise Pichette, 2004. "Are Wealth Effects Important for Canada," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2004(Spring), pages 29-35.
    6. Laurent Clerk & Christian Pfister, 2003. "The role of financial factors in the transmission of monetary policy," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in a changing environment, volume 19, pages 192-212, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Fernando Alvarez & Urban J. Jermann, 2001. "The Size of the Permanent Component of Asset Pricing Kernels," NBER Working Papers 8360, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Eschenbach, Felix & Schuknecht, Ludger, 2002. "The fiscal costs of financial instability revisited," Working Paper Series 191, European Central Bank.
    9. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2000. "Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns," CRSP working papers 520, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
    10. Alessio Ciarlone, 2012. "Wealth effects in emerging economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 843, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2001. "Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 8309, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Xavier Gabaix & David Laibson, 2002. "The 6D Bias and the Equity Premium Puzzle," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1947, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
    13. Mr. Alexander Ludwig & Mr. Torsten M Sloek, 2002. "The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Priceson Consumption in OECD Countries," IMF Working Papers 2002/001, International Monetary Fund.

  34. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001. "Measuring and Modelling Variation in the Risk-Return Trade-off," CEPR Discussion Papers 3105, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Tan, Zhengxun & Xiao, Binuo & Huang, Yilong & Zhou, Li, 2021. "Value at risk and return in Chinese and the US stock markets: Double long memory and fractional cointegration," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    2. Brandt, Michael W. & Kang, Qiang, 2004. "On the relationship between the conditional mean and volatility of stock returns: A latent VAR approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 217-257, May.
    3. Rangvid, Jesper, 2002. "Output and Expected Returns - a multicountry study," Working Papers 2002-8, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
    4. Jayawardena, Nirodha I. & Todorova, Neda & Li, Bin & Su, Jen-Je & Gau, Yin-Feng, 2022. "Risk-return trade-off in the Australian Securities Exchange: Accounting for overnight effects, realized higher moments, long-run relations, and fractional cointegration," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 384-401.

  35. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001. "Time-Varying Risk Premia and the Cost of Capital: An Alternative Implication of the Q Theory of Investment," CEPR Discussion Papers 3103, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Ehab Yamani & David Rakowski, 2018. "Cash Flow and Discount Rate Risk in the Investment Effect: A Downside Risk Approach," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(03), pages 1-40, September.
    2. Joao Gomes & Amir Yaron & Lu Zhang, 2002. "Asset Pricing Implications of Firms' Financing Constraints," NBER Working Papers 9365, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Nalewaik, Jeremy J., 2006. "Current consumption and future income growth: Synthetic panel evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 2239-2266, November.
    4. Zhang, Lu, 2015. "The Investment CAPM," Working Paper Series 2015-19, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    5. João F. Gomes & Lukas Schmid, 2021. "Equilibrium Asset Pricing with Leverage and Default," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(2), pages 977-1018, April.
    6. François Gourio, 2013. "Credit Risk and Disaster Risk," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(3), pages 1-34, July.
    7. Laura Xiaolei Liu & Lu Zhang, 2011. "A Model of Momentum," NBER Working Papers 16747, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2002. "Expected Returns and Expected Dividend Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 3507, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Thomas Philippon, 2009. "The Bond Market's q," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(3), pages 1011-1056.
    10. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001. "Measuring and Modelling Variation in the Risk-Return Trade-off," CEPR Discussion Papers 3105, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Cooper, Ilan & Priestley, Richard, 2011. "Real investment and risk dynamics," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 182-205, July.
    12. Francois Gourio, 2012. "Disaster Risk and Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(6), pages 2734-2766, October.
    13. Simon Price & Christoph Schleicher, 2006. "Returns to equity, investment and Q: evidence from the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 310, Bank of England.
    14. Cochrane, John H., 2005. "Financial Markets and the Real Economy," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(1), pages 1-101, July.
    15. C. Boucher & A. Jasinski & S. Tokpavi, 2023. "Conditional mean reversion of financial ratios and the predictability of returns," Post-Print hal-04352991, HAL.
    16. Safdar, Irfan, 2018. "The information content of aggregate profitability," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 497-515.
    17. Han, Bing & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Zhou, Yi, 2017. "The term structure of credit spreads, firm fundamentals, and expected stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 147-171.
    18. Garcia-Murillo, Martha & Velez-Ospina, Jorge Andres & Vargas-Leon, Patricia, 2012. "Where should governments invest? The impact of economic, political, social and technological factors on the formation of new firms," 23rd European Regional ITS Conference, Vienna 2012 60400, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    19. Gallegati, Marco & Ramsey, James B., 2014. "The forward looking information content of equity and bond markets for aggregate investments," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-24.
    20. Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2012. "Predictive Ability of Competing Models for South Africa’s Fixed Business Non- Residential Investment Spending," Working Papers 201229, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Javier G�mez, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Sudden Stops," Borradores de Economia 2854, Banco de la Republica.
    22. Kilponen, Juha & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "Testing the Q theory of investment in the frequency domain," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 32/2016, Bank of Finland.
    23. Mendieta-Muñoz Ivan, 2024. "Time-varying Investment Dynamics in the USA," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-18.
    24. Ekaterini Panopoulou & Nikitas Pittis & Sarantis Kalyvitis, 2006. "Looking far in the past: Revisiting the growth-returns nexus with non-parametric tests," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp134, IIIS.
    25. Chiarella Carl & Semmler Willi & Mittnik Stefan & Zhu Peiyuan, 2002. "Stock Market, Interest Rate and Output: A Model and Estimation for US Time Series Data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-39, April.
    26. Couch, Robert & Wu, Wei, 2012. "Private investment and public equity returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 160-184.
    27. Hui Guo & Xiaowen Jiang, 2011. "Accruals and the Conditional Equity Premium," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 49(1), pages 187-221, March.
    28. Boucher, C. & Jasinski, A. & Tokpavi, S., 2023. "Conditional mean reversion of financial ratios and the predictability of returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    29. Kewei Hou & Haitao Mo & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2014. "Which Factors?," NBER Working Papers 20682, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Stephen Millard & John Power, 2004. "The effects of stock market movements on consumption and investment: does the shock matter?," Bank of England working papers 236, Bank of England.
    31. Fuerst, Michael E., 2006. "Investor risk premia and real macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 540-563, September.
    32. Frederico Belo & Xiaoji Lin & Fan Yang, 2014. "External Equity Financing Shocks, Financial Flows, and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 20210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Gourio, François, 2012. "Macroeconomic implications of time-varying risk premia," Working Paper Series 1463, European Central Bank.
    34. Colin Ellis & Simon Price, 2003. "UK business investment: long-run elasticities and short-run dynamics," Bank of England working papers 196, Bank of England.
    35. Xiaoji Lin & Fan Yang & Frederico Belo, 2014. "External Equity Financing Costs, Financial Flows, and Asset Prices," 2014 Meeting Papers 863, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    36. Papadamou, Stephanos & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2008. "Does the ECB Care about Shifts in Investors’ Risk Appetite?," MPRA Paper 25973, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Jorge Selaive & Vicente Tuesta, 2004. "Can Fluctuations in the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Help to Predict Exchange Rates?," International Finance 0404014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Favilukis, Jack & Lin, Xiaoji, 2012. "Wage Rigidity: A Solution to Several Asset Pricing Puzzles," Working Paper Series 2012-16, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    39. Mark E. Wohar & David E. Rapach, 2007. "Forecasting the recent behavior of US business fixed investment spending: an analysis of competing models This is a significantly revised version of our previous paper, 'Forecasting US Business Fixed ," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 33-51.
    40. H. Youn Kim, 2003. "Intertemporal production and asset pricing: a duality approach," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 55(2), pages 344-379, April.
    41. Jeffrey L. Callen & Matthew R. Lyle, 2020. "The term structure of implied costs of equity capital," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 342-404, March.
    42. Guo, Hui & Savickas, Robert, 2008. "Forecasting foreign exchange rates using idiosyncratic volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1322-1332, July.
    43. Chen, Long & Zhang, Lu, 2011. "Do time-varying risk premiums explain labor market performance?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 385-399, February.
    44. Hui Guo, 2009. "Data Revisions And Out‐Of‐Sample Stock Return Predictability," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 47(1), pages 81-97, January.
    45. Man Fu & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2011. "Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in Stock Prices Cointegrated with Broad Dividends and Macroeconomic Factors," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-36, December.
    46. Hui Guo & Robert Savickas, 2006. "Idiosyncratic volatility, economic fundamentals, and foreign exchange rates," Working Papers 2005-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    47. Jeremy Rudd & Karl Whelan, 2006. "Empirical Proxies for the Consumption-Wealth Ratio," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(1), pages 34-51, January.
    48. Xiaoji Lin & Ding Luo & Andres Donangelo & Frederico Belo, 2017. "Labor Hiring, Aggregate Dividends, and Return Predictability in the Time Series," 2017 Meeting Papers 885, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    49. Willi Semmler, 2006. "Asset Prices, Booms and Recessions," Springer Books, Springer, edition 0, number 978-3-540-24696-1, March.
    50. Long Chen & Zhi Da & Borja Larrain, 2016. "What Moves Investment Growth?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(8), pages 1613-1653, December.
    51. Simon Price, 2004. "UK investment and the return to equity: Q redux," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 87, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    52. Javier Gómez Pineda, 2004. "Inflation Targeting, Sudden Stops and the Cost of Fear of Floating," Borradores de Economia 276, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    53. Jones, Christopher S. & Tuzel, Selale, 2013. "Inventory investment and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(3), pages 557-579.
    54. Long Chen & Lu Zhang, 2009. "The stock market and aggregate employment," NBER Working Papers 15219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    55. Huifeng Chang & Adrien D'Avernas & Andrea L. Eisfeldt, 2024. "Bonds versus Equities: Information for Investment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(6), pages 3893-3941, December.
    56. Jin (Ginger) Wu & Lu Zhang & X. Frank Zhang, 2010. "The q‐Theory Approach to Understanding the Accrual Anomaly," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 48(1), pages 177-223, March.
    57. Demetrios Eliades & Olaf Weeken, 2005. "The stock market and capital accumulation: an application to UK data," Bank of England working papers 251, Bank of England.
    58. Hou, Kewei & Mo, Haitao & Xue, Chen & Zhang, Lu, 2017. "The Economics of Value Investing," Working Paper Series 2017-16, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    59. Belo, Frederico & Yu, Jianfeng, 2013. "Government investment and the stock market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 325-339.
    60. Yuan, Jun & Yang, Liuyong & Xu, Qi, 2025. "The real side of black swans: Tail risk and corporate investment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    61. Long Chen & Lu Zhang, 2007. "Neoclassical Factors," NBER Working Papers 13282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    62. Frederico Belo & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2013. "A Supply Approach to Valuation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(12), pages 3029-3067.

