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Capital Share Risk in U.S. Asset Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Lettau
  • Sydney C. Ludvigson
  • Sai Ma

Abstract

A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk premium, commensurate with recent asset pricing models in which redistributive shocks shift the share of income between the wealthy, who finance consumption primarily out of asset ownership, and workers, who finance consumption primarily out of wages and salaries.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2014. "Capital Share Risk in U.S. Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 20744, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20744
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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