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What is the Consumption-CAPM missing? An informative-Theoretic Framework for the Analysis of Asset Pricing Models

Listed author(s):
  • Anisha Ghosh

    ()

  • Christian Julliard

    ()

We study a broad class of asset pricing models in which the stochastic discount factor (SDF) can be factorized into an observable component and a potentially unobservable, model-specific, one. Exploiting this decomposition we derive new entropy bounds that restrict the admissible regions for the SDF and its components. Without using this decomposition, to a second order approximation, entropy bounds are equivalent to the canonical Hansen-Jagannathan bounds. However, bounds based on our decomposition have higher information content, are tighter, and exploit the restriction that the SDF is a positive random variable. Our information-theoretic framework also enables us to extract a non-parametric estimate of the unobservable component of the SDF. Empirically, we find it to have a business cycle pattern, and significant correlations with both .nancial market crashes unrelated to economy-wide contractions, and the Fama-French factors. We apply our methodology to some leading consumption-based models, gaining new insights about their empirical performance.

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Paper provided by Financial Markets Group in its series FMG Discussion Papers with number dp691.

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Date of creation: Oct 2011
Handle: RePEc:fmg:fmgdps:dp691
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.lse.ac.uk/fmg/

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