  36. Nathan Barczi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2001. "A primer on the economics and time series econometrics of wealth effects: a comment," Staff Reports 131, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "Wealth Effetcs on Consumption: Evidence from the euro area," NIPE Working Papers 12/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    2. Nikola Dvornak & Marion Kohler, 2007. "Housing Wealth, Stock Market Wealth and Consumption: A Panel Analysis for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 83(261), pages 117-130, June.
    3. Fisher, Lance A. & Otto, Glenn & Voss, Graham M., 2010. "The response of Australian consumption to housing wealth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 284-299, March.
    4. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vansteenkiste, Isabel S., 2012. "Wealth effects in emerging market economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 155-166.
    5. Lise Pichette, 2004. "Are Wealth Effects Important for Canada," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2004(Spring), pages 29-35.
    6. Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo & Simon Price & Andrew Blake, 2003. "The dynamics of consumers' expenditure: the UK consumption ECM redux," Bank of England working papers 204, Bank of England.
    7. Bruno Eugène & Philippe Jeanfils & Benoît Robert, 2003. "La consommation privée en Belgique," Working Paper Document 39, National Bank of Belgium.
    8. Ludwig Alexander & Sløk Torsten, 2004. "The Relationship between Stock Prices, House Prices and Consumption in OECD Countries," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-28, March.
    9. Ludwig, Alexander & Slok, Torsten, 2004. "The relationship between stock prices, house prices and consumption in OECD," Papers 04-12, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    10. Andriy Avramenko & Michael R. Donihue, 2006. "Decomposing consumer wealth effects: evidence on the role of real estate assets following the wealth cycle of 1990-2002," Working Papers 06-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    11. Mr. Alexander Ludwig & Mr. Torsten M Sloek, 2002. "The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Priceson Consumption in OECD Countries," IMF Working Papers 2002/001, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Lonnie Stevans, 2004. "Aggregate consumption spending, the stock market and asymmetric error correction," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 191-198.

  37. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 1999. "Consumption, Aggregate Wealth and Expected Stock Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 2223, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin Lettau & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2006. "Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence," 2006 Meeting Papers 29, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Hui Guo, 2005. "Time-varying risk premia and the cross section of stock returns," Working Papers 2002-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    3. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2002. "Time-varying risk premia and the cost of capital: An alternative implication of the Q theory of investment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 31-66, January.
    4. Engsted, Tom, 2002. "Measuring noise in the Permanent Income Hypothesis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 353-370, September.
    5. Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2011. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 17301, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Hanno Lustig, 2004. "Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia: an Empirical Perspective (joint with Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh), forthcoming Journal of Finance," UCLA Economics Online Papers 300, UCLA Department of Economics.
    7. Hui Guo & Robert Savickas, 2003. "On the cross section of conditionally expected stock returns," Working Papers 2003-043, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    8. Tobias Adrian & Richard K. Crump & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Nonlinearity and Flight‐to‐Safety in the Risk‐Return Trade‐Off for Stocks and Bonds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1931-1973, August.
    9. Puneet Handa, 2006. "Does Stock Return Predictability Imply Improved Asset Allocation and Performance? Evidence from the U.S. Stock Market (1954–2002)," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(5), pages 2423-2468, September.
    10. De Santis, Roberto A. & Favero, Carlo A. & Roffia, Barbara, 2008. "Euro area money demand and international portfolio allocation: a contribution to assessing risks to price stability," Working Paper Series 926, European Central Bank.
    11. Nils Holinski & Robert Vermeulen, 2012. "The international wealth channel: a global error-correcting analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 985-1010, December.
    12. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019. "The FOMC Risk Shift," CEPR Discussion Papers 14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Hanno Lustig, 2001. "The Market Price of Aggregate Risk and the Wealth Distribution," Finance 0111004, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2001.
    14. Pollet, Joshua M. & Wilson, Mungo, 2010. "Average correlation and stock market returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 364-380, June.
    15. Paul Gao & Kevin X. D. Huang, 2004. "Aggregate consumption-wealth ratio and the cross-section of stock returns: some international evidence," Research Working Paper RWP 04-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    16. Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "Wealth Effetcs on Consumption: Evidence from the euro area," NIPE Working Papers 12/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    17. Kuehn, Lars-Alexander & Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & Zhang, Lu, 2011. "An Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model with Labor Market Search," Working Paper Series 2012-01, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    18. Sangwon Suh & Wonho Song & Bong-Soo Lee, 2014. "A new method for forming asset pricing factors from firm characteristics," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(28), pages 3463-3482, October.
    19. Nitschka, Thomas, 2011. "Banking sectors' international interconnectedness: Implications for consumption risk sharing in Europe," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48684, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    20. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premia: A new model for disentangling the price of risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 312-334.
    21. Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A View from Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 21056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Bianchi, Daniele & Tamoni, Andrea, 2016. "The dynamics of expected returns: evidence from multi-scale time series modelling," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118992, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    23. Tim Bollerslev & Michael Gibson & Hao Zhou, 2007. "Dynamic Estimation of Volatility Risk Premia and Investor Risk Aversion from Option-Implied and Realized Volatilities," CREATES Research Papers 2007-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    24. Polimenis, Vassilis & Neokosmidis, Ioannis M., 2016. "The modified dividend–price ratio," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 31-38.
    25. Meng, Ginger & Hu, Gang & Bai, Jushan, 2007. "Olive: a simple method for estimating betas when factors are measured with error," MPRA Paper 33183, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    26. Elliott, Graham & Muller, Ulrich K., 2007. "Confidence sets for the date of a single break in linear time series regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1196-1218, December.
    27. Valentin Haddad & Erik Loualiche & Matthew Plosser, 2013. "Buyout activity: the impact of aggregate discount rates," Staff Reports 606, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    28. Barbara Rossi, 2021. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(4), pages 1135-1190, December.
    29. Edward E. Leamer, 2007. "Housing IS the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 13428, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Robert S. Goldstein & Jean Helwege, 2010. "Is Credit Event Risk Priced? Modeling Contagion via the Updating of Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 15733, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Markus Leippold & Hanlin Yang, 2023. "Mixed‐frequency predictive regressions with parameter learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1955-1972, December.
    32. Eran Hoffmann, 2018. "The Cyclical Composition of Startups," 2018 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Görtz, Christoph & Yeromonahos, Mallory, 2022. "Asymmetries in risk premia, macroeconomic uncertainty and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    34. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2007. "International Financial Adjustment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 115(4), pages 665-703, August.
    35. Verdelhan, Adrien & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn & Lustig, Hanno, 2012. "The Wealth-Consumption Ratio," CEPR Discussion Papers 9022, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    36. Møller, Stig V. & Nørholm, Henrik & Rangvid, Jesper, 2014. "Consumer confidence or the business cycle: What matters more for European expected returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 230-248.
    37. Apergis, Nicholas & Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Hassapis, Christis, 2018. "Multi-horizon wealth effects across the G7 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 165-176.
    38. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider & Selale Tuzel, 2006. "Housing, Consumption, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 12036, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. Carroll, Christopher D. & Slacalek, Jiri & Sommer, Martin, 2008. "International evidence on sticky consumption growth," Working Paper Series 886, European Central Bank.
    40. Hui Guo & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2003. "Uncovering the Risk-Return Relation in the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 9927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Are Stock and Housing Returns Complements or Substitutes? Evidence from OECD Countries," NIPE Working Papers 33/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    42. Smoluk, H.J. & Bennett, James, 2008. "Evaluating stock returns with time-varying risk aversion driven by trend deviations from the consumption-to-wealth ratio: An analysis conditional on income levels," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 261-279, December.
    43. Corradi, Valentina & Distaso, Walter & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2013. "Conditional alphas and realized betas," Textos para discussão 341, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    44. Bollerslev, Tim & Marrone, James & Xu, Lai & Zhou, Hao, 2014. "Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia: Statistical Inference and International Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 633-661, June.
    45. Christian Bach & Peter O. Christensen, 2016. "Consumption-based equity valuation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1149-1202, December.
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  42. John Y. Campbell & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 1997. "Elasticities of substitution in real business cycle models with home production," Research Paper 9733, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

