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Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Volatility of Sovereign CDS Spreads

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Abstract

Multipliers estimated for sixteen major economies predict that 1% more economic policy uncertainty (EPU) produces about 0.3% - 0.8% more sovereign CDS volatility. The impact of EPU is strong but short-lived. US EPU is an important additional source of CDS volatility for European countries, Japan, China, and South Korea. European EPU does, in contrast, not affect the CDS volatility of other countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Burkhard Raunig, 2018. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Volatility of Sovereign CDS Spreads," Working Papers 219, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbwp:219
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    Cited by:

    1. Le, Chau & Dickinson, David & Le, Anh, 2022. "Sovereign risk spillovers: A network approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default swap; Economic policy uncertainty; Sovereign credit risk; Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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