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    1. Paul Scanlon, 2018. "Why Do People Work So Hard?," 2018 Meeting Papers 1206, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Lees, Kirdan & Matheson, Troy, 2007. "Mind your ps and qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 275-281, August.
    3. Shai Bernstein & Timothy Mcquade & Richard R. Townsend, 2021. "Do Household Wealth Shocks Affect Productivity? Evidence from Innovative Workers During the Great Recession," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(1), pages 57-111, February.
    4. José Luis Torres Chacon, 2015. "Introduction to Dynamic Macroeconomic General Equilibrium Models," Vernon Press Titles in Economics, Vernon Art and Science Inc, edition 2, number 54, October.
    5. Kilponen, Juha & Vilmunen, Jouko & Vähämaa, Oskari, 2022. "Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    6. Ligthart, J.E. & van der Meijden, G.C., 2010. "Coordinated Tax-Tariff Reforms, Informality, and Welfare Distribution," Other publications TiSEM 59182d96-7d65-4259-b74c-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Manuel Gomez, 2003. "Effects of Flat-Rate Taxes: to What Extent Does the Leisure Specification Matter?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(2), pages 404-430, April.
    8. Christos Koulovatianos & Carsten Schröder & Ulrich Schmidt, 2006. "Non-Market Household Time and the cost of Children," Vienna Economics Papers vie0606, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
    9. Ravi Balakrishnan, 2001. "The interaction of firing costs and on-the-job search: an application of a search theoretic model to the Spanish labour market," Working Papers 0102, Banco de España.
    10. Wei-Bin ZHANG, 2014. "Gender Discrimination, Education and Economic Growth in a Generalized Uzawa-Lucas Two-Sector Model," Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 7(1), pages 1-34.
    11. Mohammed Mohsin, 2010. "The dynamic effects of tax policies in a small open economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(24), pages 3091-3104.
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    13. Pierlauro Lopez, 2016. "Welfare Implications of the Term Structure of Returns: Should Central Banks Fill Gaps or Remove Volatility?," 2016 Meeting Papers 742, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Bretscher, Lorenzo & Malkhozov, Aytek & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Expectations and aggregate risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 91-108.
    15. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2020. "Gender Power and Family Decision in an Extended Solowian Economic Growth Model," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 5(1), pages 70-83, March.
    16. Stefano Gnocchi & Daniela Hauser & Evi Pappa, 2014. "Housework and Fiscal Expansions," Staff Working Papers 14-34, Bank of Canada.
    17. Michael Dotsey & Wenli Li & Fang Yang, 2014. "Consumption And Time Use Over The Life Cycle," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55(3), pages 665-692, August.
    18. Mark Aguiar & Erik Hurst, 2007. "Life-Cycle Prices and Production," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(5), pages 1533-1559, December.
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    21. Fang Lei & McDaniel Cara, 2017. "Home hours in the United States and Europe," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-27, January.
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    23. Xavier Pautrel, 2009. "Time-separable Utility, Leisure and Human Capital Accumulation: What New Implications for the Environment-Growth Nexus?," Working Papers 2009.104, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    24. Mark Aguiar & Erik Hurst, 2005. "Lifestyle prices and production," Public Policy Discussion Paper 05-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    25. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2020. "Cournot-Nash Family Decision and Economic Growth in an Extended Solowian Model," Academicus International Scientific Journal, Entrepreneurship Training Center Albania, issue 21, pages 101-114, January.
    26. Struck, Clemens C., 2014. "Habit persistence and the long-run labor supply," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 243-247.
    27. Marianne Baxter & Urban J. Jermann, 1999. "Household Production and the Excess Sensitivity of Consumption to Current Income," NBER Working Papers 7046, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Safonova, Dasha, 2017. "Home production, employment, and monetary policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 57-66.
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    30. Wenli Li & Fang Yang & Michael Dotsey, 2010. "Consumption and Home Production over the Life Cycle," 2010 Meeting Papers 423, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    31. Wei-bin Zhang, 2011. "Elastic Labour Supply and Home Production in a Monetary Growth Model," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, vol. 9(2), pages 87-100.
    32. Wei-Bin ZHANG, 2014. "Human Capital, Wealth, and Renewable Resources," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 2(1), pages 1-20.
    33. Jonas D. M. Fisher, 2001. "A real explanation for heterogeneous investment dynamics," Working Paper Series WP-01-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    34. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2016. "Gender-Differentiated Human Capital And Time Distributions In A Generalized Heckscher-Ohlin Model With Endogenous Physical Capital," Knowledge Horizons - Economics, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 8(2), pages 112-132, June.
    35. Malakhov, Sergey, 2012. "К Вопросу О Возможности Синтеза Концепции Удовлетворяющего Поиска И Неоклассической Доктрины [A note on the synthesis of the satisficing concept and the neoclassical theory]," MPRA Paper 49494, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Perazzi, Elena, 2022. "Sovereign Bailouts: Are Ex-Ante Conditions Useful?," MPRA Paper 113462, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Campolmi, Alessia & Gnocchi, Stefano, 2016. "Labor market participation, unemployment and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 17-29.
    38. Lei Fang & Guozhong Zhu, 2012. "Home production technology and time allocation: empirics, theory, and implications," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2012-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
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    40. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2008. "Leisure, amenity, and capital accumulation in a multi-region model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 42(1), pages 183-207, March.
    41. Albulena Ukimeraj, 2016. "Professional Ethics and Disciplinary System in the KCA," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 2, ejes_v2_i.
    42. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2014. "Population Change with Endogenous Birth and Mortality Rates, Wealth Accumulation, and Renewable Resource Change," International Journal of Economic Sciences, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(3), pages 103-129.
    43. Yum K. Kwan & Jinyue Dong, 2014. "Stock Price Dynamics of China: What Do the Asset Markets Tell Us About the Chinese Utility Function?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(03), pages 77-108, May.
    44. Flemming, Jean, 2020. "Skill accumulation in the market and at home," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    45. Reuben Gronau, 2006. "Home Production and the Macro Economy-Some Lessons from Pollak and Wachter and from Transition Russia," NBER Working Papers 12287, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Brahima Coulibaly, 2006. "Changes in job quality and trends in labor hours," International Finance Discussion Papers 882, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  43. Sydney C. Ludvigson, 1996. "The channel of monetary transmission to demand: evidence from the market for automobile credit," Research Paper 9625, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

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    1. Christoph Bertsch & Isaiah Hull & Xin Zhang, 2021. "Monetary Normalizations and Consumer Credit: Evidence from Fed Liftoff and Online Lending," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(71), pages 1-47, December.
    2. Bryce C. Turner & David Elliott & Ralf R. Meisenzahl & José-Luis Peydró, 2019. "Nonbanks, Banks, and Monetary Policy: U.S. Loan-Level Evidence since the 1990s," Working Papers 1129, Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. De Grauwe, Paul & Gerba, Eddie, 2016. "Monetary transmission under competing corporate finance regimes," FinMaP-Working Papers 52, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
    4. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, November.
    5. Massimiliano Affinito & Federica Sabbi & Raffaele Santioni & Francesco Santorelli, 2024. "Types of consumer credit and bank distribution channels: insights from Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 879, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Vitor R. C. Britto, 2017. "Interest rate and credit channel for households and firms: Evidence from a large emerging economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(1), pages 586-604.
    7. Balazs Egert & Ronald MacDonald, 2006. "Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Transition Economies: Surveying the Surveyable," CESifo Working Paper Series 1739, CESifo.
    8. Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf & Daniel E. Sichel, 2005. "Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-54, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Efraim Benmelech & Ralf R. Meisenzahl & Rodney Ramcharan, 2016. "The Real Effects of Liquidity During the Financial Crisis: Evidence from Automobiles," NBER Working Papers 22148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Nicola Viegi, 2024. "The bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission in South Africa," Working Papers 11072, South African Reserve Bank.
    11. David B. Gross & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2000. "Consumer Response to Changes in Credit Supply: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-04, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    12. Anil K. Kashyap & Raghuram Rajan & Jeremy C. Stein, 1999. "Banks as Liquidity Providers: An Explanation for the Co-Existence of Lending and Deposit-Taking," NBER Working Papers 6962, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Ryan R. Brady, 2006. "Credit Cards and Monetary Policy: Are Households still liquidity-constrained?," Departmental Working Papers 12, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
    14. Davide Furceri & Annabelle Mourougane, 2009. "Financial Crises: Past Lessons and Policy Implications," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 668, OECD Publishing.
    15. Mihaela Cornelia Sandu & Elena Druica & Rodica Ianole, 2015. "A Time Series Analysis Using R for Understanding Car Sales On The Romanian Market," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 63(3), pages 130-140, September.
    16. Halvorsen, Jørn I. & Jacobsen, Dag Henning, 2014. "How important can bank lending shocks be for economic fluctuations?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 104-123.
    17. Littlejohn, Maximillian, 2025. "The credit card and small business lending channels of monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    18. Adam Copeland & George Hall & Louis J. Maccini, 2019. "Interest Rates and the Market for New Light Vehicles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1137-1168, August.
    19. Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Ola Melander, 2008. "Credit Matters: Empirical Evidence on U.S. Macro-Financial Linkages," IMF Working Papers 2008/169, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Jacobson, Tor & Linde, Jesper & Roszbach, Kasper, 2005. "Exploring interactions between real activity and the financial stance," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 308-341, April.
    21. Rosen Azad Chowdhury & Dilshad Jahan & Tapas Mishra & Mamata Parhi, 2024. "Monetary policy shock and impact asymmetry in bank lending channel: Evidence from the UK housing sector," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 511-530, January.
    22. Florence Bouvet & Ryan Brady & Sharmila King, 2013. "Debt Contagion in Europe: A Panel-VAR Analysis," Departmental Working Papers 44, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
    23. Douglas W. Diamond & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2003. "Money in a Theory of Banking," NBER Working Papers 10070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Davide Furceri & Annabelle Mourougane, 2010. "Une lecture de la crise à la lumière des crises passées," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 438(1), pages 19-42.
    25. Ryan R. Brady, 2007. "Consumer Credit, Liquidity and the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy," Departmental Working Papers 20, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
    26. Chauvet, Marcelle & Jiang, Cheng, 2023. "Nonlinear relationship between monetary policy and stock returns: Evidence from the U.S," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    27. Linde, Jesper & Jacobson, Tor & Roszbach, Kasper & Kindell, Rikard, 2008. "Firm Default and Aggregate Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 7083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Iacoviello, Matteo & Minetti, Raoul, 2008. "The credit channel of monetary policy: Evidence from the housing market," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 69-96, March.
    29. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2022. "Determinants of the profit rates in the OECD economies: A panel data analysis of the Kalecki's profit equation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 380-397.
    30. Florence Bouvet & Ryan Brady & Sharmila King, 2013. "Debt Contagion in Europe: A Panel-Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-23, December.
    31. Halvorsen, Jørn I. & Jacobsen, Dag Henning, 2016. "The bank-lending channel empirically revisited," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 95-105.
    32. Joe Peek & Eric Rosengren, 2013. "The role of banks in the transmission of monetary policy," Public Policy Discussion Paper 13-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    33. Bertsch, Christoph & Hull, Isaiah & Zhang, Xin, 2016. "Fed Liftoff and Subprime Loan Interest Rates: Evidence from the Peer-to-Peer Lending Market," Working Paper Series 319, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
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    35. Andrew Lee Smith, 2014. "House prices, heterogeneous banks and unconventional monetary policy options," Research Working Paper RWP 14-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    36. Arango, Luis E. & Cardona-Sosa, Lina & Pedraza-Jiménez, Nataly, 2021. "The use of credit cards among low- and middle-income individuals in Colombia and the channels of monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 150-169.
    37. de Grauwe, Paul & Gerba, Eddie, 2017. "Monetary transmission under competing corporate finance regimes = Transmisión monetaria bajo regímenes alternativos de finanzas corporativas," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67658, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    39. Onder Ozgur & Erdal Tanas Karagol & Fatih Cemil Ozbugday, 2025. "Negative interest rate policy and bank lending channel: evidence from the Swedish experience," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1-28, July.
    40. Cohen Mark A., 2012. "Imperfect Competition in Auto Lending: Subjective Markup, Racial Disparity, and Class Action Litigation," Review of Law & Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 21-58, March.
    41. Iacoviello, Matteo & Minetti, Raoul, 2000. "The credit channel of monetary policy and housing markets: International empirical evidence," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2000, Bank of Finland.
    42. David B. Gross & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2001. "Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data," NBER Working Papers 8314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Den Haan, Wouter & Sumner, Steven & Yamashiro, Guy, 2004. "Banks' Loan Portfolio and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," CEPR Discussion Papers 4725, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Stephanos Papadamou & Costas Siriopoulos, 2012. "Banks’ lending behavior and monetary policy: evidence from Sweden," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 38(2), pages 131-148, February.
    45. Stein, Jeremy C., 2003. "Agency, information and corporate investment," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 111-165, Elsevier.

  44. Sydney C. Ludvigson, 1996. "Consumption and credit: a model of time-varying liquidity constraints," Research Paper 9624, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Berrak Bahadir & Kuhelika De & William D. Lastrapes, 2020. "Household Debt, Consumption and Inequality," Working Papers 2011, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
    2. Been-Lon Chen & Mei Hsu & Chia-Hui Lu, 2007. "Status and Multiple Growth Regimes," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 07-A010, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    3. Ying’ai Piao & Meiru Li & Hongyuan Sun & Ying Yang, 2023. "Income Inequality, Household Debt, and Consumption Growth in the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-13, February.
    4. Beck, Thorsten & Buyukkarabacak, Berrak & Rioja, Felix & Valev, Neven, 2008. "Who gets the credit ? and does it matter ? household vs. firm lending across countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4661, The World Bank.
    5. Easaw, Joshy Z. & Garratt, Dean & Heravi, Saeed M., 2005. "Does consumer sentiment accurately forecast UK household consumption? Are there any comparisons to be made with the US?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 517-532, September.
    6. Shubhasis Dey, 2005. "Lines of Credit and Consumption Smoothing: The Choice between Credit Cards and Home Equity Lines of Credit," Staff Working Papers 05-18, Bank of Canada.
    7. Douglas Lamdin, 2008. "Does Consumer Sentiment Foretell Revolving Credit Use?," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 279-288, June.
    8. Orazio P. Attanasio, 1998. "Consumption Demand," NBER Working Papers 6466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Talnan Aboulaye Toure, 2023. "Financial inclusion, entrepreneurs’ credit risk exposure and social planner financial policy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2747-2799, August.
    10. Carol C. Bertaut & Michael Haliassos, 2001. "Debt Revolvers for Self Control," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 0208, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    11. Jose Luengo-Prado, Maria, 2006. "Durables, nondurables, down payments and consumption excesses," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 1509-1539, October.
    12. Douglas Lamdin, 2008. "Galbraith on Advertising, Credit, and Consumption: A Retrospective and Empirical Investigation with Policy Implications," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 595-611.
    13. Thitima Chucherd, 2006. "The Effect of Household Debt on Consumption in Thailand," Working Papers 2006-06, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    14. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, November.
    15. Michal Rubaszek & Dobromil Serwa, 2011. "Determinants of credit to households in a life-cycle model," NBP Working Papers 92, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    16. Fatih Özatay, 2008. "Expansionary Fiscal Consolidations: New Evidence from Turkey," Working Papers 406, Economic Research Forum, revised 06 Jan 2008.
    17. Gerlach-Kristen, Petra & O'Connell, Brian & O'Toole, Conor, 2013. "How do banking crises affect aggregate consumption? Evidence from international crisis episodes," Papers WP464, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    18. Emara, Noha & El Said, Ayah & Pearlman, Joseph, 2019. "On the Impact of Financial Inclusion on Financial Stability and Inequality: The Role of Macroprudential Policies," MPRA Paper 99258, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Cull,Robert J. & Gan,Li & Gao,Nan & Xu,L. Colin & Cull,Robert J. & Gan,Li & Gao,Nan & Xu,L. Colin, 2016. "Social capital, finance, and consumption: evidence from a representative sample of Chinese households," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7873, The World Bank.
    20. Matteo Iacoviello, 2008. "Household Debt and Income Inequality, 1963-2003," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(5), pages 929-965, August.
    21. María Angélica Arbeláez Restrepo & Fabio Villegas & Natalia Salazar Ferro, 2004. "El leasing en Colombia: Diagnóstico e impacto sobre la inversión y el crecimiento," Cuadernos de Fedesarrollo 12728, Fedesarrollo.
    22. Pierre Mabille, 2019. "Aggregate Precautionary Savings Motives," 2019 Meeting Papers 344, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Bruno Albuquerque & Georgi Krustev, 2015. "Debt Overhang and Deleveraging in the US Household Sector: Gauging the Impact on Consumption," Staff Working Papers 15-47, Bank of Canada.
    24. Aoki, Kosuke & James Proudman & Gertjan Vlieghe, 2003. "House prices, consumption, and monetary policy: a financial accelerator approach," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 7, Royal Economic Society.
    25. Michaelides, Alexander & Ng, Serena, 2000. "Estimating the rational expectations model of speculative storage: A Monte Carlo comparison of three simulation estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 231-266, June.
    26. Yuliya Demyanyk & Dmytro Hryshko & María Jose Luengo-Prado & Bent E. Sorensen, 2015. "The Rise and Fall of Consumption in the 2000s," Working Papers (Old Series) 1507, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    27. Tal Gross & Matthew J. Notowidigdo & Jialan Wang, 2020. "The Marginal Propensity to Consume over the Business Cycle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 351-384, April.
    28. Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf & Daniel E. Sichel, 2005. "Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-54, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    29. Michael Haliassos, Alexander Michaelides, 2000. "Portfolio Choice And Liquidity Constraints," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 297, Society for Computational Economics.
    30. Pozzi, Lorenzo, 2010. "Idiosyncratic labour income risk and aggregate consumption: An unobserved component approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 169-184, March.
    31. Sevin Yeltekin & Debraj Ray & B. Douglas Bernheim, 2014. "Poverty and Self Control," 2014 Meeting Papers 1156, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    32. Emara, Noha & El Said, Ayah, 2019. "Financial Inclusion and Economic Growth: The Role of Governance in Selected MENA Countries," MPRA Paper 99257, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    33. David B. Gross & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2000. "Consumer Response to Changes in Credit Supply: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-04, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    34. Pontus Rendahl, 2013. "Inequality Constraints and Euler Equation based Solution Methods," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1320, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    35. Brady Ryan R & Stimel Derek S, 2011. "How the Housing and Financial Wealth Effects Have Changed over Time," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-45, August.
    36. Kelley, Clare & Lanot, Gauthier, "undated". "Consumption Patterns Over Pay Periods," Economic Research Papers 269469, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    37. Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2020. "Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 144 Studies Say 'Probably Not'," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 35, pages 97-122, January.
    38. Luis E. Arango & Lina Cardona-Sosa, 2015. "Determinants of consumer credit within a debt constrained framework. Evidence from microdata," Borradores de Economia 13965, Banco de la Republica.
    39. Luis E. Arango & Luz A. Flórez & N. Johana Marín & Carlos E. Posada, 2024. "Consumption of households in Colombia: What do the retail trade indices tell us?," Borradores de Economia 1275, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    40. Rinaldi, Laura & Sanchis-Arellano, Alicia, 2006. "Household debt sustainability: what explains household non-performing loans? An empirical analysis," Working Paper Series 570, European Central Bank.
    41. Bahadir, Berrak & Gumus, Inci, 2016. "Credit decomposition and business cycles in emerging market economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 250-262.
    42. De Andrés Mosquera, Andrés, 2017. "Los determinantes a largo plazo y su contribución a la tasa de ahorro de los hogares españoles en el período 1985-2016 || Long-term determinants and its contribution to Spanish household saving rate d," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 24(1), pages 292-339, Diciembre.
    43. Gonzalo Paz Pardo & José Manuel Sánchez Santos, 2014. "Household Debt and Consumption Inequality: The Spanish Case," Economies, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-24, July.
    44. Huaming Wang, 2020. "Does Household Mortgage Really Restrain Consumption? an Analysis Based on the Data of China Family Panel Studies in 2018," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(6), pages 1-1.
    45. Carlos Madeira, 2019. "Measuring the Covariance Risk of Consumer Debt Portfolios," 2019 Meeting Papers 240, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    46. Bacchetta, Philippe & Gerlach, Stefan, 1997. "Consumption and credit constraints: International evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 207-238, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas S. Souleles, 2001. "Consumer Sentiment: Its Rationality and Usefulness in Forecasting Expenditure - Evidence from the Michigan Micro Data," NBER Working Papers 8410, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Jason Bram & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 1998. "Does consumer confidence forecast household expenditure? a sentiment index horse race," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 4(Jun), pages 59-78.
    3. Nicholas S. Souleles, "undated". "Household Securities Purchases, Transactions Costs, and Hedging Motives," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 24-99, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
    4. Brigitte Desroches & Marc-André Gosselin, 2002. "The Usefulness of Consumer Confidence Indexes in the United States," Staff Working Papers 02-22, Bank of Canada.

Articles

  1. Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1177-1216, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Mariano M. Croce & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2015. "Investor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Term Structure of Equity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(3), pages 706-742.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2014. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 28(1), pages 293-354.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Xiaohong Chen & Jack Favilukis & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2013. "An estimation of economic models with recursive preferences," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 4(1), pages 39-83, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Xiaohong Chen & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2009. "Land of addicts? an empirical investigation of habit-based asset pricing models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1057-1093.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2009. "Euler Equation Errors," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 255-283, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2009. "Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(12), pages 5027-5067, December.

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    6. Tu, Anthony H. & Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan, 2018. "A factor-based approach of bond portfolio value-at-risk: The informational roles of macroeconomic and financial stress factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 243-268.
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    11. Li, Xinjue & Zboňáková, Lenka & Wang, Weining & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "Combining Penalization and Adaption in High Dimension with Application in Bond Risk Premia Forecasting," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-030, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    12. Corrado, Luisa & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar & Yoo, Donghoon & Waldmann, Robert, 2022. "Ambiguous economic news and heterogeneity: What explains asymmetric consumption responses?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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    39. Daniele Bianchi & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad?," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(1), pages 34-62.
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    42. Kees E. Bouwman & Elvira Sojli & Wing Wah Tham, 2012. "Aggregate Stock Market Illiquidity and Bond Risk Premia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-140/IV/DSF46, Tinbergen Institute.
    43. Ana Sofia Monteiro & Helder Sebastião & Nuno Silva, 2025. "Prediction and Allocation of Stocks, Bonds, and REITs in the US Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(3), pages 1191-1230, March.
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    477. Demir Bektić & Britta Hachenberg & Dirk Schiereck, 2020. "Factor-based investing in government bond markets: a survey of the current state of research," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 94-105, March.
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  8. Ludvigson, Sydney C. & Ng, Serena, 2007. "The empirical risk-return relation: A factor analysis approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 171-222, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2005. "tay's as good as cay: Reply," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 15-22, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Auer Benjamin R., 2012. "Lassen sich CAPM, HCAPM und CCAPM durch konsumbasierte zeitvariable Parameterspezifikation rehabilitieren? / Can Time-varying Parameter Specification Based on Consumption Variables Rehabilitate CAPM, ," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 232(5), pages 518-544, October.
    2. Couch, Robert & Wu, Wei, 2012. "Private investment and public equity returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 160-184.
    3. Shi, Qi & Li, Bin, 2022. "Further evidence on financial information and economic activity forecasts in the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Hahn, Jaehoon & Lee, Hangyong, 2006. "Interpreting the predictive power of the consumption-wealth ratio," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 183-202, March.
    5. Shi, Qi, 2023. "The RP-PCA factors and stock return predictability: An aligned approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Karl Whelan, 2006. "Consumption and expected asset returns without assumptions about unobservables," Open Access publications 10197/219, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    7. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2010. "A century of equity premium predictability and the consumption-wealth ratio: An international perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 313-331, June.
    8. Ricardo Sousa, 2011. "Building proxies that capture time-variation in expected returns using a VAR approach," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(3), pages 147-163.
    9. Jeremy Rudd & Karl Whelan, 2006. "Empirical Proxies for the Consumption-Wealth Ratio," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(1), pages 34-51, January.
    10. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E., 2006. "In-sample vs. out-of-sample tests of stock return predictability in the context of data mining," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 231-247, March.
    11. Fernandez-Corugedo, Emilio & Price, Simon & Blake, Andrew P., 2007. "The dynamics of aggregate UK consumers' non-durable expenditure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 453-469, May.
    12. Gutierrez, Roberto Jr. & Prinsky, Christo A., 2007. "Momentum, reversal, and the trading behaviors of institutions," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 48-75, February.
    13. Shue-Jen Wu & Wei-Ming Lee, 2012. "Predicting the U.S. bear stock market using the consumption-wealth ratio," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 3174-3181.
    14. Ren, Yu & Yuan, Yufei & Zhang, Yang, 2014. "Human capital, household capital and asset returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 11-22.

  10. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Jessica A. Wachter, 2005. "The declining equity premium: what role does macroeconomic risk play?," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2005. "Expected returns and expected dividend growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 583-626, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2004. "Consumer Confidence and Consumer Spending," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 29-50, Spring.

    Cited by:

    1. António Caleiro, 2007. "Confidence and Unemployment in the European Union: A lesson from the 2004 enlargement," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 26, pages 15-26, December.
    2. Zuzana Rakovska & Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Martin Hodula, 2020. "The Power of Sentiment: Irrational Beliefs of Households and Consumer Loan Dynamics," Working Papers 2020/10, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    3. Segers, Rene & Franses, Philip Hans & de Bruijn, Bert, 2017. "A novel approach to measuring consumer confidence," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 121-129.
    4. Johannes Bock, 2018. "Quantifying macroeconomic expectations in stock markets using Google Trends," Papers 1805.00268, arXiv.org.
    5. Blanka Škrabić Perić & Petar Sorić, 2018. "A Note on the “Economic Policy Uncertainty Index”," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 505-526, June.
    6. Cristian Huse & Nikita Koptyug, 2017. "Bailing on the Car That Was Not Bailed Out: Bounding Consumer Reactions to Financial Distress," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 337-374, June.
    7. James J. Angel & Douglas M. McCabe, 2018. "Insider Trading 2.0? The Ethics of Information Sales," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 147(4), pages 747-760, February.
    8. Douglas Lamdin, 2008. "Does Consumer Sentiment Foretell Revolving Credit Use?," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 279-288, June.
    9. Aneta Maria Kłopocka, 2017. "Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Saving and Borrowing Behavior? Evidence for Poland," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 693-717, September.
    10. Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2017. "Does Business Confidence Matter for Investment?," Carleton Economic Papers 17-13, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 20 Mar 2019.
    11. Byrne, Joseph P. & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2019. "Decomposing global yield curve co-movement," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 500-513.
    12. Mali Chivakul & Bernhard Kassner, 2019. "Can Consumption Growth in China Keep Up as Investment Slows?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(3), pages 381-412, September.
    13. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Nieves Carmona-González & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2024. "Consumer sentiments across G7 and BRICS economies: Are they related?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 323-344, June.
    14. Daragh Clancy & Lorenzo Ricci, 2019. "Loss aversion, economic sentiments and international consumption smoothing," Working Papers 35, European Stability Mechanism.
    15. Møller, Stig V. & Nørholm, Henrik & Rangvid, Jesper, 2014. "Consumer confidence or the business cycle: What matters more for European expected returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 230-248.
    16. Bovi, Maurizio, 2009. "Economic versus psychological forecasting. Evidence from consumer confidence surveys," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 563-574, August.
    17. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2019. "How important are consumer confidence shocks for the propagation of business cycles in Bulgaria?," LEAF Working Paper Series 19-03, University of Lincoln, Lincoln International Business School, Lincoln Economics and Finance Research Group (LEAF).
    18. Bovi, Maurizio, 2013. "Are the representative agent’s beliefs based on efficient econometric models?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 633-648.
    19. Balcaen, Pieter & Buts, Caroline & Bois, Cind Du & Tkacheva, Olesya, 2023. "The effect of disinformation about COVID-19 on consumer confidence: Insights from a survey experiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    20. Alsem, Karel-Jan & Brakman, Steven & Hoogduin, Lex & Kuper, Gerard, 2004. "The impact of newspapers on consumer confidence: does spin bias exist?," CCSO Working Papers 200410, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
    21. Abildgren, Kim & Hansen, Niels Lynggård & Kuchler, Andreas, 2018. "Overoptimism and house price bubbles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-14.
    22. Hampson, Daniel P. & Gong, Shiyang & Xie, Yi, 2021. "How consumer confidence affects price conscious behavior: The roles of financial vulnerability and locus of control," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 693-704.
    23. Dhar, Tirtha & Weinberg, Charles B., 2016. "Measurement of interactions in non-linear marketing models: The effect of critics' ratings and consumer sentiment on movie demand," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 392-408.
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    25. Petar Sorić, 2022. "Ability to consume versus willingness to consume: the role of nonlinearities," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(3), pages 663-689, August.
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    35. Brodeur, Abel, 2015. "Terrorism and Employment: Evidence from Successful and Failed Terror Attacks," IZA Discussion Papers 9526, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
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    49. Hyeongwoo Kim & Shuwei Zhang, 2022. "Policy Coordination and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Stimulus," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2022-01, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
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    51. Lenka Mynaříková & Vít Pošta, 2023. "The Effect of Consumer Confidence and Subjective Well-being on Consumers’ Spending Behavior," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 429-453, February.
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    53. Renneboog, L.D.R. & Spaenjers, C., 2009. "Buying Beauty : On Prices and Returns in the Art Market," Other publications TiSEM 1ff2278f-d1ef-480f-994d-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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    246. Tanweer Ul Islam & Muhammad Naeem Mumtaz, 2016. "Consumer Confidence Index and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of EU Countries," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(35), pages 17-22, November.
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    253. Hamid Baghestani & Sehar Fatima, 2021. "Growth in US Durables Spending: Assessing the Impact of Consumer Ability and Willingness to Buy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 55-69, April.
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    256. Viet Hoang Nguyen & Edda Claus, 2024. "Purse Strings Versus Heart Strings: Do Emotions Affect Economic Behaviour?," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n16, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    257. Willem Vanlaer & Samantha Bielen & Wim Marneffe, 2020. "Consumer Confidence and Household Saving Behaviors: A Cross-Country Empirical Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 677-721, January.
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    262. Paul De Grauwe, 2012. "Lectures on Behavioral Macroeconomics," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 9891.
    263. Ahmet Yağmur Ersoy & Metin Saygılı & Mustafa İlteriş Yılmaz & Mustafa Emre Uslu & İhsan Hakan Selvi, 2022. "Consumer Sentiment in Turkey, from Closure to the New Normal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-24, July.
    264. Faisal Nazir Zargar & Dilip Kumar, 2023. "Market fear, investor mood, sentiment, economic uncertainty and tourism sector in the United States amid COVID-19 pandemic: A spillover analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(2), pages 551-558, March.
    265. Joshy Easaw & Atanu Ghoshray & Saeed Heravi, 2014. "Households' Forming Subjective Expectations Using Perceived News: Do Shocks to ‘Good’ News Matter More Than ‘Bad’ News?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 82(1), pages 1-16, January.
    266. Bruine de Bruin, Wändi & van der Klaauw, Wilbert & van Rooij, Maarten & Teppa, Federica & de Vos, Klaas, 2017. "Measuring expectations of inflation: Effects of survey mode, wording, and opportunities to revise," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 45-58.
    267. Mateus, Cesario & Chinthalapati, Raju & Mateus, Irina B., 2017. "Intraday industry-specific spillover effect in European equity markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 278-298.
    268. Dookie, Michele & Lugay, Beverly & Sergeant, Kelvin A., 2011. "Consumer confidence and economic growth: case studies of Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago," Documentos de Proyectos 4086, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    269. Chi-Wei Su & Xian-Li Meng & Ran Tao & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Chinese consumer confidence: A catalyst for the outbound tourism expenditure?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 696-717, May.
    270. Baghestani, Hamid, 2021. "Predicting growth in US durables spending using consumer durables-buying attitudes," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 327-336.
    271. Shiu-Sheng Chen, 2012. "Consumer confidence and stock returns over market fluctuations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(10), pages 1585-1597, October.
    272. Wai-Yip Alex Ho & James Yetman, 2014. "Do economies stall?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(35), pages 4267-4275, December.
    273. Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan & Sturm, Silke, 2021. "Computing Consumer Sentiment in Germany via Social Media Data," Hamburg Discussion Papers in International Economics 7, University of Hamburg, Department of Economics.
    274. Hatice Gokce Karasoy, 2015. "Consumer Confidence Indices and Financial Volatility," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1516, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    275. Aneta M. Klopocka & Rumiana Gorska, 2021. "Forecasting Household Saving Rate with Consumer Confidence Indicator and its Components: Panel Data Analysis of 14 European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3 - Part ), pages 874-898.
    276. Simona Malovaná & Martin Hodula & Jan Frait, 2021. "What Does Really Drive Consumer Confidence?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 155(3), pages 885-913, June.
    277. Gelper, S. & Lemmens, A. & Croux, C., 2007. "Consumer sentiment and consumer spending : Decomposing the granger causal relationship in the time domain," Other publications TiSEM 55ac7230-2985-41f1-a42c-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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    281. Hassan Gholipour Fereidouni & Reza Tajaddini, 2017. "Housing Wealth, Financial Wealth and Consumption Expenditure: The Role of Consumer Confidence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 216-236, February.
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  13. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2004. "Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 276-299, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2002. "Time-varying risk premia and the cost of capital: An alternative implication of the Q theory of investment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 31-66, January.
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  15. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Charles Steindel, 2002. "Monetary policy transmission through the consumption-wealth channel," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 8(May), pages 117-133.

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    1. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 874-890.
    2. Mali Chivakul & Bernhard Kassner, 2019. "Can Consumption Growth in China Keep Up as Investment Slows?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(3), pages 381-412, September.
    3. Edward E. Leamer, 2007. "Housing IS the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 13428, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Hsiao Chink Tang, 2006. "The Relative Importance Of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels In Malaysia," CAMA Working Papers 2006-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Mauro Costantini & Antonio Paradiso, 2012. "Re-examining the Decline in the US Saving Rate: The Impact of Mortgage Equity Withdrawal," CESifo Working Paper Series 3897, CESifo.
    6. Edda Claus & Iris Claus, 2007. "Transmitting Shocks To The Economy: The Contribution Of Interest And Exchange Rates And The Credit Channel," CAMA Working Papers 2007-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Chen, David Y. & Li, Tongzhe, 2014. "Financial crises, Asian stock indices, and current accounts: An Asian-U.S. comparative study," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 66-78.
    8. Schasfoort, Joeri & Godin, Antoine & Bezemer, Dirk & Caiani, Alessandro & Kinsella, Stephen, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission in a Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model," Research Report 17010-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    9. John H Cochrane, 2022. "Portfolios for Long-Term Investors [Rare disasters and asset markets in the twentieth century]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-42.
    10. Eurilton Araújo, 2008. "Robust Monetary Policy with the Consumption-Wealth Channel," Business and Economics Working Papers 031, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
    11. Elbourne, Adam, 2008. "The UK housing market and the monetary policy transmission mechanism: An SVAR approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 65-87, March.
    12. Luc Arrondel & Pierre Lamarche & Frédérique Savignac, 2015. "Wealth Effects on Consumption across the Wealth Distribution: Empirical Evidence," Working Papers halshs-01168660, HAL.
    13. Claus, Iris, 2011. "Inside the black box: How important is the credit channel relative to the interest and exchange rate channels?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-12.
    14. Žukauskas, Vytautas & Hülsmann, Jörg Guido, 2019. "Financial asset valuations: The total demand approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 123-131.
    15. Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2011. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Working Papers 201107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Sterken, Elmer, 2003. "Monetary transmission, asset prices, and the business cycle indicator in Germany," CCSO Working Papers 200315, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
    17. Yetkiner, Hakan & Nazlioglu, Saban, 2018. "Is there an optimal level of housing wealth in the long-run? Theory and evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 257-267.
    18. Rossi, Jose Luiz & Delmondes de Carvalho Rossi, Marina & Carvalho Cunha, Daniel, 2019. "Transmission of monetary policy through the wealth channel in Brazil: Does the type of asset matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 279-293.
    19. Araújo, Eurilton, 2008. "Robust Monetary Policy with the Consumption-Wealth Channel," Insper Working Papers wpe_110, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    20. Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2022. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 45-60.
    21. Renee A. Fry & Vance L. Martin & Nicholas Voukelatos, 2009. "Overvaluation in Australian housing and equity markets: Wealth effects or monetary policy?," CAMA Working Papers 2009-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    22. Martin Feldkircher & Helene Schuberth, 2023. "Understanding Monetary Spillovers in Highly Integrated Regions: The Case of Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 859-893, August.
    23. Hong Kong Monetary Authority, 2008. "The housing market channel of the monetary transmission mechanism in Hong Kong," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 221-234, Bank for International Settlements.
    24. Bertrand Garbinti & Pierre Lamarche & Charl lie Lecanu & Frédérique Savignac, 2020. "Wealth effect on consumption during the sovereign debt crisis: Households heterogeneity in the Euro area," Working papers 751, Banque de France.
    25. Odusami, Babatunde Olatunji, 2010. "To consume or not: How oil prices affect the comovement of consumption and aggregate wealth," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 857-867, July.
    26. Bruno Eugène & Philippe Jeanfils & Benoît Robert, 2003. "La consommation privée en Belgique," Working Paper Document 39, National Bank of Belgium.
    27. Andrea Carriero & Alessio Volpicella, 2022. "Generalizing the Max Share Identification to multiple shocks identification: an Application to Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0322, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    28. Jagannathan, Ravi & Kapoor, Mudit & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2013. "Causes of the great recession of 2007–2009: The financial crisis was the symptom not the disease!," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 4-29.
    29. Sousa, Ricardo M., 2010. "Housing wealth, financial wealth, money demand and policy rule: Evidence from the euro area," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 88-105, March.
    30. Feldkircher, Martin & Kakamu, Kazuhiko, 2018. "How does monetary policy affect income inequality in Japan? Evidence from grouped data," Working Papers in Regional Science 2018/03, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    31. Falk Bräuning & Joanna Stavins, 2025. "The Credit Card Spending Channel of Monetary Policy: Micro Evidence from Account-level Data," Working Papers 25-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    32. Stefano Neri, 2004. "Monetary policy and stock prices: theory and evidence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 513, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    33. Zhang, Jin & Xie, Mingjia, 2016. "China's oil product pricing mechanism: What role does it play in China's macroeconomy?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 209-221.
    34. Hanna Putkuri, 2004. "Cross-country asymmetries in euro area monetary transmission: the role of national financial systems," Macroeconomics 0404037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    35. Chauvet, Marcelle & Jiang, Cheng, 2023. "Nonlinear relationship between monetary policy and stock returns: Evidence from the U.S," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    36. Junning Cai, 2003. "Asset Prices and Monetary Policy: Some Notes," Macroeconomics 0305006, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 May 2003.
    37. Vincent Labhard & Gabriel Sterne & Chris Young, 2005. "Wealth and consumption: an assessment of the international evidence," Bank of England working papers 275, Bank of England.
    38. Enrico Sergio Levrero, 2022. "The Taylor Rule and its Aftermath: Elements for an Interpretation along Classical-Keynesian lines," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP59, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    39. Elmer Sterken, 2004. "The Role of the IFO Business Climate Indicator and Asset Prices in German Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 1204, CESifo.
    40. Héctor Bravo L. & Carlos García T. & Verónica Mies M. & Matías Tapia G., 2003. "Heterogeneity in Monetary Transmission: Sectoral and Regional Effects," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 6(3), pages 5-26, December.
    41. Norhana Endut & James Morley & Pao-Lin Tien, 2015. "The Changing Transmission Mechanism of U.S. Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 2015-03, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    42. Jongrim Ha, 2021. "Financial market spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1221-1274, November.
    43. Muhammad Naveed Tahir, 2012. "Relative Importance of Monetary Transmission Channels in Inflation Targeting Emerging Economies," EcoMod2012 4092, EcoMod.
    44. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Nan-Kuang Chen & Chih-Chiang Hsu, 2004. "Structural Break or Asymmetry? An Empirical Study of the Stock Wealth Effect on Consumption," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 690, Econometric Society.
    45. Robert S. Chirinko & Leo de Haan & Elmer Sterken, 2008. "Asset Price Shocks, Real Expenditures, and Financial Structure: A Multi-Country Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 2342, CESifo.
    46. Yener Coskun & Nicholas Apergis & Esra Alp Coskun, 2022. "Nonlinear responses of consumption to wealth, income, and interest rate shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1293-1335, September.
    47. Angeloni, Ignazio & Kashyap, Anil K. & Mojon, Benoît & Terlizzese, Daniele, 2003. "The output composition puzzle: a difference in the monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area and U.S," Working Paper Series 268, European Central Bank.
    48. Cheah, Siew Pong & Law, Siong Hook, 2017. "Roles of Housing Wealth and Financial Wealth in Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 51(1), pages 77-86.
    49. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2012. "South African stock return predictability in the context data mining: The role of financial variables and international stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 908-916.
    50. Zan Yang & Shuping Wu & Yanhao Shen, 2017. "Monetary Policy, House Prices, and Consumption in China: A National and Regional Study," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49.
    51. Araújo, Eurilton, 2013. "Robust monetary policy with the consumption-wealth channel," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 296-311.
    52. Xuan Vinh Vo & Phuc Canh Nguyen, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Vietnam: Evidence from a VAR Approach," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(1), pages 27-38, March.
    53. Frédérique Savignac, 2017. "Do wealth inequalities have an impact on consumption?," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 42, april..
    54. Koivu, Tuuli, 2012. "Monetary policy, asset prices and consumption in China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 307-325.
    55. Pedro S. Amaral, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Inequality," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue January.
    56. Luigi Oddo & Mile Bosnjak, 2021. "A comparative analysis of the monetary policy transmission channels in the U.S: a wavelet-based approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(38), pages 4448-4463, August.

  16. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2001. "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time-Varying," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(6), pages 1238-1287, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Alexander Michaelides, 2001. "Does Buffer-Stock Saving Explain the Smoothness and Excess Sensitivity of Consumption?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(3), pages 631-647, June.

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    1. Kurt Kratena & Gerhard Streicher & Simone Salotti & Mark Sommer & Juan Manuel Valderas Jaramillo, 2017. "FIDELIO 2: Overview and theoretical foundations of the second version of the Fully Interregional Dynamic Econometric Long-term Input-Output model for the EU-27," JRC Research Reports JRC105900, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Carroll, Christopher D. & Slacalek, Jiri & Sommer, Martin, 2008. "International evidence on sticky consumption growth," Working Paper Series 886, European Central Bank.
    3. van de Ven, Justin, 2011. "A structural dynamic microsimulation model of household savings and labour supply," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 2054-2070, July.
    4. Michael Haliassos, 2002. "Stockholding: Recent Lessons from Theory and Computations," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 0206, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    5. Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Kiichi Tokuoka & Matthew N. White, 2018. "Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 24377, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Daria Pignalosa, 2021. "The Euler Equation Approach: Critical Implications of Recent Developments in the Theory of Intertemporal Choice," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 15(1), pages 1-43, June.
    7. Yuliya Demyanyk & Dmytro Hryshko & María Jose Luengo-Prado & Bent E. Sorensen, 2015. "The rise and fall of consumption in the '00s," Working Papers 15-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    8. Sørensen, Bent E & Hryshko, Dmytro & Luengo-Prado, Maria & Demyanyk, Yuliya, 2017. "The Rise and Fall of Consumption in the '00s. A Tangled Tale," CEPR Discussion Papers 12522, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Martin Sommer & Christopher Carroll, 2004. "Epidemiological expectations and consumption dynamics," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 92, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    10. Michael Haliassos, Alexander Michaelides, 2000. "Portfolio Choice And Liquidity Constraints," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 297, Society for Computational Economics.
    11. Pozzi, Lorenzo, 2010. "Idiosyncratic labour income risk and aggregate consumption: An unobserved component approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 169-184, March.
    12. De Paoli, Bianca & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2012. "Cyclical risk aversion, precautionary saving and Monetary Policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121767, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Panos Hatzipanayotou & Sajal Lahiri & Michael S. Michael, 2002. "Reforms of Environmental Policies in the Presence of Cross-border Pollution and Two-stage Clean-up," CESifo Working Paper Series 638, CESifo.
    14. Pontus Rendahl, 2013. "Inequality Constraints and Euler Equation based Solution Methods," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1320, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    15. Greg Kaplan & Giovanni L. Violante & Justin Weidner, 2014. "The Wealthy Hand-to-Mouth," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 45(1 (Spring), pages 77-153.
    16. Juan Urquiza, 2011. "Income Asymmetries and the Permanent Income Hypothesis," Documentos de Trabajo 409, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    17. Szymon Chudziak, 2023. "Consumption modelling using categorisation-enhanced mental accounting," KAE Working Papers 2023-090, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    18. Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2016. "Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 130 Studies Say “Probably Not”," Working Papers IES 2016/15, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2016.
    19. Michaelides, Alexander, 2003. "International portfolio choice, liquidity constraints and the home equity bias puzzle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 555-594, December.
    20. Szymon Chudziak, 2022. "On the sources of economic growth, structural consistency of agent-based models and mental-accounting consumer behaviour," KAE Working Papers 2022-073, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    21. Cheolbeom Park & Thomas Bishop, 2004. "Precautionary Saving, Borrowing Constraints, and Fiscal Policy," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 706, Econometric Society.
    22. Gert Peersman & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2007. "Business cycle fluctuations and excess sensitivity of private consumption," Bank of England working papers 335, Bank of England.
    23. Lorenzo Pozzi, 2011. "The Time-Varying Volatility of Earnings and Aggregate Precautionary Savings," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-144/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    24. Fulford, Scott L., 2015. "The surprisingly low importance of income uncertainty for precaution," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 151-171.
    25. Yulei Luo, 2024. "Consumption Dynamics under Information Processing Constraints," CEMA Working Papers 622, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
    26. Panos Pashardes & Soteroula Hajispyrou, 2002. "Consumer Demand and Welfare under Increasing Block Pricing," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 0207, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    27. L. Pozzi, 2005. "Income uncertainty and aggregate consumption," Working Paper Research 77, National Bank of Belgium.
    28. Martin Lettau, 2001. "Idiosyncratic risk and volatility bounds, or can models with idiosyncratic risk solve the equity premium puzzle?," Staff Reports 130, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    29. Niu, Yingjie & Wu, Yaoyao & Zhao, Siqi & Zou, Zhentao, 2024. "Consumption dynamics with law of small numbers," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 915-923.
    30. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Wang, Gaowang & Young, Eric, 2017. "Rational Inattention and the Dynamics of Consumption and Wealth in General Equilibrium," MPRA Paper 80045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Berber Kramer, 2016. "When expectations become aspirations: reference-dependent preferences and liquidity constraints," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 61(4), pages 685-721, April.
    32. Fuchs-Schündeln, N. & Hassan, T.A., 2016. "Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 923-1012, Elsevier.
    33. Yulei Luo, 2005. "Consumption Dynamics under Information Processing Constraints," Macroeconomics 0505011, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Jun 2005.
    34. Marco Malgarini & Patrizia Margani, 2005. "Psychology, consumer sentiment and household expenditures: a disaggregated analysis," ISAE Working Papers 58, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
    35. Liya Liu & Yingjie Niu & Yuanping Wang & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Optimal consumption with time-inconsistent preferences," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(3), pages 785-815, October.
    36. Pagel, Michaela, 2013. "Expectations-Based Reference-Dependent Life-Cycle Consumption," MPRA Paper 47138, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Scott L. Fulford, 2020. "Demand for emergency savings is higher for low-income households, but so is the cost of shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 3007-3033, June.
    38. Gerdie Everaert & Lorenzo Pozzi & Ruben Schoonackers, 2016. "On The Stability Of The Excess Sensitivity Of Aggregate Consumption Growth In The Us," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 16/917, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    39. Yuanping Wang & Yingjie Niu & Siwen Gong, 2022. "Robust consumption policy with the desire for wealth accumulation," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 993-1025, September.
    40. Lorenzo Pozzi, 2015. "The Time‐Varying Volatility of Earnings and Aggregate Consumption Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(4), pages 551-580, June.
    41. Moll, Benjamin & Wolf, Christian & Ahn, SeHyoun & Kaplan, Greg & Winberry, Thomas, 2017. "When Inequality Matters for Macro and Macro Matters for Inequality," CEPR Discussion Papers 12123, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    42. Chang Wen-ya & Tsai Hsueh-fang & Chang Juin-jen & Lin Hsieh-yu, 2018. "Interest rate rules and equilibrium (in)determinacy in a small open economy: the role of internationally traded capital," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(2), pages 1-18, June.
    43. Lorenzo Pozzi, 2007. "Idiosyncratic Labour Income Risk and Aggregate Consumption: an Unobserved Component Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-069/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    44. Bilgili, Faik, 2006. "Random walk, excess smoothness or excess sensitivity? Evidence from literature and an application for Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 24086, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2010.
    45. Terézia Vančová, 2019. "The Excess Smoothness and Sensitivity of Consumption in the V4 Countries," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 67(6), pages 1653-1663.
    46. Martin Sommer, 2004. "Habits, Sentiment and Predictable Income in the Dynamics of Aggregate Consumption," Macroeconomics 0408004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    47. Michael Hatcher, 2011. "Time-varying volatility, precautionary saving and monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 440, Bank of England.
    48. Martin Sommer, 2001. "Sentiment Predictable Income and Habits in the Dynamics of Aggregate Consumption," Economics Working Paper Archive 458, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
    49. Thomas Bishop & Cheolbeom Park, 2010. "Borrowing Constraints, the Marginal Propensity to Consume, and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy," Discussion Paper Series 1008, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    50. Szymon Chudziak, 2023. "Categorisation-enhanced mental-accounting consumer behaviour: demand enhancement and endogenous cycles in an overlapping-generations income-age distribution model," KAE Working Papers 2023-089, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.

  18. Sydney Ludvigson & Christina H. Paxson, 2001. "Approximation Bias In Linearized Euler Equations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(2), pages 242-256, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. Campbell, John Y & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2001. "Elasticities of Substitution in Real Business Cycle Models with Home Protection," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(4), pages 847-875, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Sydney Ludvigson, 1999. "Consumption And Credit: A Model Of Time-Varying Liquidity Constraints," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(3), pages 434-447, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Charles Steindel, 1999. "How important is the stock market effect on consumption?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 5(Jul), pages 29-51.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. Ludvigson, Sydney, 1998. "The Channel of Monetary Transmission to Demand: Evidence from the Market for Automobile Credit," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(3), pages 365-383, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Jason Bram & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 1998. "Does consumer confidence forecast household expenditure? a sentiment index horse race," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 4(Jun), pages 59-78.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Ludvigson, Sydney, 1996. "The macroeconomic effects of government debt in a stochastic growth model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 25-45, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Douglas W. Elmendorf & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1998. "Government debt," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1998-09, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Uhlig, Harald & Trabandt, Mathias, 2006. "How Far Are We From the Slippery Slope? The Laffer Curve Revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 5657, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Werner, Richard A., 2011. "The unintended consequences of the debt: Will increased government expenditure hurt the economy?," CFS Working Paper Series 2011/26, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    4. Edouard Challe & Xavier Ragot, 2010. "Fiscal Policy in a Tractable Liquidity-Constrained Economy," Working papers 297, Banque de France.
    5. Lees, Kirdan & Matheson, Troy, 2007. "Mind your ps and qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 275-281, August.
    6. Eric M. Leeper & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2006. "Dynamic Scoring: Alternative Financing Schemes," CAEPR Working Papers 2006-022, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    7. Fabio Canova & Evi Pappa, 2003. "Price differentials in monetary unions: The role of fiscal shocks," Economics Working Papers 923, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 2005.
    8. S. Brock Blomberg & Gregory D. Hess, 2001. "Is the Political Business Cycle for Real?," CESifo Working Paper Series 415, CESifo.
    9. Laumer, Sebastian, 2020. "Government spending and heterogeneous consumption dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    10. Trimborn, Timo & Strulik, Holger, 2011. "The Dark Side of Fiscal Stimulus," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48725, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Severine Menguy, 2019. "Efficiency of Cuts in Various Taxation Rates to Foster Economic Growth in a Framework of Wages Rigidity," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 5(1), pages 1-36, January.
    12. Kumwenda, Thomson Nelson, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers and Evidence on Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Malawi," Dynare Working Papers 73, CEPREMAP.
    13. Roberto Tamborini & Matteo Tomaselli, 2020. "When does public debt impair economic growth? A literature review in search of a theory," DEM Working Papers 2020/7, Department of Economics and Management.
    14. Ardagna, Silvia, 2007. "Fiscal policy in unionized labor markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1498-1534, May.
    15. IWATA Yasuharu, 2009. "Fiscal Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Japanese Economy: Do Non-Ricardian Households Explain All?," ESRI Discussion paper series 216, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    16. Peter Quartey, 2005. "Financial Sector Development, Savings Mobilization and Poverty Reduction in Ghana," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2005-71, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    17. K. Peren Arin & Faik Koray, 2005. "Fiscal Policy And Economic Activity: Us Evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2005-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    18. Shu-Chun S. Yang & Nora Traum, 2011. "When Does Government Debt Crowd Out Investment?," 2011 Meeting Papers 479, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Bechlioulis, Alexandros P. & Brissimis, Sophocles N., 2019. "Consumer debt non-payment and the borrowing constraint: Implications for consumer behavior," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 161-172.
    20. Ayinde, Kayode & Bello, Aliyu A. & Ayinde, Opeyemi Eyitayo, 2013. "Modeling Nigerian Government Revenues and Total Expenditure: An Error Correction Model Approach," 2013 Fourth International Conference, September 22-25, 2013, Hammamet, Tunisia 160483, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    21. Holger Strulik & Timo Trimborn, 2017. "The Spending Multiplier in the Medium Run," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 18(2), pages 154-181, May.
    22. Agustín S. Bénétrix, 2009. "Fiscal Shocks and Real Wages," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp288, IIIS.
    23. Séverine Menguy, 2017. "On the efficiency of various expansionary fiscal policies and cuts in taxation rates in order to sustain economic activity," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 1-36.
    24. Ludger Linnemann & Andreas Schabert, 2006. "Productive Government Expenditure In Monetary Business Cycle Models," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 53(1), pages 28-46, February.
    25. Basil Dalamagas, 2003. "The effects of tax rate changes on output and government deficits," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 97-101.
    26. Edouard Challe & Xavier Ragot, 2007. "Public spending shocks in a liquidity-constrained economy," PSE Working Papers halshs-00587686, HAL.
    27. Davig, Troy, 2004. "Regime-switching debt and taxation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 837-859, May.
    28. Kayode Ayinde & Aliyu A. Bello & Opeyemi E. Ayinde & Damilola. B. Adekanmbi, 2015. "Modeling Nigerian Government Revenues and Total Expenditure: Combined Estimators’ Analysis and Error Correction Model Approach," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-14, March.
    29. Strulik, Holger & Trimborn, Timo, 2009. "Fiscal Stimulus: A Neoclassical Perspective," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-421, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    30. B. Dalamagas, 2003. "Tax rate changes and fiscal deficits: an empirical investigation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 3-7.
    31. Simone Salotti & Carmine Trecroci, 2012. "Even worse than you thought: The effects of government debt on investment and productivity," EcoMod2012 4200, EcoMod.
    32. K. Peren Arin & Peter H. Helles & Murat Koyuncu & Otto F. M. Reich, 2016. "Should We Care About The Composition Of Tax-Based Stimulus Packages?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 34(3), pages 430-445, July.
    33. Alexandru Avram & Veronel Avram & Roxana Adriana Hetes-Gavra, 2014. "Impact Of Cyclical Evolution On Budget Balance- Romania’S Case," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(42), pages 144-149.
    34. Roberto Tamborini, 2024. "Good Debt or Bad Debt?," CESifo Working Paper Series 11503, CESifo.
    35. Perotti, Roberto & Monacelli, Tommas, 2008. "Fiscal Policy, Wealth Effects and Markups," CEPR Discussion Papers 7099, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    36. Koumparoulis, Dimitrios, 2006. "Ευρωπαϊκή Δημοσιονομική Πολιτική Και Οικονομική Μεγέθυνση: Η Νεοκλασική Οικονομική Θεωρία Για Την Περίπτωση Της Ελλάδας [European Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: The Neoclassical Economic Theory," MPRA Paper 44310, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Ms. Anita Tuladhar & Markus Bruckner, 2010. "Public Investment as a Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from Japan’s Regional Spending During the 1990s," IMF Working Papers 2010/110, International Monetary Fund.
    38. Simone Salotti & Carmine Trecroci, 2016. "The Impact of Government Debt, Expenditure and Taxes on Aggregate Investment and Productivity Growth," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(330), pages 356-384, April.
    39. Montoro, Carlos & Moreno, Eduardo, 2008. "Reglas fiscales y la volatilidad del producto," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 15, pages 65-92.
    40. Ludger Linnemann, 2004. "Tax Base and Crowding‐in Effects of Balanced Budget Fiscal Policy," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 106(2), pages 273-297, June.
    41. Simone Salotti & Carmine Trecroci, 2012. "Even Worse than You thought: The Impact of Public Debt on Aggregate Investment and Productivity," DEGIT Conference Papers c017_020, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    42. Canova, Fabio & Pappa, Evi, 2003. "Price Dispersions in Monetary Unions: The Role of Fiscal Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 3746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    43. Thien Nguyen & Lukas Schmid & Howard Kung & Mariano Croce, 2012. "Fiscal Policies and Asset Prices," 2012 Meeting Papers 565, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    44. Stephanie Bell, 1999. "Functional Finance: What, Why, and How?," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_287, Levy Economics Institute.
    45. Nora Traum & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2010. "Does Government Debt Crowd Out Investment? A Bayesian DSGE Approach: Working Paper 2010-02," Working Papers 21397, Congressional Budget Office.
    46. Yasuharu Iwata, 2011. "The Government Spending Multiplier and Fiscal Financing: Insights from Japan," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 231-264, June.
    47. Alberto Alesina & Silvia Ardagna & Roberto Perotti & Fabio Schiantarelli, 1999. "Fiscal Policy, Profits, and Investment," NBER Working Papers 7207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    48. Airaudo, Marco, 2025. "Temptation-driven preferences: A resolution to New Keynesian anomalies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    49. Debi Prasad Bal & Badri Narayan Rath, 2018. "Do Macroeconomics Channels Matter for Examining Relationship Between Public Debt and Economic Growth in India?," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(1), pages 121-142, December.
    50. Croce, Mariano M. & Nguyen, Thien T. & Schmid, Lukas, 2012. "The market price of fiscal uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(5), pages 401-416.
    51. Richard Werner, 2004. "Why has Fiscal Policy Disappointed in Japan?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 9, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    52. Ardagna, Silvia, 2007. "Fiscal Policy in Unionized Labor Markets," Scholarly Articles 2580048, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    53. Rivas-Aceves, Salvador, 2013. "El sector público y el cambio tecnológico [The public sector and technological change]," MPRA Paper 58267, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2013.
    54. Pedro Gomes, 2009. "Labour market effects of public sector employment and wages," 2009 Meeting Papers 313, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    55. Ardagna, Silvia, 2004. "Fiscal stabilizations: When do they work and why," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(5), pages 1047-1074, October.
    56. Michael W.M. Roos, 2007. "Die makroökonomischen Wirkungen diskretionärer Fiskalpolitik in Deutschland – Was wissen wir empirisch?," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 8(4), pages 293-308, November.
    57. Eduardo Garzón Espinosa & Bibiana Medialdea García & Esteban Cruz Hidalgo, 2021. "Fiscal Policy Approaches: An Inquiring Look From The Modern Monetary Theory," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 999-1022, October.
    58. Montoro Carlos & Moreno Eduardo, 2007. "Structural Fiscal Rules and The Business Cycle," Working Papers 2007-011, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    59. Muhammad Shahbaz & Talat Afza & Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir, 2013. "Financial Development, Domestic Savings and Poverty Reduction in Pakistan: Using Cointegration and Granger Causality Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(5), pages 59-73, May.
    60. Fatás, Antonio & Mihov, Ilian, 2001. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Consumption and Employment: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 2760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    61. Martin Zagler & Georg Dürnecker, 2003. "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 397-418, July.
    62. Jukka Railavo, 2004. "Effects of the supply-side channel on stabilisation properties of policy rules," Macroeconomics 0404028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    63. Silvia Bertarelli, 2006. "Public capital and growth," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 3, pages 361-398.
    64. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012. "Should transportation spending be included in a stimulus program? a review of the literature," Working Paper Series 2012-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    65. Evi Pappa, 2015. "The effects of fiscal expansions: an international comparison," Working Papers 409, Barcelona School of Economics.
    66. Francisco G. Carneiro & Joao R. Faria & Boubacar S. Barry, 2005. "Government Revenues And Expenditures In Guinea-Bissau: Causality And Cointegration," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 30(1), pages 107-117, June.

Software components

    Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.

Chapters

  1. Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906, Elsevier.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2013. "Shocks and Crashes," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013, Volume 28, pages 293-354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Jack Favilukis & David Kohn & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2012. "International Capital Flows and House Prices: Theory and Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: Housing and the Financial Crisis, pages 235-299, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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